Most common trading point seems to be 2150-2450 keys, anything lower will be countered by the buyers but 2150 should be included because lots of sales at that price. Cutting off 2550-3000 since we're excluding lower sales and there are some lower sellers.
Going with 2150-2450
Damn thats a lot of work.
It did take a day or two
I know its not a sale, but I thought this might just so support for a raise, and maybe dropping the low end.
Thanks for the info, I'll leave this up a bit longer given how many lower sales have happened
Well done, TONNS of information to go off of. You put a lot of work into this.
Yeah it did take a few days tbh
Welp it's been 20 days and I see this is still up. Buyers have seemed to creep up a bit (2 at 2300) howeverI'm still leaving the this up
because of how common sales at 2150 or even a bit lower have been. Can't get to a PC right now but tomorrow i'll try and look to see if any new sales occurred
paid knifestorm tyrants, 13th hour ballcap, burning mancers, pe belt, cheart beak +500 all clean
not sure i'd include any sales around 3000 due to the sheer number of lower sales but these new data points definitely suggest that the suggested price here is going to be a bit low now
In your opinion what should be the new range? I still think some of the lower sales should be included though personally because they've still been a common trading point
it's definitely a bit of a tough one. buyers are up to 2500 keys atm as well.
maybe 2400 - 2550 could work? this takes into account the lower sales that have occurred in the past 2 months as well as balancing it out by removing some of the higher sales from the range that have occurred since there have been so many lower previous sales as mentioned in your original suggestion
Mannco.Store: https://mannco.store/item/1761
February 5: $4100/1.9=2157.89 ~2158 keys ~2150
February 10: $3600/1.95=1846.15 ~1846 keys ~1850
February 13: $4175/1.95=2141.03 ~2141 keys ~2150
February 22: $3705/1.91=1939.79 ~1940 keys ~1950
February 24: $4083.33/1.92=2126.73 ~2127 keys ~2150
February 26: $4275/1.92=2226.56 ~2227 keys ~2250
March 16: $4450/1.96=2270.41 ~2270 keys ~2250
March 18: $4450/1.97=2258.88 ~2259 keys ~2250
March 19: $3911/1.97=1985.28 ~1985 keys ~2000
March 24: $4450/1.97=2258.88 ~2259 keys ~2250
March 25: $4500/1.96=2295.92 ~2296 keys ~2300
April 3: $4090/1.92=2130.21 ~2130 keys ~2150
April 21: $4500/1.82=2472.53 ~2473 keys ~2450
Marketplace.tf: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1071;11;kt-3
February 20: (x2) $4000/2.12=1886.79 ~1887 keys ~1900
February 22: $4200/2.13=1971.83 ~1972 keys ~2000
History 1: https://backpack.tf/item/10016606108
Only 1135 keys matches:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198124245245#!/compare/1617667200/1617840000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198040186842#!/compare/1617667200/1617840000
History 2: https://backpack.tf/item/9731186636
Sold on Mannco.Store sale
70 keys + Kill-a-Watt Gauzed Gaze+ Massed Flies Gauzed Gaze + Misty Skull Fruit Shoot + Bubbling Villain's Veil + Misty Skull Villain's Veil + Strange Electrostatic Villain's Veil + Strange Orbiting Fire Villain's Veil + Strange Stormy Storm Villain's Veil + Winter Spirit Taunt: Conga + Strange Blizzardy Storm Villain's Veil + Blizzardy Storm Cold Killer
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114402400#!/compare/1614124800/1614211200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198269395083#!/compare/1614124800/1614211200
Bulk, too many trades
Sold on Mannco.Store again
History 3: https://backpack.tf/item/9566181442
Sold for Harvest Moon Killer's Kabuto + It's A Secret To Everybody Soldier's Stash:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197966756586#!/compare/1614816000/1614902400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197966756586#!/compare/1614816000/1614902400
The clean Stash only had an other bulky sale and it's the main part of the trade, best not to use here https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197984289499#!/compare/1614729600/1614816000
Sold on Mannco.Store
Untraceable:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198269395083#!/compare/1616457600/1616544000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114402400#!/compare/1616457600/1616544000
569 keys + 22 items:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114402400#!/compare/1617062400/1617148800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198122445210#!/compare/1616889600/1617148800
Bulk (untraceable because too many trades)
History 3: https://backpack.tf/item/9502055846
Sold for Spellbound Tippler's Tricorne + Duped Scorching Flames Exquisite Rack + Darkblaze Ol' Geezer +
Demonflame Sergeant's Drill Hat + Hellfire Harmburg + Hellfire Virus Doctor:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198342161127#!/compare/1616198400/1616284800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056793885#!/compare/1616112000/1616284800
The Drill Hat, Geezer, Harmburg, Doctor don't have usable minis, excluding.
