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Strange Golden Frying Pan
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Comments

Gpans stay rising.

May as well give it my best shot

Taking the last 3 months here, Offline's previous suggestion only had MP sales up until June

25 sales? I raise you 90.


Date started: 07/10/20

Date ended: 11/10/20


Starting with Marketplace sales

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1071;11;kt-3

Taking sales from 07/07/20 onwards

19/07/20 - $3000 / $1.97 = 1522.84 keys

24/07/20 - $3000.01 / $1.94 = 1546.40 keys

26/07/20 - $3300 / $1.93 = 1709.84 keys

27/07/20 - $3200 / $1.92 = 1666.67 keys

30/07/20 - $3300 / $1.92 = 1718.75 keys

02/08/20 - $3450 / $1.90 = 1815.79 keys

03/08/20 - $3600 / $1.89 = 1904.76 keys

10/08/20 - $3450 / $1.85 = 1864.86 keys

13/08/20 - $3200 / $1.84 = 1739.13 keys

13/08/20 - $3070 / $1.84 = 1668.48 keys

14/08/20 - $3050 / $1.80 = 1694.44 keys

14/08/20 - $3005 / $1.80 = 1669.44 keys

15/08/20 - $3100 / $1.81 = 1712.71 keys

18/08/20 - $3100 / $1.79 = 1731.84 keys

20/08/20 - $3200 / $1.79 = 1787.71 keys

20/08/20 - $3150 / $1.79 = 1759.78 keys

21/08/20 - $3350 / $1.79 = 1871.51 keys

22/08/20 - $4000 / $1.81 = 2209.94 keys

22/08/20 - $3800 / $1.81 = 2099.45 keys

23/08/20 - $3850 / $1.81 = 2127.07 keys

27/08/20 - $3350 / $1.83 = 1830.60 keys

31/08/20 - $3800 / $1.86 = 2043.01 keys

31/08/20 - $3795 / $1.86 = 2040.32 keys

12/09/20 - $3720 / $1.88 = 1978.72 keys

23/09/20 - $7500 / $1.86 = 4032.26 keys [Likely spelled, will find it's history later]

24/09/20 - $3600 / $1.84 = 1956.52 keys

24/09/20 - $3351 / $1.84 = 1821.20 keys

05/10/20 - $3350 / $1.85 = 1810.81 keys

05/10/20 - $3800 / $1.85 = 2054.05 keys

05/10/20 - $3900 / $1.85 = 2108.11 keys

05/10/20 - $4200 / $1.85 = 2270.27 keys

11/10/20 - $4200 / $1.89 = 2222.22 keys


Sales from Mannco.store

https://mannco.store/item/1761

30/08/20 - $2300 / $1.64 = 1402.44 keys


Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/9135214256

Sale 1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054037654#!/compare/1600732800/1600905600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198015947880#!/compare/1601251200/1601942400

Untrace, might have been a MP sale


Item 2

https://backpack.tf/item/9118525118

Sale 2

Mannco.store sale on 30/08/20


Sale 3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061376237#!/compare/1599177600/1599264000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197971411794#!/compare/1599264000/1599436800

Untrace, the Memory Leak Neckwear Headwear also moves, not sure whether it was for crypto or cash

Excluding


Item 2

https://backpack.tf/item/9101903085

Sale 4

Sale on MP, I think I remember Beaser getting one via buy order though that may have been a separate one


Sale 5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198232041512#!/compare/1598572800/1598659200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198000907422#!/compare/1598832000/1599004800

Seems like a MP sale


Item 3

https://backpack.tf/item/8757205990

Sale 6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1598054400/1598140800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198098589371#!/compare/1597622400/1599004800

MP sale


Item 4

https://backpack.tf/item/8481700118

Sale 7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198342161127#!/compare/1596844800/1596931200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1596844800/1596931200

Sold for 1810 keys


Sale 8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1600646400/1600732800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198013245606#!/compare/1600646400/1600732800

Looks like Bonzo Hustlers and Haunted Ghosts Rack were involved?

Much appreciated for the following screenshots from jaggu! Super helpful!

https://steamuserimages-a.akamaihd.net/ugc/1666853488459916519/655770DAB688627458F1C92BC4D35E8E5369F2E6/

https://gyazo.com/902850af0e1821ffb7850d4f53205248

Sold for 1370 keys, Bonzo Hustlers and HG rack

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MGL0ELZQ - buyout of 1999 keys

1370 + 500 + 245 (buyers on the hg rack) = 2115, easily caps at 1999 keys


Taking 1999 keys


Item 5

https://backpack.tf/item/8443749099

Sale 9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072470593#!/compare/1601251200/1601683200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129552058#!/compare/1601424000/1601510400

Sold alongside a bunch of stuff for Spellbound VVF

Probably update the recent suggestion there


Item 6

https://backpack.tf/item/8405860566

Sale 10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057412106#!/compare/1597622400/1598054400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057999536#!/compare/1597363200/1597968000


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057999536#!/compare/1599782400/1599955200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057412106#!/compare/1599609600/1600041600


Tradeback, The Shining is Uncle Dane and I guess yahiamice was nice enough to let him borrow it for that time period

Excluding


Item 7

https://backpack.tf/item/8399740010

Sale 11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066741936#!/compare/1598832000/1598918400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114402400#!/compare/1598832000/1598918400

Sold for 1900 keys


Item 8

https://backpack.tf/item/8006348789

Sale 12

Bought off MP


Item 9

https://backpack.tf/item/7795982067

Sale 13

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141702239#!/compare/1601337600/1601856000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198232041512#!/compare/1601769600/1601856000

Looks like a MP sale


Item 10

https://backpack.tf/item/7215229812

Sale 14

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071879537#!/compare/1594425600/1594598400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197998374145#!/compare/1594512000/1594598400

Sold for 1599 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4WXEPNQ7 - that was about buyers at the time


Item 11

https://backpack.tf/item/7196864499

Sale 15

Bought off MP


Sale 16

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198209640976#!/compare/1596844800/1596931200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198202477376#!/compare/1596844800/1596931200

Sold for 1689 keys


Sale 17

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198202477376#!/compare/1597449600/1597536000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091502579#!/compare/1597622400/1597708800

Untrace, might be MP


Sale 18

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091502579#!/compare/1599609600/1599696000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311981931#!/compare/1599609600/1599696000

