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Credits to Lemons:
Buyout on the 60 sale was 50 https://gladiator.tf/listings/61766a60b5fb10f403961a7a
New sales:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090457223#!/compare/1641168000/1641254400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048058111#!/compare/1641168000/1641254400 - Sold for 53 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198159470037#!/compare/1640908800/1640995200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090457223#!/compare/1640908800/1640995200 - Sold for an Aurora Polaris Taunt: Runner's Rhythm (~10, https://backpack.tf/suggestion/61f462ec52164157a402b016) + an Orbiting Fire Coldsnap Cap (23) + 5 keys = 38 keys
Buyout was 52 keys https://gladiator.tf/listings/61cecf8167d1f5e9f43d5d8a
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198350368059#!/compare/1640822400/1641427200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198159470037#!/compare/1640131200/1640822400 - Untrace
Sales on the Coldsnap:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198078659345#!/compare/1641254400/1641427200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043971271#!/compare/1640736000/1641427200 - Sold for 23 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198159470037#!/compare/1641168000/1641427200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198078659345#!/compare/1641081600/1641168000 - Only 8 keys match, untrace
The DBD Fedora seems to support a lower price here, I would look into the Aurora Runner's and potentially make a range with that. As 60 caps at 50 also, this will need a resuggestion sorry!
https://backpack.tf/item/9139640095
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199133722322#!/compare/1635638400/1635724800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198310972287#!/compare/1635638400/1635724800
added for Strange Ominous Stare Melted Mop, use there
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198310972287#!/compare/1635897600/1635984000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198167149339#!/compare/1635897600/1635984000
this seems to be bulk
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198167149339#!/compare/1636416000/1636502400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198350368059#!/compare/1636329600/1636502400
added ~50k for pmoon warhood, use there
https://backpack.tf/item/9141575193
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198211858204#!/compare/1635120000/1635206400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198200688353#!/compare/1634947200/1635465600
https://gladiator.tf/listings/61766a60b5fb10f403961a7a
Iridescence Reel Fly Hat (57) + Strange Festivized Star Crossed Medi Gun (MW) (probably like 3 keys? https://steamcommunity.com/market/pricehistory/?country=US¤cy=1&appid=440&market_hash_name=Strange%20Star%20Crossed%20Medi%20Gun%20%28Minimal%20Wear%29), caps at 50k B/O
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198200688353#!/compare/1637107200/1637539200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198316071886#!/compare/1637452800/1637539200
fighter + bee swarm chapeau for dbd fed fedora? seems really low/incomplete
Sales:
38, 50, 53
The 53 sale was after 38, so 38-53 should work.