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Genuine Grizzled Growth
First suggestion, so let's see what I can do.
Please excuse any invalid/duplicate links and I will change any if need be.
This item is practically unwanted, hardly any demand at all. Even I couldn't sell a Brown one for 3.66 after 4 days.
http://backpack.tf/classifieds/search/id/52ccf2e64dd7b8b51d8b456a - 5x 4 ref
Solds
I could only find one. (Perhaps i'm missing something?)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17180190 - Sold for 4? (Painted, item no longer in bp)
Unsolds at 4 ref or below
Taken from about 12 hours ago.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16957743 - 3.55 (1 week)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17095250 - 3.66 (4 days)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17143159 - 4 (2 days)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17144504 - 4 (2 days)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17088192 - 4 (gold, hasnt been bumped once, 4 days)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17050671 - (6 days)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16903187 - 4 (poorly bumped, 1 week)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16552012 - 4 (3 weeks)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17038914 - 4 (Muskel, 6 days)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17105942 - 4 (3 days)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17174749 - 4 (1 day)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16711876 - 4 (2 weeks)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17084854 - 4 (Drab, 4 days)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16988596 - 4 (1 week)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17079542 - 4 (5 days)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16782768 - 4 (Grey, 2 weeks)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17193209 - 4 (Young- 8 hours)
http://bazaar.tf/trade/636035 - 4 (1 day)
Buyers
There are only 5 buyers on outpost, all paying about 3 ref or below, I bought the Brown one for 3 when I was paying 3.33, so no proof of buyers here.
Masses of unsolds at 4 and below and only 1 sold at 4 ref, seems like it needs a drop.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17195580 - 3.66
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17180190 - 4.00 (painted)
Try found some more, neutral for now.
I could've sworn I put that 3.66 link in my proof, must've skipped it or something. *Also I scanned through pretty much every outpost trade and trade.tf so I doubt there's any more valid links out there.
Found two other potential solds:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17169344 - unpainted for 4 ref (?)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17151580 - painted The Color of a Gentleman's Business Pants for 5.66 ref (?)
Otherwise, looks pretty solid imo.
All you really require for this price suggestion is sellers @ 3.66. You only have 2.
Also, please refrain from using painted items for proof because backpack.tf prices the unmodified version of the item. (No paint, no name/desc tag, etc.)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17244985 - 3.77 Young
Not much else I could find, no activity on current unsolds.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17291199 1:1 for a Festive Tree
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17328997 1:1 Weight Room Warmer, 3.66 (after eight)
Many unsold at 4 ref, even unsold at 3.66. Voters like it, so I'll accept.