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https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5ea4ffdb7f976c13987ae66d
idk
i copy paste all evidence because its not mine lol
//
One recent sale.
Sale 1: Sold for 40 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198847672167#!/compare/1587427200/1587686400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453055175#!/compare/1587600000/1587686400
One sale at 40, taking 40 keys here.
//
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MXXVNJ78
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198106849261#!/compare/1588809600/1588896000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063640894#!/compare/1588723200/1588809600 looks like you resold it for those 3 hats, b/o 70
Considering it's a double spelled one and there's a current seller at 50 (who also was up at the time of your sale), I think it's fair to say the spells added some value in both sales
Some new sales on the non-spelled ones:
https://backpack.tf/item/549371347
https://backpack.tf/item/1232413494 there's this on marketplace currently for $95/50 keys
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MXXNX9G6 b/o 42
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453055175#!/compare/1587945600/1588032000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198138804105#!/compare/1587859200/1588032000 Morning Glory Tavish DeGroot + mannrobics + key I think this might actually have been brokered or some sort of trade back - https://backpack.tf/item/4643083784 the degroot is traded back and forth https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198138804105#!/compare/1588032000/1588118400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198418740133#!/compare/1588118400/1588204800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453055175#!/compare/1587945600/1588032000 The real sale appears to be billy + key = Burning L'Inspecteur. Based off the history of the L'Inspecteur, I think it's fair to say the b/o of 42 actually applies to this sale
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MXX07P67 b/o 40
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198031334349#!/compare/1587427200/1587600000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198144820745#!/compare/1587513600/1587600000 40 keys
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MQ0WE3P3 b/o 45 keys + 36 ref
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568#!/compare/1586736000/1586822400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198031334349#!/compare/1586649600/1586822400 I believe the sale is 44 keys - the phantom was sold for some amount of pure to Erik and then 44 of those keys were traded here.
So sales overall are 40, 40, 44, L'Inspecteur sale (b/o 42)
The burning L'Inspecteur needs a mini and likely won't cap with a current seller at 40 there.
//
mini:
https://backpack.tf/item/7349754244
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198316624014#!/compare/1587600000/1588032000 quicksold for 36 keys + 3 ref
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198024590544#!/compare/1583280000/1583452800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117522318#!/compare/1583366400/1583452800 will end up super low but had a b/o of 42 https://bot.tf/stats/listings/M0DRWQ02
https://backpack.tf/item/629118021
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/622;5;u13 Feb 21 sale at $89.99 / 1.76 = 51 keys. None of the sellers match up as potential b/o's
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/M0DRWQ02 Merlin only sold it in the above sale, Pyro's history is https://backpack.tf/item/1105429772 and Theo's history is https://backpack.tf/item/8011430659. Pyro also raised his b/o later to 50
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139749455#!/compare/1583107200/1584921600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198037921140#!/compare/1584144000/1584316800 this must be the $85 sale on March 15 = 49 keys (no known b/o)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114402400#!/compare/1583539200/1583625600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198168756476#!/compare/1583280000/1583625600 bulk
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198156315732#!/compare/1586908800/1587081600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198168756476#!/compare/1586995200/1587168000 untrace
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198156315732#!/compare/1587686400/1587859200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198326134337#!/compare/1588204800/1588204800 48 keys + ToD ticket match on near ID, but b/o was 45.. https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4O9QE8ZJ
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198316091835#!/compare/1585008000/1585094400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198418740133#!/compare/1585008000/1585094400 burning = gbh + 4.25 keys comes out to 42 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453055175#!/compare/1588723200/1588809600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198400192311#!/compare/1588377600/1588982400 cloud 9 deep cover is only thing that matches
So this would be 42 - 51 based off the sales, but there's a current seller at 40 that's been up for 2 weeks https://imgur.com/a/yBJRCIP https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4O9KGOLG. Maybe that could be 40 - 51 then. Feel free to turn this into a full suggestion
With that in mind, L'inspectur sale does cap, so Billycock can be 40-44
//
It looked familiar at first, looks like I forgot to resuggest this one.
Thanks for updating :)
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/602;5;u38 $94.04 on May 21 = 50 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198285371555#!/compare/1589587200/1589932800 bulk
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056793885#!/compare/1590105600/1590192000 bulk
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198338424715#!/compare/1590796800/1590883200 dbd casemaker = 37
I guess we can call both sales outliers