Mannco.Store sale
History 4: https://backpack.tf/item/9354291353
Untraceable:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063478666#!/compare/1611792000/1611878400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198157279796#!/compare/1611878400/1611964800
Tradebacks
Untraceable:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198157279796#!/compare/1613865600/1613952000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109375402#!/compare/1613779200/1613865600
Sold on Mannco.Store
History 5: https://backpack.tf/item/9336601750
Untraceable:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070091899#!/compare/1614988800/1615075200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198132948248#!/compare/1572825600/1615075200
Untraceable:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198132948248#!/compare/1572825600/1615075200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198259782309#!/compare/1615852800/1617408000
History 6: https://backpack.tf/item/9101903085
Untraceable:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199100942823#!/compare/1613865600/1614124800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198269395083#!/compare/1613779200/1613865600
Untraceable:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198269395083#!/compare/1614038400/1614124800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198128550841#!/compare/1614038400/1614124800
History 7: https://backpack.tf/item/8512837177
Untraceable:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198267189538#!/compare/1619222400/1619308800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198317064923#!/compare/1619222400/1619308800
History 8: https://backpack.tf/item/8443749099
1000 keys + Duped Strange Sunbeams Specialized Killstreak Bonk Boy + Burning Flames Hong Kong Cone + Chiroptera Venenata Hot Dogger + Darkblaze Professor's Peculiarity:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198342161127#!/compare/1615334400/1615420800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097499917#!/compare/1615334400/1615420800
Bulk
Poisoned Shadows Vintage Merryweather + Scorching Flames Pyromancer's Mask + Duped Burning Flames HazMat Headcase + Enchanted Taunt: The Schadenfreude + Poisoned Shadows Das Hazmattenhatten:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097499917#!/compare/1616284800/1616371200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056793885#!/compare/1616112000/1616284800
Merryweather: 335 keys: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/6074a6c633938d0cf01d456c
Mask: 493 keys https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5fe4e3639c9fd3480e6aeb6b
Headcase: 970 keys https://backpack.tf/suggestion/608ad65f21eeb332b305f59f
Taunt: ~50 keys in buyers
Hazmatternhatten: 900 keys https://backpack.tf/suggestion/602e6e7a9cf943692f37acb3
Adds to 2748 ~2750 keys
993 keys match, more must have been involved:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056793885#!/compare/1616457600/1616544000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085861958#!/compare/1616457600/1616544000
150 keys + 43 items:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085861958#!/compare/1618704000/1618790400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198098415136#!/compare/1618704000/1618790400
https://steamuserimages-a.akamaihd.net/ugc/1774958417122807741/21FD1307203CCC8A1FCD565F988EA1E80E283409/
The 4 taunts = ~50 keys
Corona Australis is 850 keys total (410 + 440) https://steamuserimages-a.akamaihd.net/ugc/1774958417122808572/320603EEDB37D9B781292CCCC1268714BC60FE96/
Safe N Sound is 250 https://steamuserimages-a.akamaihd.net/ugc/1774958469320370780/C1CDE65715815834FA2103D4642A92D7B6224572/
Beak and Law are 916 keys all together https://steamuserimages-a.akamaihd.net/ugc/1774958469320370999/627B27CAA173A42FBDBD213BE9705A9AFD672731/
Luchadore is 49 keys https://steamuserimages-a.akamaihd.net/ugc/1774958469320373803/DB36FB18CBDEC2D4214A3CECEC2D5FC4D59E44D0/
Ubersternmann and Racer's Helmet (buyers at 105), Captain Space Mann (seller agreed ~270 keys) and Universal Translator (buyers at 18) went to bulk https://steamuserimages-a.akamaihd.net/ugc/1774958469320378396/9DA28FAD557CE73AE15B7B1AACE07E4A6B2E0E2D/
Bazaar Bargain Kit is 7 keys https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Non-Craftable%20Professional%20Killstreak%20Bazaar%20Bargain%20Kit&at=2021-04-30T08:45:27.444Z
Spelled Guzzler didn't sell https://backpack.tf/item/2890596855
Spelled Tooth Kicker didn't sell either https://backpack.tf/item/1860127903
Double Spelled Aussie RL sold at 180 keys + Pro KS AWPer Fabber + Players Hit Part https://steamuserimages-a.akamaihd.net/ugc/1774958469320593380/FF58E9DC377F00A1AB85F861D0016F533B2CD0B1/
AWPer Fabber is ~7 keys https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Professional%20Killstreak%20AWPer%20Hand%20Kit%20Fabricator&at=2021-04-30T08:52:34.650Z
