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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8080234
B/O is 4, offered a Stormy Braniac (3.7-4 buds) which was considered since OP doesn't like Engie hats
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8257487
Offered 3 pure, C. Bubbles Stainless (2.8-3.6), and a Steaming Braniac (3-3.5) if OP adds (no response to that)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7629245
Selling only as a set.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9097512
Fresh post, something to watch.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8910194
B/O is 3.5 pure, offered 3 pure, Ghosts Spartan (3-3.5) , searing plasma (1.6-2.1) + a bud + after eight Bill's (9 keys).
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8563961
Only selling as a set
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8497730
Offered assorted Unusuals ranging from a little under 3 to 3.5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9056132
No offers as of yet, but to be watched.
CONCLUSION: 4's a reach, but possible. More realistic seems to be around 3.5ish, I'd say 3.3 as the low and 3.6 as the high.
So where's 4 coming from? 3.7 - 4 is basically 3.7 pure...
Their buyouts are 4 buds pure, and are getting Unsusual offers of around that range. It's a reach, but the 1st link got that amount in Unusuals. However, you'll also notice the range doesn't have 4 buds in it, only 3.3-3.6.
Oh, sorry, my mistake. I was tired :3
link 1 offer of stormy storm brainiac valued at 3.7-4 buds, proof of 3.3 bud offers/sold?
Unusuals worth around 3.5 on their upper end were offered, assuming a conservative 5%-7.5% overpay given that it's an Unusual gives that as 3.2375 buds (assuming maximum overpay as well) (rounded to 3.3, rather than 3.2, given that people often do end up reselling). Pure of 3 buds was also offered, but that didn't seem to fit the rest of the offers.
Also, on the link with the Searing offer (http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8910194)
Searing = 2.1 + 1 pure + After Eight Bill's (9 keys) = 3.1 + .33, means an offer of 3.4 there.