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Sales
Sale 1: Sold for 25 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198192602363#!/compare/1601596800/1601683200
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MV61ZK2W
Sale 2: Untrace
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198880723309#!/compare/1597276800/1598832000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198113330438#!/compare/1597795200/1599091200
Sale 3: Untrace
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125791160#!/compare/1594512000/1594598400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198010742559#!/compare/1594425600/1594598400
Sale 4: Untrace
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073954274#!/compare/1600905600/1601164800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198216803111#!/compare/1600732800/1600905600
Sale 5: Sold for 20 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198341171690#!/compare/1596585600/1596672000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073954274#!/compare/1596412800/1596672000
Sale 6: Sold for 13 keys~
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198431686830#!/compare/1594684800/1597017600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198341171690#!/compare/1594598400/1594684800
https://bot.tf/stats/item?def=31016&q=5&ef=Ring%20of%20Fire&craft=1&aus=0&ks=0&source=browser_script
https://gyazo.com/ec10a649a5f096c461052398e5fcd706
Marketplace sales
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31016;5;u117
August
25 on August 30 (25/1.88 = 13~)
https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-08-30
September
34.6 on September 3 (34.6/1.84 = 19~)
https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-09-03
34.95 on September 5 (34.95/1.83 = 19~)
https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-09-05
25.3 on September 21 (25.3/1.84 = 14~)
https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-09-21
Other exchanges such as with tradeit.
https://backpack.tf/item/7254452654
https://backpack.tf/item/7308970985
Current Classifieds
https://backpack.tf/classifieds?item=Murderer%27s%20Motif&quality=5&tradable=1&craftable=1&australium=-1&particle=117&killstreak_tier=0
https://gyazo.com/65f46c436648bb60d12656606b59408c
Summary
Sales at 13, 20, and 25.
Marketplace sales at 13, 14, 19, and 19.
Conclusion
13 and 14 are both under buyers, excluding.
Considering I am excluding 3 sales at far lower, and 3 sales being around 19-20~, 25 seems a little high, going to exclude 25 here.
Going with 19-20 here.
Take it easy.