Players Hit is ~2 keys https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Strange%20Part:%20Player%20Hits&at=2021-04-30T08:53:23.430Z
Other Non-Unusuals should add up to ~2 keys
This sale should round to 3000 keys
Rest of the sales are tradebacks
History 9: https://backpack.tf/item/8438513157
241 keys + Demonflame Master's Yellow Belt:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850794032#!/compare/1614470400/1614643200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056793885#!/compare/1614556800/1614643200
Better used on the Belt because it doesn't have a mini
800 keys + Something Burning This Way Comes Le Party Phantom:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056793885#!/compare/1614729600/1614816000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198146627532#!/compare/1614729600/1614816000
The Phantom doesn't have a mini because the only other usable sale was bulk
2175 keys:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198146627532#!/compare/1615939200/1616112000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198029146605#!/compare/1616025600/1616112000
~2200 keys
History 10: https://backpack.tf/item/8405860566
219 keys +20 items:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114402400#!/compare/1612828800/1612915200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198229066336#!/compare/1612828800/1612915200
Bulk
History 11: https://backpack.tf/item/8121337351
2000 keys:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048792033#!/compare/1612310400/1612396800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198795483828#!/compare/1612310400/1612396800
Other sale looks like a transter from/to an ALT
History 12: https://backpack.tf/item/7887857762
Untraceable:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198804015732#!/compare/1611878400/1611964800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198001963208#!/compare/1611878400/1611964800
Mannco.Store
Untraceable:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198259782309#!/compare/1614124800/1615852800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198269395083#!/compare/1613779200/1613865600
2550 keys:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198269395083#!/compare/1619395200/1619568000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198272185549#!/compare/1619308800/1619568000
History 13: https://backpack.tf/item/7795982067
Marketplace.tf
2030 keys:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198325595749#!/compare/1613088000/1613174400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198269395083#!/compare/1613174400/1613347200
~2050 keys
Mannco.Store + tradeback
History 14: https://backpack.tf/item/7477960124
Tradebacks
Most likely Marketplace.tf:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091502579#!/compare/1613520000/1613606400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198033412339#!/compare/1611014400/1614124800
History 15: https://backpack.tf/item/6807225203
Untraceable:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114545227#!/compare/1612483200/1612656000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198010514035#!/compare/1612569600/1612656000
History 16: https://backpack.tf/item/6788191528
Untraceable:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093816703#!/compare/1615075200/1615161600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198195734346#!/compare/1615075200/1615161600
Tradebacks
696 keys + 32 items:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198195734346#!/compare/1615420800/1615507200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114039731#!/compare/1615420800/1615507200
Seller sold the Tundra Top on Marketplace.tf at ~96 keys https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30976;5;u9
Duped Western Wear is pretty messy, seller at 24 and buyers at 20, 20 for an item like this should be close enough https://gladiator.tf/listings/608a8d29615ee0cf847a95fd
Little Buddy sale at 17 here https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198304116729#!/compare/1613520000/1613606400
All the Commando Elites seem to have been dumped to buy orders, taking buyers at 27 https://gladiator.tf/listings/608af24dab94221d17b36467
Seller sold the Head of Defense on Marketplace.tf at ~19 keys https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31114;5;u30
Cotton Head doesn't have any traceable sales but Quicksell.Store likely sold their one at 169 keys https://gladiator.tf/listings/601479815129ecbcd87505c0 https://backpack.tf/item/8824802475
El Mostacho sold on Marketplace.tf at ~21 keys https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31074;5;u15
Bazaar Bauble should come to about 7 keys
Couldn't really trace a good sale for the Skullcracker, taking buyers at 20 https://gladiator.tf/listings/608ae17ffe152f18bcdacad5
Kritzkrieg is ~43 keys https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Strange%20Specialized%20Killstreak%20Kritzkrieg&at=2021-04-30T13:03:20.421Z
