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~44 keys
lantern
Unusual Cosa Nostra Cap Flaming Lantern
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Freebie thanks to Shufflespy


https://backpack.tf/item/1215757789

Sale 1) Sold for $70 when Keys were ~$1.86 each

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/459;5;u37

70 / 1.86 = 37.6, which rounds to 38 Keys

Sale 2) Bulk sale

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067575136#!/compare/1604880000/1604966400

Sale 3) Sold for 50 Keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067575136#!/compare/1606435200/1606521600