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Okay, first suggestion, after alllll this time lurking... -obligatory 'first suggestion be niec 2 me' angst-
8 month old price:
Firstly, proof that the high end is currently madness incarnate, proven by just a quick glance over Outpost.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18154336 B/O of 3 (One month)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18196113 B/O of 3 (One month)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12681810 B/O of 3 (EIGHT months)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19169626 B/O of 2.5 (Young, not a listed quicksell)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18085986 B/O of 2.1 (One month, but poorly bumped)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19144466 Quickselling for 1.5 (Young)
SALES:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18102980 Offered on Orbiting Planets Modest Pile of Hat (Additional pure was requested, but evidently not added; No overpay, Planets Modest = 2.55, rounded for neatness.)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17682853 Was 'Quick-selling' at 2 pure (Took a month)
Has been repeatedly (but also, pain in the ass for me, successfully) quick-sold at ~1.5.
Feedback and additional support is appreciated... Let's let this first suggestion riiiide.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19169626
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19183784
sold 1 hour ago for a stormy pyromancer's; though this metal slug is duped and the mancers is a little outdated at 1.8. pretty much supports your range i guess. also the quickseller at 1.5 is the same dupe as this sale involves.
Excellent, cheers very much for the support :3
My unusual wasn´t duped^
i think i checked and saw it still in the quickseller's backpack but coulda been api fuckin up / me imagining that i did that and just assuming cause the trade still was open and had 2 owners above him on the list.
I did notice it appeared to be in two places at once, but the sale was fairly recent so I assumed it was backpack histories not updating properly. Whether this is the case or not, it's not integral to the proof, so the two of you shouldn't worry :3