17-18 keys (17.5) for the Aussie FaN https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Strange%20Professional%20Killstreak%20Australium%20Force-A-Nature&at=2021-04-30T13:04:14.999Z
90-97 (94) for the Aussie Medi Gun https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Strange%20Professional%20Killstreak%20Australium%20Medi%20Gun&at=2021-04-30T13:04:47.886Z
Stickybomb is 126 keys https://backpack.tf/suggestion/6052867d7874fa3a10047bf3
The RL and Mor don't have any usable sales and are unpriced https://backpack.tf/item/7907530337 https://backpack.tf/item/9740136487
Kazotsky Kick Unusualifier is ~24 keys https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Non-Craftable%20Unusual%20Taunt:%20Kazotsky%20Kick%20Unusualifier&at=2021-04-30T13:07:00.330Z
Zoomin Broom Unusualifier is ~9-11 keys https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Non-Craftable%20Unusual%20Taunt:%20Zoomin%27%20Broom%20Unusualifier&at=2021-04-30T13:08:00.146Z
The following Taunts are really small so taking buyers for each should be fine
Static Shock Oblooterated is like ~4 keys https://gladiator.tf/listings/608ac8a502a20c0211225a22
5 keys for the I See You https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Spellbound%20Aspect%20Taunt:%20I%20See%20You
5 for the Flippin' Awesome https://gladiator.tf/listings/608af672b88e4a2b48343c71
23 for the Boston Boarder https://gladiator.tf/listings/608bf549da37b2438862289f
5 for the Box Trot https://gladiator.tf/listings/608af5220dde5b2faf5be8c4
3 keys for the Most Wanted https://gladiator.tf/listings/608bfcc1f80cc93ba63d5436
6 for the Jumping Jack https://gladiator.tf/listings/608af4fd9ed2362b8ab5bddb
5 for the Touchdown https://gladiator.tf/listings/608a944e52bc0bc647498598
10 keys for the Victory Lap https://gladiator.tf/listings/608a95a6c53ee0d59a5b28a3
3 keys for the Most Wanted https://gladiator.tf/listings/608a93c10a84f0b8ae274755
6 keys for the Carlton https://gladiator.tf/listings/608ac8f6f202b800b0167e76
4 keys for the Balloonibouncer https://gladiator.tf/listings/608ac8e5ab3369feabbaf559 https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Arachnid%20Assault%20Taunt:%20The%20Balloonibouncer&at=2021-04-30T13:15:42.278Z
14 for the Rancho Relaxo https://gladiator.tf/listings/608af759e9e5ac3102eb6fcd
5 for the Results Are In https://gladiator.tf/listings/608a93ddbd5e15d13ef81208
7 for the Russians Arms Race https://gladiator.tf/listings/608a93eeeec8dfc629cafb70
Adds up to 1416 keys. Buyout was 2195 keys https://gladiator.tf/listings/60483d70b101bae5f199d9ca
The difference would most likely be covered by the RL and Mor that never sold properly. Won't use this to set the range but use as support
History 17: https://backpack.tf/item/6684788770
2185 keys:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198209822445#!/compare/1614124800/1614211200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109375402#!/compare/1614124800/1614211200
~2200 keys
Tradeback
Looks like 2165 keys:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109375402#!/compare/1614643200/1614729600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198280434589#!/compare/1614470400/1614729600
~2150
History 18: https://backpack.tf/item/6590424919
Mannco.Store
Untraceable:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198837618838#!/compare/1616630400/1617148800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198259782309#!/compare/1615852800/1617408000
History 19: https://backpack.tf/item/6510533733
1804 keys + Double Spelled Strange Professional Killstreak Backburner + Cloudy Moon Noble Amassment of Hats:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045916153#!/compare/1612224000/1612310400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198258937500#!/compare/1612224000/1612310400
Assessment of Hats then sold for 137 keys https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045916153#!/compare/1612224000/1612310400
Backburner had a sale at 10 keys before being used here (outdated by a few days but should be close enough) https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198258937500#!/compare/1611878400/1611964800
1804+137+10=1951 ~1950 keys
2021 keys:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198258937500#!/compare/1612915200/1613001600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120347528#!/compare/1612915200/1613001600
~2000 keys
Mannco.Store + tradeback
Possibly 2150 keys, histories don't match though:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056793885#!/compare/1616716800/1616803200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114545227#!/compare/1616630400/1616803200
History 20: https://backpack.tf/item/6195681280
Tradeback
History 21: https://backpack.tf/item/5337074600
Marketplace.tf
1:1 for a Frostbite Polar Pullover:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062420532#!/compare/1613520000/1613606400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129995083#!/compare/1613433600/1613606400