Sold for a bunch of stuff v1:

https://prnt.sc/uuzfun - everything except the Burning Flames Fuka and Double Spelled Strange Spec KS Original

Bonzo The All-Gnawing Das Naggenvatcher - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5f7f674e3ba0382c5b225568 - 580 keys

Arcana Feathered Fiend - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5f7ed7b679ca5924cd3bca75 - 367.5 keys

DUPED Knifestorm Front Runner - No mini, buyers are at 250 keys for clean, just going to assume that someone would pay 194 keys for the DUPED pretty fast considering Samantha is paying 194 keys and they don't differentiate between Clean and DUPED

Roboactive Dr's Dapper Topper - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5f824354b234951f1c4c554b - 295 keys

DUPED Scorching Flames Le Party Phantom - taking 295 keys, see below

Purple Confetti Pyromancer's Mask - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5f809c70e011ec13785e7c6c - 106.5 keys

Scorching Flames Vintage Tyrolean - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5f80c4fc6ffc0565e27a4891 - 75 keys

The Eldritch Opening Murderer's Motif - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5f7ad4ab61aebf62af5970e4 - thanks Surz, taking 45 keys

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Mini for DUPED Knifestorm Front Runner

Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/1211967571

Only other sale

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198869144080#!/compare/1597881600/1598054400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311981931#!/compare/1597968000/1598054400

Bulky for Morning Glory VVF, can't use

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Mini for DUPED Scorching Flames Le Party Phantom

Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/410111693

Sale 1

Moved from bot to bot owner


Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311981931#!/compare/1599609600/1599696000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091502579#!/compare/1599609600/1599696000

Bulk for GPan


Sale 3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091502579#!/compare/1600041600/1600128000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045363247#!/compare/1599782400/1600128000

https://prnt.sc/uwpuai

Sold for Scorching Flames RIfleman and 125 keys

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5f81c9e1755afd7e2a3a6a7c - 170 keys

170 + 125 = 295 keys


Taking 295 as value of DUPED SF Le Party

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Sale 18 Conclusion

580 + 367.5 + 194 + 295 + 295 + 106.5 +75 + 45 = 1958 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MLV32WVJ - Buyout was 1950 keys


Capping at 1950 keys here

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Sale 19

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311981931#!/compare/1599696000/1599782400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056327660#!/compare/1599350400/1599782400

Sold for a bunch of stuff v2:

It's A Secret To Everybody Well-Rounded Rifleman - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5f80d1029a84c419c26d0e0b - 700 keys

Purple Energy Blighted Beak - no usable mini, check below

Magnetic Hat Protector Captain Space Mann - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5f830a07e4dabc6f35187935 - 309 keys

Knifestorm Copper's Hard Top - no usable mini, check my comment here - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5f7b23534ec5fa6d79286bc7

DUPED Stormy 13th Hour Western Wear - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5f832418c473f42cd54d5424 - 200 keys

DUPED Roboactive Lord Cockswain's Pith Helmet - outdated at 59 keys, buyers pay 29 for duped

Sulphurous Crocleather Slouch - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5f09df59544bc23e933b38b2 - taking 71 keys here

Scorching Flames Dr's Dapper Topper - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5eedb5875293df6a2a64a10b - 2 sellers at 140 keys, https://prnt.sc/ux6ryt reckon it's fine to take 140 here

Poisoned Shadows Officer's Ushanka - outdated at 120 keys, buyers at 87.9 keys

Disco Beat Down Brainiac Hairpiece - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5f832b747a60b43fed7031a5 - 150 keys

Amaranthine Smoking Skid Lid - outdated at 107 keys, buyers pay 90 keys

Strange Death at Dusk Eliminator's Safeguard - outdated at 83 keys, buyers pay 50.5 keys

Darkblaze Outdoorsman - outdated at 71 keys, buyers at 86 keys, https://backpack.tf/item/4266651159 - only sales are bulk here

Green Energy Patriot Peak - outdated at 89.5 keys, buyers pay 93.3 keys

Purple Energy Federal Casemaker - outdated at 124 keys, buyers pay 77 keys, sellers at 100 keys

Green Black Hole Tough Guy's Toque - outdated at 70 keys, buyers pay 41.7 keys

Wicked Wood Polar Bear - outdated at 40 keys, buyers pay 25 keys

Morning Glory Belgian Detective - outdated at 60 keys, buyers pay 45.7 keys

Disco Beat Down Western Wear - outdated at 21.5 keys, buyers pay 15.4 keys

Mystical Medley Skullbrero - just about indate at 28 keys, buyers pay 27.3 keys, 2 recent $80 sales on MP for a suggestion, someone take it yes


https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MVQO1ELE - buyout of 1950 keys I think

What I've priced so far in minis:

700 + 309 + 200 + 71 + 140 + 150 = 1570

Buyers on the PE Beak are at 360 keys, https://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Blighted%20Beak/Tradable/Craftable/10 - https://prnt.sc/ux7gh6

1570 + 360 = 1930


Pretty sure the rest of the unusuals should tot up to at least 20 keys, going to cap here at 1950!

Even if the Rifle ends up being high, there is at least 200 keys in buy orders here to cover that.

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Mini for Purple Energy Blighted Beak


Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/412435400

Sale 1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072470593#!/compare/1601251200/1601683200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129552058#!/compare/1601596800/1601683200

Bulk for Spellbound VVF I think


Item 2

https://backpack.tf/item/266878640

Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056327660#!/compare/1599350400/1599782400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311981931#!/compare/1599696000/1599782400

Bulk for GPan


Sale 3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311981931#!/compare/1599696000/1599782400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198208285571#!/compare/1599696000/1599782400

Untrace


Sale 4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198208285571#!/compare/1599782400/1600041600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198355793258#!/compare/1599523200/1600128000

Untrace also ;-;


Item 3

https://backpack.tf/item/270140588

Sale 5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114402400#!/compare/1594944000/1595203200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197992711280#!/compare/1594512000/1596240000

Untrace


Item 4

https://backpack.tf/item/3003416330

Sale 6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198127985312#!/compare/1594425600/1596153600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105071091#!/compare/1596067200/1596153600

I remember this, bought off MP


Marketplace sales

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/315;5;u10

31/07/20 - $540 / $1.92 = 281.25 keys


No usable sales

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Sale 20

Sold on MP


Item 12

https://backpack.tf/item/7097738817

Sale 21

Bought off MP


Item 13

https://backpack.tf/item/6826324108

Sale 22

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198127027258#!/compare/1600905600/1601078400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105071091#!/compare/1600819200/1600905600

