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my mistake, thanks xergo
sales
sold for 26 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199029568303#!/compare/1594339200/1594425600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198983490591#!/compare/1593820800/1594339200
buyout was close enough
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4WX5GGQX
untrace to quickbuyer
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198810076577#!/compare/1593388800/1594080000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199029568303#!/compare/1593302400/1593388800
buy order was 23 keys~
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y3W9ODLE
untrace
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198180923509#!/compare/1591747200/1591833600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198887447122#!/compare/1592179200/1592611200
untrace
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1591747200/1591833600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198180923509#!/compare/1591747200/1591833600
buyout was 25 keys + 30 ref
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MVQW60X2
sold for 23 keys + 1 ref
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198143892194#!/compare/1591488000/1591574400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1591401600/1591488000
buyorder was same
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y5ZV3273
sold with tw billycock for bf larrikan?
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1591228800/1591315200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197966753371#!/compare/1591228800/1591315200
but then there seems to have been a tradeback right after, excluding.
https://backpack.tf/item/7441140065
bot.tf
https://bot.tf/stats/item?def=30977&q=5&ef=Circling%20Heart&craft=1&aus=0&ks=0&source=browser_script
https://imgur.com/a/EaX0PDw
marketplace
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30977;5;u19
66 on june 3 (66/1.96 = 34 keys~)
https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-06-03
60.99 on june 8 (60.99/1.98 = 31 keys~)
https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-06-08
66 on june 9 (66/1.99 = 33 keys~)
https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-06-09
45.10 on june 19 (45.10/1.98 = 23 keys~)
64.99 on june 19 (64.99/1.98 = 33 keys~)
https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-06-19
62.45 on june 25 (62.45/1.99 = 31 keys~)
https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-06-25
62.45 on july 3 (62.45/2 = 31 keys~)
https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-07-03
classifieds
https://gyazo.com/1c674ab1103e5fe25883645c7aeac5f2
buyers range from 22.8 to 23~
past sellers are around 26-28 keys
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y80VO6RN
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MLV7DDEG
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/429ROWPQ
summary
2 @ 23 keys
6-7 @ 26 keys
3 @ 31 keys
2 @ 33 keys
1 @ 34 keys
conclusion
quite a few past sellers at 26, going to exclude 33/34 here as high outliers.
excluding 23 due to buyers at 23~
31 has 3 sales, common enough to include
going 26-31 here.