Price Suggestion
~87 keys
MW
Strange War Paint Spectrum Splattered
222 votes up
23 votes down
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https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197996581311#!/compare/1609113600/1609372800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064658655#!/compare/1609286400/1609372800

I received it in bulk alongside that Minigun kit


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199100906514#!/compare/1612051200/1612137600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198078548563#!/compare/1612051200/1612137600

https://gyazo.com/9874ab222976b9fc8b219e4b6b41769d

https://backpack.tf/item/9345812947

45 keys


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087175689#!/compare/1604361600/1604620800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198189534714#!/compare/1604534400/1604620800

39 keys + 1 key skin


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198189534714#!/compare/1604620800/1604707200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044934255#!/compare/1604534400/1604620800

65 keys


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198014600788#!/compare/1609286400/1609545600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198800083487#!/compare/1611273600/1611273600

Untraceable


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198800083487#!/compare/1611273600/1611273600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198275478002#!/compare/1611187200/1611273600

Untraceable


https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Strange%20Spectrum%20Splattered%20War%20Paint%20(Minimal%20Wear)

https://steamcommunity.com/market/pricehistory/?country=US&currency=1&appid=440&market_hash_name=Strange%20Spectrum%20Splattered%20War%20Paint%20(Minimal%20Wear)

["Nov 08 2020 01: +0",72.146,"1"] = 30 keys

["Nov 09 2020 01: +0",118,"1"] = 50 keys

["Nov 12 2020 01: +0",72.932,"1"] = 31 keys

["Nov 25 2020 01: +0",77,"1"] = 34 keys

["Nov 28 2020 01: +0",117.39,"1"] = 52 keys

["Dec 03 2020 01: +0",78.003,"1"] = 37 keys

["Dec 04 2020 01: +0",85,"1"] = 39 keys

["Dec 16 2020 01: +0",114.95,"1"] = 52 keys

["Dec 26 2020 01: +0",112.073,"1"] = 48 keys

["Jan 21 2021 02: +0",100,"1"] = 41 keys


https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/17257;11;w2;pk257

$94.85 / $1.89 = 50.19 keys


Sales

30

31

34

37

39

40

41

45

48

50

50

52

52

65


https://gyazo.com/3861a602d9c6cb59a2699b9eadc4581f

https://gyazo.com/4a687d6f2a224948a2babba0a40def10

Several SCM buyers at $70-86, which is about 28-35 keys

SCM sellers at $115 and $158, $115 = ~47 keys


https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/17257;11;w2;pk257

Marketplace seller at $109 = ~52 keys


https://mannco.store/item/28349

Mannco.store seller at $98.95 = ~53 keys


65 is high, 50-52 look a little high because of the SCM seller, but its quite a number of data points to exclude

30-34 is low because of buyers

The 37 / 39 key sales are actually $78 and $85, which is under buyers but with probably 10-20 cent difference in keys

40 and 45 are pure


Going with 40-52 keys

      a lot of lower sales are being excluded here. buyers have dropped down to 31 keys and we also have the new sale at 37 on scm that you mentioned. i'd argue extending the range here to 37 - 52 to take into account some of the lower sales as well. it also looks like the scm seller at 47~ is still there after a month now which further supports a slightly lower price but the wide range should be fine here due to the number of higher sales (1 being a recent one as well on marketplace)