Untrace, might have been MP sale


Sale 23

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105071091#!/compare/1601769600/1601856000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198280434589#!/compare/1601856000/1601942400

Untrace, gpan was instantly used in a trade for the Nebula Captain Space Mann


Sale 24

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198280434589#!/compare/1601856000/1601942400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129552058#!/compare/1601856000/1601942400

Sold alongside 600 keys for Nebula Captain Space Mann, using there


Item 14

https://backpack.tf/item/6807225203

Sale 25

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041124704#!/compare/1596412800/1596672000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114402400#!/compare/1596585600/1596672000

Sold to Pyro, there are about 1000 keys in there and presumably, some of those keys were spent on the other items

Untrace


Sale 26

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114402400#!/compare/1597968000/1598054400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198006295346#!/compare/1597968000/1598054400

Sold for a bunch of stuff v3 (No I'm serious, it sold for a bunch of stuff, spelled too!):

Flammable Bubbles of Attraction Taunt: The Soviet Strongarm - outdated at 11 keys, buyers at 6.3 keys

Valiant Vortex Field Practice - outdated at 50 keys, buyers at 14

Green Black Hole Texas Tin-Gallon - outdated at 44 keys, buyers at 40 keys

Hot Spirit of Halloween War Paint (Field-Tested) - outdated at 30.5 keys, buyers at 25 keys for generic hot war paints

Isotope Professional Killstreak Alien Tech Shotgun (Minimal Wear) - outdated at 78.5 keys, generics pay 25.5 keys

Hot Specialized Killstreak Masked Mender Medi Gun (Factory New) - outdated at 73 keys, generics pay 24.5 keys

Ancient Eldritch B'aaarrgh-n-Bicorne - outdated at 33 keys, buyers at 29 keys

Accursed Taunt: Bad Pipes - unpriced, buyers at 7.3 keys

Valiant Vortex El Mostacho - outdated at 11.5 keys, buyers at 9 keys

Hot Specialized Killstreak Spirit of Halloween Scattergun (Minimal Wear) - outdated at 29 key, generics pay 23 keys

Sulphurous Stout Shako - just about outdated at 30 keys, buyers at 25, taking 30 here

Hot Specialized Killstreak Spirit of Halloween Rocket Launcher (Factory New) - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5f83349438e25f1c1d2ecc0a - 55 keys

Sulphurous Dragonborn Helmet - outdated at 58 keys, buyers at 40 keys

Haunted Ghosts Gauzed Gaze - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5f833815421d911df048e777 - 90 keys

Ominous Night Taunt: Surgeon's Squeezebox - outdated at 41.5 keys, buyers pay 29 keys

Fragmented Photons Burning Question - barely out of date at 142.5 keys

Accursed Taunt: Spent Well Spirits - unpriced, buyers pay 4.7 keys

Accursed Taunt: Oblooterated - outdated at 15.5 keys, buyers pay 21? - https://prnt.sc/ux85zj, seems to be messy, just going to take the 11 key buyers as stable

Strange Fifth Dimension Blast Defense - outdated at 267 keys

Arcana Bolted Bicorne - outdated at 125 keys, no other usable sales, buyers pay 124 keys

Accursed Taunt: Scotsmann's Stagger - outdated at 27 keys, buyers pay 29 keys, taking 29 keys

Menacing Miasma Field Practice - indate at 45 keys

Massed Flies Crack Pot - outdated at 11 keys, buyers at 6.5 keys

Infernal Smoke Taunt: Oblooterated - just about indate at 19 keys, buyers at 13 keys

Energy Orb Specialized Killstreak Lightning Rod Shotgun (Field-Tested) - outdated at 114.5 keys, generics pay 60 for ww and julia pays for 56 for any eorb shottie

Festive Spirit Taunt: Surgeon's Squeezebox - unpriced buyers pay 24 keys

Hellish Inferno Taunt: Zoomin' Broom - indate at 50 keys

Festive Spirit Taunt: Kazotsky Kick - indate at 94 keys

Eerie Lightning Taunt: The Carlton - indate at 10.5 keys

Infernal Flames Taunt: Bad Pipes - indate at 14.5 keys

Infernal Flames Taunt: Spent Well Spirits - indate at 12.5 keys

Good-Hearted Goodies Taunt: Bad Pipes - unpriced, buyers pay 3.4 keys

Good-Hearted Goodies Taunt: Spent Well Spirits - unpriced, buyers pay 2.7 keys

Good-Hearted Goodies Taunt: Oblooterated - indate at 4.2 keys

Infernal Smoke Taunt: Bad Pipes - indate at 14 keys, buyers pay 16 keys

Infernal Smoke Taunt: Spent Well Spirits - indate at 10.5 keys

Infernal Flames Taunt: Oblooterated - outdated at 14.5 keys, buyers pay 10 keys

Chiroptera Venenata Bolted Bicorne - outdated at 94 keys, buyers pay 103 keys

Energy Orb Festivized Specialized Killstreak Turbine Torcher Flame Thrower (Minimal Wear) - outdated, generics pay 35 keys

Haunted Ghosts Flamboyant Flamenco - outdated at 51 keys, buyers pay 44 keys

Nether Void Taunt: The Soviet Strongarm - outdated at 4.5 keys, buyers pay 4.1 keys

Brain Drain Mann-O-War - outdated at 13.5 keys, buyers pay 10.3 keys

Nether Void Taunt: Scotsmann's Stagger - indate at 13 keys

Nether Void Taunt: Oblooterated - indate at 6 keys

Nether Void Taunt: Spent Well Spirits - unpriced, buyers pay 3.2 keys

Nether Void Taunt: Bad Pipes - unpriced, buyers pay 5.2 keys

Fountain of Delight Taunt: The Balloonibouncer - outdated at 9.5 keys, buyers pay 8.3 keys

Spectral Swirl Taunt: The Balloonibouncer - outdated at 17 keys, buyers pay 12 keys

Sparkling Lights Elf Esteem - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5f833b1a6a4a7511361ba158 - 25 keys

Poisoned Shadows Buccaneer's Bicorne - outdated at 440 keys, buyers pay 161 keys

Festive Spirit Taunt: The Balloonibouncer - outdated at 9.5 keys, buyers pay 11.4 keys