Better used there
History 22: https://backpack.tf/item/4871316832
Untraceable/Sold to a backpack buyer:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077454234#!/compare/1613088000/1613174400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198275478002#!/compare/1613088000/1613174400
Marketplace.tf
Untraceable, possibly cash:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091502579#!/compare/1613520000/1613606400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198450834803#!/compare/1613174400/1614384000
History 23: https://backpack.tf/item/4543250161
Untraceable:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109141608#!/compare/1615939200/1616025600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198269395083#!/compare/1615939200/1616025600
Mannco.Store sale
2238 keys + Uncraftable Non-Craftable Spine-Chilling Skull (~5 keys):
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199034587732#!/compare/1619481600/1619568000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198098230800#!/compare/1619481600/1619568000
=2243 keys ~2250
History 24: https://backpack.tf/item/4469010728
Mannco.Store sale
History 25: https://backpack.tf/item/4402415977
2 Mannco.Store sales
498 keys + Frostbite Human Cannonball + Cloudy Moon Brown Bomber + Purple Energy Pencil Pusher + Infernal Smoke Taunt: Square Dance + Nebula Universal Translator:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058812374#!/compare/1615852800/1615939200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198161711912#!/compare/1615593600/1615939200
Cannonball and Pencil Pusher doesn't have minis
No buyout either https://gladiator.tf/listings/604e897bb881466a20e7a816, excluding
2200 keys:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198161711912#!/compare/1616198400/1616457600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126887938#!/compare/1616371200/1616457600
Scorching Flames Surgeon's Stahlhelm + Spellbound Your Worst Nightmare + Anti-Freeze Team Captain + Spelled Spellbound Wraith Wrap:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126887938#!/compare/1616457600/1616544000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056793885#!/compare/1616457600/1616544000
Seller sold the Stahlhelm for 125 keys https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126887938#!/compare/1618272000/1618358400
Your Worst Nightmare doesn't have a usable mini
Captain had a sale at 430 keys before being sold in bulk to the pan https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070705963#!/compare/1615075200/1615420800
Wrap went to bulk
Using buyers alone here would put the sale at 1555 keys which means the 2 other items obviously had an impact, excluding
Untraceable:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056793885#!/compare/1617840000/1618012800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114545227#!/compare/1617926400/1618012800
History 26: https://backpack.tf/item/4054028300
Mannco.Store
Hellfire Whirly Warrior + Darkblaze Chieftain's Challenge:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116002030#!/compare/1618963200/1619136000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197968546159#!/compare/1619049600/1619136000
No stable minis
History 27: https://backpack.tf/item/3993412101
Untraceable:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199064748904#!/compare/1619395200/1619654400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197977534237#!/compare/1594771200/1619395200
Not sure:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197977534237#!/compare/1594771200/1619395200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085861958#!/compare/1619308800/1619395200
History 28: https://backpack.tf/item/3836204887
Untraceable, possibly cash:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082792831#!/compare/1615593600/1615680000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068732040#!/compare/1615593600/1615680000
Burning Flames Exquisite Rack (buyers 615) + Duped Scorching Flames Team Captain (buyers 750) + Cloudy Moon Exquisite Rack (920) + Strange Isotope Professional Killstreak Woodland Warrior Rocket Launcher (Field-Tested) (~40) + Fragmented Photons Bumble Beenie (buyers 53) + 64 keys:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068732040#!/compare/1617580800/1617667200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141382684#!/compare/1617408000/1617667200
Overall is 2442 keys, ~2450
History 29: https://backpack.tf/item/3521211808
2070 keys + Strange Professional Killstreak Gunslinger + Green Energy Fed-Fightin' Fedora:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198113365853#!/compare/1619049600/1619136000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085861958#!/compare/1619049600/1619136000
(Credit to Emp.TheWorld) https://imgur.com/bQsoVct
