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This one is tough as the value greatly depends on the number of the metal.
I think that just for medal and not for number price of 10-11 keys is deadly accurate
You can't just say the value will increase every x years, what matters is what people are paying for it, not what it should be worth according to you
Fine as is, the number is the biggest indicator of a medal's value, and medals in general are NOT in high demand lately
I agree with Juracule.