Abyssal Aura Bat Hat - indate at 19 keys

Pyroland Daydream Citizen Cane - indate at 25.5 keys

Isotope Specialized Killstreak Alien Tech Flame Thrower (Well-Worn) - unpriced, generics pay 20 keys

Fountain of Delight Taunt: The Scooty Scoot - outdated at 6.5 keys, buyers pay 4.7 keys

Cool Seriously Snowed Shotgun (Field-Tested) - unpriced, generics pay 22.5 keys

Good-Hearted Goodies Taunt: The Balloonibouncer - unpriced, buyers pay 4.7 keys

Good-Hearted Goodies Taunt: Scotsmann's Stagger - indate at 9 keys

Bewitched Taunt: Scotsmann's Stagger - unpriced, buyers at 30 keys

Nether Void Taunt: The Schadenfreude - indate at 15.5 keys

Hot Specialized Killstreak Spirit of Halloween Shotgun (Factory New) - unpriced, generics at 23.8 keys

Nether Void Taunt: Zoomin' Broom - outdated at 10.5 keys, buyers at 8.3 keys

Cool Specialized Killstreak Flash Fryer Flame Thrower (Field-Tested) - unpriced, buyers at 21 keys

Hot Specialized Killstreak Spirit of Halloween Stickybomb Launcher (Well-Worn) - unpriced, generics at 20.8 keys

Spooky Night Taunt: The Skating Scorcher - outdated at 16 keys, buyers pay 12 keys

Ominous Night Taunt: Scotsmann's Stagger - outdated at 34 keys, buyers pay 30 keys

Isotope Specialized Killstreak Alien Tech Claidheamh Mòr (Well-Worn) - unpriced, buyers pay 19.2 keys

Poisonous Bubbles of Regret Taunt: The Victory Lap - outdated at 35 keys, buyers pay 29 keys

Ominous Night Taunt: The Soviet Strongarm - outdated at 15 keys, buyers pay 11.2 keys

Hot Specialized Killstreak Spirit of Halloween Grenade Launcher (Minimal Wear) - unpriced, generics pay 19.2 keys, 22 and 33 key sales were noted in the previous suggestion on it - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5f2f794a94cab01f7027085f

Isotope Specialized Killstreak Alien Tech Minigun (Field-Tested) - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5f83406b76dcca75945c0efd - 110 keys

Isotope Specialized Killstreak Alien Tech Medi Gun (Field-Tested) - unpriced, generics are at 26.5 keys

Hot Specialized Killstreak Turbine Torcher Flame Thrower (Minimal Wear) - unpriced, generics pay 20.5 keys

Hellish Inferno Taunt: Pool Party - outdated at 40 keys, buyers pay 31 keys


Maths Time!

6.3 + 14 + 40 + 25 + 25.5 + 24.5 + 29 + 7.3 + 9 + 23 + 30 + 55 + 40 + 90 + 29 + 142.5 + 4.7 + 11 + 124 + 29 + 45 + 6.5 + 19 + 56 + 24 + 50 + 94 + 10.5 + 14.5 + 12.5 + 3.4 + 2.7 + 4.2 + 16 + 10.5 + 103 + 35 + 44 + 4.1 + 10.3 + 13 + 6 + 3.2 + 5.2 + 8.3 + 12 + 25 + 161 + 11.4 + 19 + 25.5 + 20 + 4.7 + 22.5 + 4.7 + 9 + 30 + 15.5 + 23.8 + 8.3 + 21 + 20.8 + 12 + 30 + 19.2 + 29 + 11.2 + 19.2 + 110 + 26.5 + 20.5 + 31 = 2102.5


https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4EPN5XVD - buyout was 1999 keys


Capping this huge sale at 1999 keys


Sale 27

Sold on MP


Sale 28

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089253101#!/compare/1601856000/1601942400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841365001#!/compare/1601769600/1601856000

Over 1900 keys match

https://prnt.sc/uusvql - confirmation of 2070 keys


Item 15

https://backpack.tf/item/6684788770

Sale 29

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043819159#!/compare/1594684800/1594857600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198036445124#!/compare/1594684800/1594857600

Sold for 1700 keys


Sale 30

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198036445124#!/compare/1594857600/1596153600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198202477376#!/compare/1595635200/1596067200

Sold for 1710 keys, Terror-Watt Highway Star and Earbuds

https://backpack.tf/item/7639918245 - no available mini on the highway star lmfao

Taking buyers at 9.2 keys

1710 + 9.2 + 3.5 = 1722.7 keys


Taking 1723 keys here


Sale 31

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198202477376#!/compare/1596153600/1596240000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198128141636#!/compare/1596153600/1596326400

Untrace


Sale 32

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198128141636#!/compare/1599004800/1599091200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198106869848#!/compare/1598918400/1599091200

Sold for Scorching Flames Rack, Poisoned Shadows Tyrant's Helm, Burning Flames Soldier's Stash and keys, not sure how many yet.

Will add to confirm, they declined my add so I guess not going to do this one darn. Plenty of other sales to lose my mind over!


Sale 33

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198106869848#!/compare/1599523200/1599609600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198106897791#!/compare/1599436800/1599696000


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198106897791#!/compare/1599696000/1599782400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198106869848#!/compare/1599696000/1599782400

Untrace/tradeback of sorts

Excluding


Item 16

https://backpack.tf/item/6634328454

Sale 34

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198840760420#!/compare/1595635200/1596153600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129552058#!/compare/1595894400/1595980800

Sold for a bunch of stuff v4:

https://gyazo.com/7fbd61189c9ab04f5038f1e8b26d6867 - screenshot of the sale, thanks Ash

Scorching Flames Exquisite Rack

Circling Heart Exquisite Rack

DUPED Green Energy Blighted Beak

DUPED Purple Energy Vintage Tyrolean

Purple Energy Horrific Headsplitter

Isotope Killstreak Blitzkrieg Medi Gun (Factory New)


Seems low considering buyers on everything, excluding here


Sale 35

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129552058#!/compare/1595894400/1595980800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198037248506#!/compare/1594252800/1595980800

Sold alongside another pan and sweets for Spellbound VVF

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5f20e97efac49338af53134e - got used there


Sale 36

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198037248506#!/compare/1596326400/1596412800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198040935434#!/compare/1596240000/1597190400