The seller sold the Fedora to buy orders (44 keys) https://backpack.tf/item/7956478900 https://gladiator.tf/listings/6082408ab6fc321d438a4c17
Gunslinger is ~82-100 keys (mean of 91) https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Strange%20Professional%20Killstreak%20Gunslinger&at=2021-04-30T07:54:38.105Z
2070+44+91=2205 ~2200 keys
History 30: https://backpack.tf/item/2924730545
Untraceable, possibly cash:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198029897880#!/compare/1612396800/1612915200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198267189538#!/compare/1612828800/1612915200
210 keys + Burning Flames Blighted Beak + Cloud 9 Virtual Viewfinder + Terror-Watt Antlers + Burning Flames Large Luchadore:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198267189538#!/compare/1613001600/1613088000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198209822445#!/compare/1613001600/1613088000
Antlers have an open suggestion at 330-400 keys (mean of 365) https://backpack.tf/suggestion/608af267e978384d460a2dbd
Beak is in-date at ~615 keys https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5fe92497576af53d0a0f2d78
Seller sold the Viewfinder for 300 keys: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198267189538#!/compare/1613088000/1613174400
Seller sold the Luchadore for a Sunbeams Pyromancer's Mask (~535 keys in-date) https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198267189538#!/compare/1617580800/1617667200
210+615+300+535=2025 ~2050 keys keys
Looks like 2145 keys:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198209822445#!/compare/1615507200/1615593600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114402400#!/compare/1615507200/1615593600
~2150 keys
Frostbite Le Party Phantom + Strange Sunbeams Bonk Boy + Anti-Freeze Pyromancer's Mask + Scorching Flames Pencil Pusher:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114402400#!/compare/1615593600/1615680000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056793885#!/compare/1615593600/1615680000
Pyromancer's Mask sale is bulk https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198099662062#!/compare/1614556800/1614643200
Pencil Pusher sale is bulk https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197970896022#!/compare/1614470400/1614556800
History 31: https://backpack.tf/item/2439051029
Untraceable, possibly cash:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114545227#!/compare/1613088000/1613260800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198001963208#!/compare/1613174400/1613260800
Sales at:
1850
1900
1950
1950
2000
2000
2000
2000
2050
2050
1250
2150
2150
2150
2150
2150
2150
2200
2200
2200
2250
2250
2250
2250
2250
2300
2450
2450
2550
2750
3000
Classies:https://gladiator.tf/listings/608a8e67be3230be8ef183fd
Sellers at 2600 keys, buyers at 2100-2250
Mannco.Store: https://mannco.store/item/1761
Seller at ~2750 keys, buyers at ~2225 keys
Most common trading point seems to be 2150-2450 keys, anything lower will be countered by the buyers but 2150 should be included because lots of sales at that price. Cutting off 2550-3000 since we're excluding lower sales and there are some lower sellers.
Going with 2150-2450
Damn thats a lot of work.
It did take a day or two
I know its not a sale, but I thought this might just so support for a raise, and maybe dropping the low end.
https://i.gyazo.com/5b91abfd69550ef5a846c6ee943e6762.png
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198295518507
I declined 2500k :)
I have only had the pan for a day or so.
https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/526381220662083584/841371173505466418/Screenshot_20210510-104833_Steam.jpg
https://backpack.tf/u/76561198136395810 - 2520k
Also I realized you probably don't have my sale.
Sold: Darkblaze Hazmatten + Spellbound Gatsby for a Golden Pan.
Probably used better on the unusuals if possible since the unusuals are not indate.
Also that Poison Shadows Hazmatten ended up selling for 990k after the items sold and the original suggestion didn't go through.
This must be your purchase:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198193943858#!/compare/1620432000/1620518400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068732040#!/compare/1620432000/1620518400
History doesn't show you selling the Pan yet, might just be because it takes time for the histories to refresh.
However this sale won't be usable here since both the Unusuals are 1 of 1 and the only other sale they had was a bulk sale:
https://backpack.tf/item/2056109899 https://backpack.tf/item/4308481537
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198038173492#!/compare/1613520000/1613606400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068732040#!/compare/1613520000/1613606400
I appreciate your response though, I'll keep refreshing to see if your sale shows
Sorry I guess I wasn't clear, I am not taking the 2520k. lol. Just showing proof of higher offers, just to show the low end is probably low.
