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Disco Beat Down Horrific Headsplitter
Sale 1
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198190058027#!/compare/1588723200/1588809600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198868564267#!/compare/1588723200/1588809600
Used for tyrolean
Sale 2
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198868564267#!/compare/1591401600/1591488000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198197292179#!/compare/1591401600/1591488000
Sold in bulk so PE Headsplitter
Sale 3
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198197292179#!/compare/1591401600/1591488000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1591401600/1591488000
quicksold for 18 keys to bot
Sale 4
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1591401600/1591488000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198271982139#!/compare/1571702400/1592352000
Untraced
Sale 5
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198271982139#!/compare/1592352000/1592524800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198267189538#!/compare/1592265600/1592352000
Untraced
Sale 6
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198267189538#!/compare/1590019200/1590192000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198106206016#!/compare/1590019200/1590105600
Untraced
Sale 7
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1590364800/1590451200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198113990147#!/compare/1588464000/1590796800
Untraced
Sale 8
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198113990147#!/compare/1590796800/1591315200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1590883200/1590969600
Traded together with A caped crusader, other than that nothing.
Sale 9
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1590969600/1591056000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198369394263#!/compare/1589932800/1591660800
Sold for 20 keys pure
Sale 10
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1585353600/1585440000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116106967#!/compare/1584576000/1585440000
Untraced
Sale 11
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198165383147#!/compare/1588464000/1590796800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1590710400/1590796800
Untraced
Sale 12
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197984632483#!/compare/1585699200/1585785600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198363395191#!/compare/1585699200/1585785600
Untraced
Sale 13
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198363395191#!/compare/1585785600/1585872000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197988733568#!/compare/1566950400/1587427200
Untraced
Sale 14
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198122796000#!/compare/1586476800/1586649600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198157255303#!/compare/1586563200/1586822400
Traced 21 keys
Sale 15
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198157255303#!/compare/1588204800/1588291200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1588118400/1588204800
Sold for Smoking Tundra top. Lowest buyers 22keys. Highest sellers 28 keys.
Sale 16
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1588291200/1588377600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198181716634#!/compare/1588377600/1588464000
Untraced
Sale 17
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198181716634#!/compare/1590278400/1590364800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079869886#!/compare/1590278400/1590364800
Sold for Miami Nights Safe n Sound. Lowest buyer ~ 14 keys. Lowest sellers at 24 keys.
Sale 18
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1585699200/1585785600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139359569#!/compare/1585699200/1585785600
Sold for Isotope Specialized Killstreak Gift Wrapped Rocket Launcher (Well-Worn)
Currently outdated and cant be updated. Excluding.
Sale 19
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139359569#!/compare/1587600000/1587859200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085347196#!/compare/1587513600/1587600000
Sold for a Disco Beat Down Tartan Spartan -Current seller ~ 10 keys which is lower than headsplitter buyers. Excluded.
Sale 20
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085347196#!/compare/1587600000/1588377600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1587513600/1587600000
Untraced
Sale 21
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1587686400/1587772800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123441069#!/compare/1587772800/1587945600
Counted around 27 keys traded.
Marketplace sales: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/291;5;u62
1. Sold on 4/3/2020 for $38.95 / $1.70 = 22.91 keys ~ 23 keys
2. Sold on 4/25/2020 for $39.99 / $1.79 = 22.34 keys ~ 22 keys
3. Sold on 5/9/2020 for $39.99 / $1.89 = 21.16 keys ~ 21 keys
4. Sold on 5/11/2020 for $39.99 / $1.90 = 21.05 keys ~ 21 keys
5. Sold on 5/21/2020 for $34.99 / $1.88 = 18.61 keys ~ 19 keys
6. Sold on 5/23/2020 for $37.98 / $1.90 = 19.99 keys ~ 20 keys
7. Sold on 5/30/2020 for $49.99 / $1.94 = 25.77 keys ~ 26 keys
8. Sold on 6/9/2020 for $49.99 / $1.99 = 25.12 keys ~ 25 keys
9. Sold on 6/16/2020 for $26.91 / $1.98 = 13.59 keys ~ 14 keys (Excluded, lower than current buyers)
10. Sold on 6/24/2020 for $39.99 / $2.00 = 20.00 keys
Conclusion:
2 mature sellers at 24 keys, 1 young at 20 keys, therefore pricing is capped at 24 keys. Buyers at ~ 18 keys. With those criteria, usable sales are 23, 22, 21, 21, 19, 20, 20 + the two other unusual trades capping at 24 keys. Suggested pricing at 19 - 24 keys.
I see no sales at 24. In sale 15 the Tundra is outdated and keys were added with the Headsplitter, and in sale 17 the SnS is also outdated and keys were added with the SnS.