Some random trading around, either to friends or alts

Excluding since they aren't actual sales


Sale 37

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198037248506#!/compare/1596326400/1596412800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198279011226#!/compare/1577059200/1596326400

Untrace, not an actual sale


Item 17

https://backpack.tf/item/6510533733

Sale 38

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091502579#!/compare/1596153600/1596240000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198026744290#!/compare/1594512000/1596153600

Sold for a bunch of stuff v5:

Knifestorm Pencil Pusher - no mini

Cloud 9 Captain Cardbeard Cutthroat - no mini

Purple Energy Brainiac Hairpiece - no mini

Darkblaze Modest Metal Pile of Scrap - kind of a mini

Excluding this sale


Sale 39

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198026744290#!/compare/1596153600/1596240000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197991864288#!/compare/1596153600/1596240000

Sold alongside 425 keys for GBH Antlers, may it forever rest collect dust

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5f25c7d174f6bc709a040817 - was used there


Sale 40

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197991864288#!/compare/1596240000/1596326400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045916153#!/compare/1596326400/1596499200

Untrace, might have been cash


Sale 41

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045916153#!/compare/1597708800/1597881600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198146727359#!/compare/1597881600/1597968000


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198146727359#!/compare/1597968000/1598054400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045916153#!/compare/1597881600/1597968000

Tradeback, excluding


Item 18

https://backpack.tf/item/6481532993

Sale 42

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198232041512#!/compare/1595376000/1595548800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198258728302#!/compare/1595548800/1596153600

Sold for stuff v6:

Roboactive Large Luchadore

Demonflame Large Luchadore

Hellfire Large Luchadore


No other recent sales on the Roboactive and Demonflame Large Luchadores, only other sale on the Hellfire Luch is this one here if anyone would like to have a look into it:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084126218#!/compare/1596412800/1596499200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197973696367#!/compare/1596412800/1596499200

Best of luck if you've actually looked through this suggestion and you aren't a mod, huge props to you


Excluding this sale!


Sale 43

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198258728302#!/compare/1596844800/1596931200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1596844800/1596931200

Sold for 1804 keys


Sale 44

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1600473600/1600560000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084726741#!/compare/1600560000/1600560000

Untrace, not sure


Sale 45

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084726741#!/compare/1600560000/1600560000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198209822445#!/compare/1600473600/1600560000

No clue, histories haven't aligned yet


Sale 46

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198209822445#!/compare/1600819200/1600905600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198113308817#!/compare/1600905600/1600992000

Untrace


Item 19

https://backpack.tf/item/5750944633

Sale 47

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063478666#!/compare/1596758400/1596844800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197994321305#!/compare/1596758400/1596844800

Sold for Cmoon Stash, Strange Painted and Double Spelled Cow Mangler

Stash indate at 393 keys

Mangler I have not the foggiest idea how to price it


Going to exclude this sale


Sale 48

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197994321305#!/compare/1596844800/1597708800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198234128068#!/compare/1597190400/1597363200

Untrace


Sale 49

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198234128068#!/compare/1597190400/1597363200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198280434589#!/compare/1597276800/1597363200

1063 keys match and a bunch of smaller stuff v7:

https://prnt.sc/uuuics

Having a glance at the items, they really don't look like they'll reach 2000 keys


Sale 50

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198280434589#!/compare/1601510400/1601596800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129552058#!/compare/1601424000/1601510400

Sold bunch of stuff v8:

DUPED Darkblaze Soldered Sensei - taking 1000, see below for reason why

Harvest Moon Brainiac Hairpiece - indate at 725 keys

Demonflame Crocleather Slouch - indate at 170 keys

Acidic Bubbles of Envy Taunt: The Dueling Banjo - 4 months outdated at 19.5 keys

1000 + 725 + 170 + 19.5 = 1914.5 keys

Going with 1915 keys here

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/M07ZRWLV - buyout of 2250 keys

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Mini for DUPED Darkblaze Soldered Sensei

item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/2075419369

Sale 1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063363962#!/compare/1598227200/1599523200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198232041512#!/compare/1599436800/1599523200

Sold for 1299 keys? Not sure

https://prnt.sc/uxdpdz – thanks Beaser, bulk qbuy, excluding this


Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198232041512#!/compare/1601424000/1601510400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129552058#!/compare/1601424000/1601510400

Sold for some stuff:

Green Energy Blighted Beak

Purple Energy Gauzed Gaze

Energy Orb Festivized Professional Killstreak Turbine Torcher Flame Thrower (Field-Tested)

Poisoned Shadows Little Buddy

Anti-Freeze Détective Noir

Bewitched Taunt: Conga

Green Black Hole Prince Tavish's Crown


Sale 3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129552058#!/compare/1601424000/1601510400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198280434589#!/compare/1601510400/1601596800

Bulk for GPan, use there


Sale 4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198280434589#!/compare/1601856000/1601942400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139171368#!/compare/1601856000/1601942400

I believe bulk for Darkblaze Antlers - https://prnt.sc/uxbclm yep, thanks Sunjar


Item 2

https://backpack.tf/item/2036847862

Sale 5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050745352#!/compare/1602115200/1602288000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198023184551#!/compare/1602115200/1602201600

Cash, see here - https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198023184551 - https://prnt.sc/ux9nqr, and here - https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198050745352 - https://prnt.sc/ux9nzh

https://prnt.sc/uuxjph - ss of proof

https://prnt.sc/uxadxn - $1700

https://steamuserimages-a.akamaihd.net/ugc/1658972492059989025/453AB834D8E5C41B42961E475B6D478CE969AA8D/ - Huge thanks to Chaoz for providing this screenshot!

https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/75270-selling-keys-for-173-via-paypalcrypto-17860%C2%A0keys-sold/ - keys for $1.73

Multiple buyers of keys at $1.70+:

https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/66758-buying-keys-for-171-usd-via-paypaltrusted-trader/ - $1.71

https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/68510-buying-keys-for-170-backpacks-via-paypal-200-rep/ - $1.70

https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/76137-wtb-100-keys-165-17-per/ - $1.65/$1.70

https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/47073-165-usd-for-your-keys-no-rep-needed-veteran-trusted-trader/ - $1.65/$1.66


Going to go with keys as $1.73 each here at the time of the trade


Sale:

