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~9.5 keys
terror-watt
Unusual Backbiter's Billycock Terror-Watt
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Sale 1:

Sold for 11 keys (IDs match)


Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198134512576#!/compare/1590537600/1590624000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198355179454#!/compare/1591833600/1591920000 (no good compare)

Near ID: 8840415429


11 keys


Sale 2:

Sold for 11 keys


Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198323565601#!/compare/1585785600/1585872000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199033326674#!/compare/1585785600/1585872000

https://backpack.tf/item/2211192212 (gambled afterwards)

https://i.imgur.com/bciX9Fi.png - bot.tf confirms


11 keys


Sale 3:

Sold for 9 keys


Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198985910282#!/compare/1588723200/1588809600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198220604948#!/compare/1588723200/1588809600

https://backpack.tf/item/2211192212


9 keys


Sale 4:

Sold for 9 keys


Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1586304000/1586390400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198184699634#!/compare/1586390400/1587600000

https://backpack.tf/item/2211192212

https://i.imgur.com/bciX9Fi.png - bot.tf confirms

We only see 9 keys on the buyer’s end, but it’s pretty clear that they sold their eyelander and used the key they sold it for on the hat. We also see that missing key on the seller’s end, last key.


9 keys


Sale 5:

Sold for 8 keys


Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198342476957#!/compare/1586822400/1586908800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154083889#!/compare/1586736000/1586995200

https://backpack.tf/item/7631363025


8 keys


Other Sales:

https://backpack.tf/item/7957475658 (#1-5)

https://backpack.tf/item/7957361057 (#6-9)

https://backpack.tf/item/2211192212 (#10-14)


#1

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061251293#!/compare/1590192000/1590278400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198231709968#!/compare/1590192000/1590278400

7 ref matches. The sale prior to this was SCM, but I’m unable to pinpoint the correct one on the SCM.


#2

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198231709968#!/compare/1590364800/1590451200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198146947635#!/compare/1590364800/1590537600

Some keys match


#3

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198146947635#!/compare/1590364800/1590537600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154526389#!/compare/1589932800/1590537600


#4

SCM

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154526389

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198343814028#!/compare/1586822400/1591747200

https://i.imgur.com/iuYX2OM.png

Given the time the item went tradeable (refer to the next untraceable sale), and the lack of any other SCM sales around this time, I’d say it’s very likely it sold for ~$27 AUD, shown in the screenshot. Keys are ~$3.65 AUD, which makes this sale add up to around 7.5 keys after rounding, which is lower than quickbuyers anyway.


#5

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198343814028#!/compare/1592179200/1592265600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198964919488#!/compare/1592092800/1592265600


#6

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198954908705#!/compare/1588723200/1588809600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1591401600/1591488000

Probably missing a person in the history.


#7

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1591833600/1591920000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1592265600/1592352000

https://i.imgur.com/bciX9Fi.png - labelled as 8 keys + 8 ref?

Probably missing a person in the history.


#8

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1592524800/1592611200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198162118669#!/compare/1592524800/1592611200

https://i.imgur.com/bciX9Fi.png - labelled as 8 keys + 15 ref


#9

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198162118669#!/compare/1592524800/1592611200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198127718182#!/compare/1592524800/1592611200


#10

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198184699634#!/compare/1588118400/1588723200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198985910282#!/compare/1588032000/1588118400

https://i.imgur.com/bciX9Fi.png - labelled as 7 keys + 39.55 ref


#11

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198220604948#!/compare/1588896000/1588982400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081216282#!/compare/1588896000/1588982400


#12

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081216282 - nothing useful in fallback

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085147012#!/compare/1589328000/1589414400


#13

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085147012#!/compare/1590105600/1590192000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198283528306#!/compare/1590105600/1590192000


#14

Sold with 3 keys for Stormy Storm Trucker’s Topper

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198425761681#!/compare/1592611200/1592697600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198158206236#!/compare/1592524800/1592611200

Keys were spent on the Scorching Blast Defense before they were scanned.

Better off updating the Trucker with this sale.


Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/dqBR5oz.png

https://backpack.tf/item/7957361057 - 11 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/2211192212 - 12 keys


Sales at:

8

9 (2x)

11 (2x)


Going to include 8, despite buyers, due to the overwhelming support of buys around that price on bot.tf.

Taking 8-11.