And I am Shpougal's broker so that is not a sale. The only recent sale is for the pan.
About the range I'll leave it up to see what a mod thinks since a lot of sales happened at 2150 keys. Also thx for confirming about the brokering
https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/537092225725890570/846161518076231730/110f99480efcd04596c72b4aefdf4cac.png my sale.
I sold one for 2750 keys 2 days ago.
Also sold a bunch for cash in the last month all to MK:
#1: $4275 USD ( 2515 keys)
#2: $4370 USD (2570 keys)
Might be worth bringing your range up a little given the recent sales.
now buy order even pay 2700 keys
look like 2450 is even underprice now
Yeah this probs won't go through now, I'll still wait for a mod comment though
Just sold my gpan for 2980keys , ~3000keys
Bought mine for 2,560 pure a couple days ago (my sale is a little confusing). I know slobek just sold one for 2,410 pure a couple days ago too. I also saw here that one sold for 2600 - https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Strange+Professional+Killstreak+Golden+Frying+Pan
Thanks for the info, I'll leave this up a bit longer given how many lower sales have happened
Well done, TONNS of information to go off of. You put a lot of work into this.
Yeah it did take a few days tbh
Welp it's been 20 days and I see this is still up. Buyers have seemed to creep up a bit (2 at 2300) howeverI'm still leaving the this up
because of how common sales at 2150 or even a bit lower have been. Can't get to a PC right now but tomorrow i'll try and look to see if any new sales occurred
paid knifestorm tyrants, 13th hour ballcap, burning mancers, pe belt, cheart beak +500 all clean
https://imgur.com/JmHdZ8L
over 3000
new sales after suggestion was created:
https://mannco.store/item/440-strange-professional-killstreak-golden-frying-pan - sold for $4550 (2500 keys), $5360 (3100 keys), $4850 (2800 keys), $5000 (2900 keys)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198165629568#!/compare/1621123200/1621209600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198269395083#!/compare/1621123200/1621209600 - bought for 2400 keys and looks like they sold it for 2980 keys as mentioned in the comments above (confirmation of trade history is required)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050236510#!/compare/1623628800/1623715200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063478666#!/compare/1623628800/1623715200 - bulk for double spelled painted Strange Professional Killstreak Cow Mangler 5000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114545227#!/compare/1619740800/1619827200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841365001#!/compare/1619568000/1619827200 - sold for 2480 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082861107#!/compare/1622592000/1622678400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198170190173#!/compare/1622505600/1622678400 - sold with keys for Poisoned Shadows Antlers
we also have some unconfirmed sales mentioned in the comments by:
Desertbuggy - 2750 keys, $4275 (2500 keys), $4370 (2550 keys)
Theo - 2560 keys
Slobek - 2410 keys
all new sales mentioned in order:
2400, 2400, 2500, 2500, 2500, 2550, 2550, 2750, 2800, 2900, 3000, 3100
not sure i'd include any sales around 3000 due to the sheer number of lower sales but these new data points definitely suggest that the suggested price here is going to be a bit low now
In your opinion what should be the new range? I still think some of the lower sales should be included though personally because they've still been a common trading point
it's definitely a bit of a tough one. buyers are up to 2500 keys atm as well.
maybe 2400 - 2550 could work? this takes into account the lower sales that have occurred in the past 2 months as well as balancing it out by removing some of the higher sales from the range that have occurred since there have been so many lower previous sales as mentioned in your original suggestion
Reporting some new sales:
Sale #1:
642 keys + stormy casemaker + c9 pullover + astral high five + distant dream towering beanies + nebula translator + stormy jungle wreath + twinkling fist bump + FoD mannrobics + twinkling lights victory lap + twinking lights kazotsky kick + planets heralds + stormy hazmat headcase + burning gilded guard + wicked woods blast defense + c9 grimm + FoD squeezebox + twinkling lights arms race + stormy pyromancers + beams phantom + icefall telefragger + strange pro KS kritzkrieg + strange das fantzipantzen + pro KS ham shank kit
https://imgur.com/PzNHz5A
Sale #2: 2800 pure
https://imgur.com/VrMqlQr
Sale #3: 2700 pure
https://imgur.com/a/7NGDAFl
I think g pan price range new is like 2400-2800 keys