$1754.59 / $1.73 = 1014.21 keys


Taking 1000 keys as the price of the DUPED Darkblaze Sensei, not sure what happened with that 1299 sale and don't fancy looking through the bulk :D

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Item 20

https://backpack.tf/item/5693694459

Sale 51

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050663409#!/compare/1594598400/1597363200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198136395810#!/compare/1597536000/1597795200

Untrace


Item 21

https://backpack.tf/item/5571159145

Sale 52

Sold on MP


Sale 53

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198280434589#!/compare/1601856000/1601942400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139171368#!/compare/1601856000/1601942400

I have my suspicion that this was part of a bulk trade for the Darkblaze Antlers - https://prnt.sc/uxbclm yep, thanks Sunjar again :D


Item 22

https://backpack.tf/item/5551252875

Sale 54

Sold on MP


Item 23

https://backpack.tf/item/5472487574

Sale 55

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049884052#!/compare/1600819200/1600905600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198209822445#!/compare/1600819200/1600905600

Untrace


Item 24

https://backpack.tf/item/4881446207

Sale 56

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140316312#!/compare/1594598400/1595980800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198202477376#!/compare/1594425600/1595635200

Untrace


Sale 57

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198202477376#!/compare/1594425600/1595635200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129552058#!/compare/1595894400/1595980800

Sold for a bunch of stuff v10:

Going with untrace, it's super difficult to see what it sold for here since Ash purchases a different pan [See Sale 34]


Sale 58

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198202477376#!/compare/1595635200/1596067200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129552058#!/compare/1595894400/1595980800

Untrace, pan was bought off Sloth and instantly used in a trade for the Spellbound VVF I mentioned in Sale 35


Sale 59

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129552058#!/compare/1595894400/1595980800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198037248506#!/compare/1594252800/1595980800

Sold alongside another pan and adds for Spellbound VVF

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5f20e97efac49338af53134e - got used there


Sale 60

Same as Sale 36

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198037248506#!/compare/1596326400/1596412800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198040935434#!/compare/1596240000/1597190400

Some random trading around, either to friends or alts

Excluding since they aren't actual sales


Sale 61

Same as Sale 37

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198037248506#!/compare/1596326400/1596412800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198279011226#!/compare/1577059200/1596326400

Untrace, not an actual sale


Sale 62

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198279011226#!/compare/1597276800/1597363200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066815050#!/compare/1597276800/1597363200

Sold for 1800 keys

https://prnt.sc/uuxjph - ss of proof


Sale 63

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066815050#!/compare/1598572800/1598659200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198309178418#!/compare/1598572800/1598659200

Sold for 1670 keys, Smoking VVF, Double Spelled Strange Professional Killstreak Festive Rocket Launcher and Professional Killstreak Australium Blutsauger

Smoking VVF is indate at 165 keys buy buyers are already at 170 keys because misc hype

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30140;5;u35

04/10/20 - $325 / $1.85 = 175.68 keys

Taking 176 keys as its value here should be fine

Double Spelled Pro KS Festive RL - Azazel sold his for 40 keys - https://gyazo.com/ad805573c4d8dad7186545ce10d01d67

Blutsauger - 8 keys


1670 + 176 + 40 + 8 = 1894 keys


Item 25

https://backpack.tf/item/4402415977

Sale 64

MP sale


Sale 65

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198042177946#!/compare/1597190400/1597276800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197994697258#!/compare/1597276800/1597363200

Untrace, might have been MP, who knows


Sale 66

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197994697258#!/compare/1600128000/1600214400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198028047532#!/compare/1600128000/1600300800

1950 keys match, I didn't check the histories but subtracted the 12 non-key items from the total of 1962 that left riley's inventory

Not sure if the double spelled Strange Pro KS Festive Rocket Launcher is included or not

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4P0EQ7DE - 2000 key buyout

Hopefully this fits inside the range regardless


Item 26

https://backpack.tf/item/4400501112

Sale 67

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198303951564#!/compare/1594252800/1596153600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198003345596#!/compare/1594598400/1596153600

Untrace, might have been MP


Item 27

https://backpack.tf/item/4326603511

Sale 68

Bought off MP


Sale 69

Congrats to Desertbuggy and Business Sloth on being the 69th sale I checked... And what a sale it is to kick it off woah

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056793885#!/compare/1596153600/1596240000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198202477376#!/compare/1596153600/1596240000

I believe this is one of the 2 gpans that was traded alongside 250 keys and $3060 for the Hellfire Antlers

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5f2518371f5a88735937e8de - used here


Sale 70

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198202477376#!/compare/1600905600/1600992000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198007357459#!/compare/1600905600/1600992000

Sold for Frostbite Polar Pullover

Can't find a buyout

Taking 2165 keys


Item 28

https://backpack.tf/item/3997151494

Sale 71

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198162647421#!/compare/1598486400/1598572800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198148511293#!/compare/1598486400/1598572800

Sold for 1759 keys


Item 29

https://backpack.tf/item/3993412101

Sale 72

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043466381#!/compare/1596672000/1596931200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050555890#!/compare/1592092800/1597276800

Untrace


Item 30

https://backpack.tf/item/3848465947

Sale 73

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198207987376#!/compare/1595548800/1596153600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084126218#!/compare/1594857600/1595548800

Bulky-ish trade, the pan sold alongside 100 keys, Disco Beat Down Boxcars, Strange Double Spelled Pro KS Original and HHH Earbuds for the Strange Arcana Bonk Boy and Spellbound Bonk Leadwear

Going to exclude here, would preferably use it on the Arcana Bonk tbh, but even then, it's questionable


Sale 74

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084126218#!/compare/1597968000/1598054400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198910935223#!/compare/1598054400/1598313600

Untrace


Item 31

https://backpack.tf/item/3836204887

Sale 75

Placed on MP, also it's spelled


Item 32

https://backpack.tf/item/3544214300

Sale 76

Bought off MP


Item 33

https://backpack.tf/item/2924730545

Sale 77

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198036445124#!/compare/1600473600/1600732800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198195933333#!/compare/1600646400/1600732800

Sold for 1875 keys and 2 scrap ;-;


