Price Suggestion
Purple Confetti Old Guadalajara
Submitted by Scourge
~11 keys
p.fetti
Unusual Old Guadalajara Purple Confetti
360 votes up
61 votes down
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Comments

Resuggestion, Thanks to Xerogyf & Erik for the info!


Challenge 19, Team F.L.A.M.B.E.S!

82nd suggestion, made by Beaser!


https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/247;5;u7

$28.9 / $1.82 = 15.88 keys

$30 / $1.87 = 16.04 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/232076807

https://backpack.tf/item/359663519


Sale #1 -

FoD Rancho (14) + 2 keys = 16

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198204215085#!/compare/1590192000/1590451200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199014069450#!/compare/1590451200/1590537600


Rancho Mini:

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5ef929254799326af83ec03a

Suggestion for 14 keys


Sale #2 -

QS

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198151531499#!/compare/1589760000/1589932800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198204215085#!/compare/1589500800/1590192000


Sale 3:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1587427200/1587513600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198151531499#!/compare/1587427200/1587686400

Sold for 13 keys


Sale 4:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198151531499#!/compare/1589760000/1589932800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198204215085#!/compare/1589500800/1590192000

Sold for 9 keys


Total sales @:

9, 13, 16, 16, 16 keys


considering unsold for 8 motnhs at 15,

https://i.imgur.com/7V9nVHp.jpg

and that 13 resold for lower,

the 16 sales can be considered outliers.

buyers up to 10 keys,


Erik’s Part:

Sale 3 only appears to have been 11 keys.


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198151531499#!/compare/1587427200/1587686400 - 11 keys on buyer side.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1587427200/1587513600 - 11 histories match on seller side


Taking 11 flat.

    I think this is a case where you might want to include 16, as it feels like you are excluding too many sales/a common trading point.

    In addition, its possible that Saltz just got unlucky with other people undercutting him by a dollar or less and selling for essentially the same price, as well as the fact that being a mp.tf cross-listing might discourage item offers that he could of sold it for.


    My only concern is how long rubi had it before selling for 11, looks like he had it for ~5 months https://backpack.tf/item/232076807 I doubt it was at 11 the whole time but without bot.tf its impossible to tell.


    Maybe this just needs more sales but I think 11 flat might be low considering 3 sales at 16 and buyers up to 10

      I actually had the same concern, that the situation of this hat was excluding too many sales / being too low.

      My assumption was that Erik either didn't have an issue with this or was going to leave this up for more sales.

      seller at 15 keys is almost 10 months old now.

      in addition, there is another seller at 15~ on scm atm as well:

      https://imgur.com/a/a4pzAEj

      https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Old%20Guadalajara


      i'm not a fan of including 16 in the range here given this. on top of this, this was recently dumped on to stn.tf for likely their buy price of 8 keys + 19 ref which supports the drop and to exclude 16 here:

      https://backpack.tf/item/232076807

      https://stntrading.eu/item/tf2/Unusual+Purple+Confetti+Old+Guadalajara