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~135 keys
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Unusual Hong Kong Cone Tesla Coil
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Ladies approach to hear quotes from the spokesman.

Thoughts are like oceans for my lyrics to float in.


Sale #1

Sold w/ a Smoking Desert Marauder (14 keys, mini below) + 3 keys for a Green Energy Patriot's Peak (146 keys)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198292137994#!/compare/1525478400/1525737600

= 146 - (14 + 3) = 132 keys


Smoking Marauder mini

Sold for 14 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29638649

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198275813105#!/compare/1525478400/1525564800

= 14 keys


Sale #2

Sold for a Burning Flames Demoman's Fro (49 keys, mini below) + 18 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29640202

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043971132#!/compare/1525651200/1525737600

= 49 + 18 = 67 keys


Burning Fro mini

Sold w/ a Genuine Shred Alert (1.7 keys) for a Sunbeams Glengarry Bonnet (51 keys, micro below)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081129776#!/compare/1524614400/1524700800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062760980#!/compare/1524700800/1525737600

= 51 - 1.7 = 49 keys


Beams Bonnet micro

Sold for:

Vivid Plasma Glengarry Bonnet (23 keys)

Strange Australium Grenade Launcher (13.7 keys)

Strange Australium Stickybomb Launcher (12.6 keys)

2 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29593296

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198364475021#!/compare/1521763200/1521849600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198108014277#!/compare/1521763200/1521849600

= 23 + 13.7 + 12.6 + 2 = 51 keys


Sale #3

Sold w/ ~20 keys worth of items for a Demonflame Reggaelator (88 keys, mini below)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198418740133#!/compare/1523232000/1523318400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061921663#!/compare/1523232000/1523318400

= 88 - 20 = 68 keys


Demonflame Reggae mini

Sold for a Misty Skull Private Eye (73 keys, mini below) + a Purple Confetti Madame Dixie (15 keys, couldn't find a micro but its price probably didn't deviate much)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198132226518#!/compare/1523836800/1523923200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061921663#!/compare/1523836800/1523923200

= 73 + 15 = 88 keys


Misty Private Eye micro

Sold w/ a Bubbling Dragonborn (11 keys) for an Arcana Grenadier's Softcap (84 keys)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198132226518#!/compare/1524528000/1524614400

= 84 - 11 = 73 keys


Sale #4

Sold for a Massed Flies Noh Mercy (160 keys, mini below)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061921663#!/compare/1522368000/1522454400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198017911489#!/compare/1522368000/1522454400

= 160 keys


Flies Noh Mercy mini

Sold for 160 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29546668

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043936328#!/compare/1519948800/1520035200

= 160 keys


Sale #5

Sold for 110 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198166302924#!/compare/1522108800/1522195200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198017911489#!/compare/1522195200/1522368000

= 110 keys


Sale #6

Sold for 83 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198219980724#!/compare/1524441600/1524528000

= 83 keys


Sale #7

Sold for a Morning Glory Brown Bomber (185 keys)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198283751443#!/compare/1523404800/1523664000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046580198#!/compare/1523577600/1523664000

= 185 keys


Sale #8

Sold for a Green Energy Dr's Dapper Topper (97.5 keys) + a Time Warp Sober Stuntman (30 keys, mini below) + ~1.5 keys worth of items

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198256050236#!/compare/1521763200/1521849600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198283751443#!/compare/1521763200/1521849600

97.5 + 30 + 1.5 = 129 keys


TW Stuntman mini

Sold for 30 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29581943

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198211858204#!/compare/1520553600/1520640000

= 30 keys


Sellers

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29607182 - 150 keys, 1 month, 5 months on the Classifieds.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29634133 - 129 keys, 2 weeks. Oddly enough, he's selling for 94 keys on the Classifieds.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29645984 - 110 keys, 4 days


https://i.imgur.com/ZoDvA2g.png

x1 at 94 keys, 2 days

x1 at 95 keys, 2 days

x1 at 110 keys, 5 days

x1 at 125 keys, 6 days

x1 at 150 keys, 5 months


Buyers

https://i.imgur.com/ZoDvA2g.png

x1 at 72.1 keys


Conclusion:

Sales at:

67

68

83 - quicksell-ish

110

129

132

160

185


Conclusion:

Sales #2 and #3 are countered by the buyer at 72 keys on the Classifieds, plus the sale at 83 keys is kind of a quicksale. Sales #4 and #7 are countered by the multiple sellers at and below 150 keys. Sellers are young, so I'll be excluding them from the range for now. I'll just resuggest accordingly if they don't manage to quicksell. That leaves the sales at 110, 129 and 132 keys, which make a range of 110-130 keys.


Additional/Supportive and Counter Evidence is always appreciated.


Discovery out ヽ༼ຈل͜ຈ༽ノ