Item 34

https://backpack.tf/item/2572036372

Sale 78

Bought off MP

This is spelled, excluding


Sale 79

Bought off MP

This is spelled, excluding


Item 35

https://backpack.tf/item/2439051029

Sale 80

Back and forth off Mannco.store


Item 36

https://backpack.tf/item/2326986300

Sale 81

Bought off MP


Sale 82

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198037099955#!/compare/1599350400/1599609600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198106869848#!/compare/1599523200/1599609600

Sold for a bunch of stuff v11:

Darkblaze Whoopee Cap - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5f654ed68e9d14416370b5d3 - recent at 310 keys

Strange Sunbeams Bonk Boy - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5ed7049f6006a7371c0d628f - outdated at 312.5 keys, buyers pay 330 for Clean

Scorching Flames Specialized Killstreak Le Party Phantom - outdated at 190 keys, buyers pay 260 keys

Scorching Flames Specialized Killstreak Pyromancer's Mask - indate at 347.5 keys, buyers pay 370 keys

Scorching Flames Master's Yellow Belt - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5f83718f3af5873752115fab - 445 keys

50 keys


310 + 330 + 260 + 370 + 445 + 50 = 1765 keys


I know I was lazy ;-; but even with misc hype this seemed oddly low.

Excluding...


Sale 83

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198106869848#!/compare/1599609600/1599696000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198106897791#!/compare/1599696000/1599782400

Tradeback, excluding


Sale 84

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198106869848#!/compare/1599868800/1599955200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198804015732#!/compare/1599609600/1599955200

https://prnt.sc/uuxlft - paid $3350, MP sale


Sale 85

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198804015732#!/compare/1600300800/1600387200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114402400#!/compare/1600300800/1600387200

Looks like sold for 1900 keys

https://prnt.sc/uuxlft - sold for 1900 keys


Item 37

https://backpack.tf/item/9121654392

Sale 86

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198392364645#!/compare/1598313600/1599350400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198231082180#!/compare/1599264000/1599350400

Think sold for 1865 keys

https://prnt.sc/uwfrbl - confirmation from buyer


Sale 87

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198231082180#!/compare/1601424000/1601510400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841365001#!/compare/1601424000/1601510400

Sold for DUPED Burning Flames Bonk Boy, Anti-Freeze Le Party and 1050 keys

https://prnt.sc/uwfqlc - ss of chat confirmation

https://prnt.sc/uwfrbl - confirmation from seller

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4EZOR2ZE - buyout of 2150 keys


Sale comes to around 1900 keys with what I've calculated, it appears a little low but it'll fit into the range somewhere, I just don't have much time left and want to wrap up this suggestion.


Recent DUPED BF Bonk sale on MP

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/451;5;u13;strange

16/09/20 - $899.99 / $1.85 = 486.48 keys which is effectively buyers


-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Mini for AF Le Party


Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/1680715071

Sale 1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198202477376#!/compare/1598486400/1598572800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199019427074#!/compare/1598486400/1598572800

365 keys match


Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199019427074#!/compare/1601164800/1601251200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198969122505#!/compare/1601164800/1601251200

Sold for:

CTF Logo Rack

CTF Logo Stash

85 keys


Sale 3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198969122505#!/compare/1601251200/1601337600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083134207#!/compare/1601251200/1601337600

Sold for 400 keys


Item 2

https://backpack.tf/item/1761554311

Sale 4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063475894#!/compare/1601251200/1601337600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841365001#!/compare/1601251200/1601337600

405 keys match


Sale 5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841365001#!/compare/1601424000/1601510400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198231082180#!/compare/1601424000/1601510400

Bulk for GPan


I didn't want to drop it over there considering how buyers on sale 2 would even it out to 385 keys anyhow


I guess taking 410 keys as it's current value is fine.

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Sale 88

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841365001#!/compare/1601510400/1601596800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139171368#!/compare/1601510400/1601596800

Sold for a bunch of stuff v12:

I don't know what was included entirely, the BF Tyrant's and the MG Luck Shot certainly weren't.

Going to exclude, I don't know specifics.


Sale 89

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139171368#!/compare/1601596800/1601683200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198160856661#!/compare/1601596800/1601683200


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198160856661#!/compare/1601769600/1601856000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139171368#!/compare/1601769600/1601856000

Tradeback

Confirmed by Sunjar that he owned Torb money - https://prnt.sc/ux8zfn


Sale 90

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311981931#!/compare/1601856000/1601942400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198034367505#!/compare/1601942400/1602115200

Sold for 2100 keys I think


Sales

1523

1546

1710

1667

1719

1816

1905

1865

1739

1668

1694

1713

1732

1788

1760

1872

2210

2100

2127

1831

2043

2040

1979

1957

1821

1811

2054

2108

2270

2222

1402

1810

1999

1689

1950

1950

1999

2070

1700

1723

1804

1915

1894

2165

1759

1875

1900

1865

2100


Sales but in order

1402

1523

1546

1667

1668

1689

1694

1700

1710

1713

1719

1723

1732

1739

1759

1760

1788

1804

1810

1811

1816

1821

1831

1865

1865

1872

1875

1894

1900

1905

1915

1950

1950

1957

1979

1999

1999

2040

2043

2054

2070

2100

2100

2108

2127

2165

2210

2222

2270


Current Listings

https://prnt.sc/uxcm74

Sellers start from 2200 keys

Buyers start from 2020 keys


Listings over the past month

10/09/20 - https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y8053JWX, https://prnt.sc/uxla78, Sellers @1950, Buyers @1800

11/09/20 - https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MVQO1ELE, https://prnt.sc/uxlatc, Sellers @1950, Buyers @1820

12/09/20 - https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MVQOQ93E, https://prnt.sc/uxlb8h, Sellers @1950, Buyers @1821

13/09/20 - https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y79W1XP8, https://prnt.sc/uxlbr6, Sellers @1950, Buyers @1860

14/09/20 - https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4O95W6QG, https://prnt.sc/uxlcal, Sellers @1950, Buyers @1860

15/09/20 - https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4ZPGDEO1, https://prnt.sc/uxldtz, Sellers @1950, Buyers @1850

16/09/20 - https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4P0EQ7DE, https://prnt.sc/uxle6y, Sellers @1950, Buyers @1870

17/09/20 - https://bot.tf/stats/listings/466DQN09, https://prnt.sc/uxlel0, Sellers @1950, Buyers @1880

18/09/20 - https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MVQV1E1V, https://prnt.sc/uxleyg, Sellers @1950, Buyers @1810

19/09/20 - https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4WXD6RVN, https://prnt.sc/uxlfbt, Sellers @1950, Buyers @1810

20/09/20 - https://bot.tf/stats/listings/M19JXN9O, https://prnt.sc/uxlfoo, Sellers @1950, Buyers @1810

21/09/20 - https://bot.tf/stats/listings/466508W2, https://prnt.sc/uxlfz7, Sellers @1950, Buyers @1810

22/09/20 - https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4O9ZXJEG, https://prnt.sc/uxlgbn, Sellers @1999, Buyers @1950

23/09/20 - https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4296RR77, https://prnt.sc/uxlgm8, Sellers @2000, Buyers @1900

24/09/20 - https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MVQV2G93, https://prnt.sc/uxlgvp, Sellers @2200, Buyers @1900

25/09/20 - https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MVQV0OE6, https://prnt.sc/uxlh7o, Sellers @2100, Buyers @1900

26/09/20 - https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4O6OVJDP, https://prnt.sc/uxlhjb, Sellers @2100, Buyers @1950

27/09/20 - https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4O6OQKDW, https://prnt.sc/uxlhuh, Sellers @2100, Buyers @1910

28/09/20 - https://bot.tf/stats/listings/420DLXLQ, https://prnt.sc/uxli46, Sellers @2100, Buyers @1900

29/09/20 - https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MQG8XPE1, https://prnt.sc/uxlig0, Sellers @2100, Buyers @1900

30/09/20 - https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MN7V2NR3, https://prnt.sc/uxlipa, Sellers @2100, Buyers @1920

01/10/20 - https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4J5RNP5V, https://prnt.sc/uxlizw, Sellers @2150, Buyers @1930

02/10/20 - https://bot.tf/stats/listings/M07ZRWLV, https://prnt.sc/uxlj8a, Sellers @2150, Buyers @1930

03/10/20 - https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MLLRR5ZO, https://prnt.sc/uxljie, Sellers @2150, Buyers @1930

04/10/20 - https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MN7LOPWJ, https://prnt.sc/uxljqk, Sellers @2150, Buyers @1930

05/10/20 - https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MQG973VP, https://prnt.sc/uxlk1y, Sellers @2150, Buyers @1940

06/10/20 - https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y3053V5E, https://prnt.sc/uxlkbd, Sellers @2150, Buyers @1940

07/10/20 - https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y7JDK18L, https://prnt.sc/uxlkmh, Sellers @2200, Buyers @1950

08/10/20 - https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4K0R77NN, https://prnt.sc/uxlkuz, Sellers @2150, Buyers @1980

09/10/20 - https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4EZE1N12, https://prnt.sc/uxll57, Sellers @2200, Buyers @1980

10/10/20 - https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y8N0RODN, https://prnt.sc/uxllg2, Sellers @2200, Buyers @2000

11/10/20 - https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MN7ROVK3, https://prnt.sc/uxllpq, Sellers @2200, Buyers @2010


Concluding Remarks

Out of the 49 usable sales I found:

28 are below 1900 keys

6 are above 2100 keys

15 are between my proposed range of 1900 - 2100 keys


This places the midpoint at 2000 keys, which going off classifieds, is what buyers are paying at the present moment

Bear in mind Marketplace buy orders as well.

https://prnt.sc/uxo4yw - buyers are at $3500

Keys have been $1.88/$1.89 recently

$3500 comes to about 1850/1860 keys


Going to go with 1900 to 2100 keys here, I think the recent market shift indicates that 1800 would be a bit too low to include currently.

if anything, it means the lucky suggestor that next suggests this may well be dropping it in price if GPans lose their hype.


Taking 1900 - 2100 keys!


Of course, any criticism and legitimate comments are welcome <3


After many @Price Moderator pings on Discord, huge thanks to everyone that helped along the way!

Certain names that spring to mind would be:

Ash - thanks for asking me to suggest this in the first place, certainly a personal milestone for me

Sunjar - putting up with me pestering him for his trades haha, he traded for a damn lot of these

Beaser - couple of sales from him, annoyed him a bunch

Azazel - lovely chap, super helpful with the screenshots of some of the minis :D

Chaoz - huge thanks for the screenshot confirmation on the Darkblaze Sensei, extremely helpful!


To all the price mods I annoyed, love you guys:

Scourge - Was annoying him pretty much non-stop about the cursed Starstorm Insomnia Killer's Kabuto

Erik - cleared up stuff about sweets and mini-ing tiny adds, as well as calculating the key value of a cash trade

Xerg - awesome help on ranges and the numerous minis I did

Shuffle - rat <3

Foamy and King - thanks for the help on the range, was a tough decision!

    i like how you put what you did in sale 42 xd

    and grats, i kinda wanted to attempt the gpan since my vote power finally hit that range, maybe in 3 months time

    The amount of work you put in for this one suggestion is insane. Great work.

    Just purchased one for 2100 pure.

      Thanks for the compliment, 2100 fits in the range and now pan sellers have risen by another 100 keys as well as buyers up to 2050 now haha

        the recent rise of gpans is insane

      Sellers are going up yet again.

      Only one at 2300, the rest has gone up to 2350.


      A higher high end might not be out of the question depending on buy orders and sales in the near future

        Out of the 49 usable sales I found:

        28 are below 1900 keys

        6 are above 2100 keys

        15 are between my proposed range of 1900 - 2100 keys


        So far there are maybe 3 or 4 sales above 2300 which is a pretty common occurrence with suggestions of this sale.


        I have previously already asked mods regarding this and they even suggested 1800 - 2100 would be valid but my reasoning was that 1900 - 2100 shows a tighter range of sales. Yes they might be high now but if they go even higher then I'll be open to a change. For now, this is fine

      Another Pan's huge suggestion,

      Good work!

        Did you read it all already? :D

        Thanks a bunch C:

          I was flipping through the suggetion with lightning speed for minutes

        I sold this for knife stash + af defiant + ge war pig

        with 2300 b/o

        Dont mind me just flexing my pan sale!

        1700 pure + Misty Mancers

        https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198232041512#!/compare/1602547200/1602633600

          Capping at 2300 buyout yes 😔


          Still too few data points to include 2300 as part of the range, see my conclusion for further information. If somehow 20 pans all sell for 2300 then I'll reconsider it

            idk man 1400 - 2300 keys seems like a pretty good range for such a god item of the team fortress two community

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