- Forums
-
Pricing
- Community Pricing
- Pricegrid
- Spreadsheet
- Browse Suggestions
- Latest Changes
- Unusual Pricelist
- Browse by Item
- Browse by Effect
- Steam Community Market
- Market Pricelist
-
Trading
- Classifieds
- Classified Listings
- Utilities
- Calculator
- Premium Search
- Statistics
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1118;5;u3003
Jan 2 - $38.00 = 21 keys
Jan 9 - $37.00 = 21 keys
Jan 22 - $38.00 = 21 keys
Feb 8 - $37.62 = 21 keys
Feb 10 - $37.62 = 21 keys
Feb 15 - $36.87 = 21 keys
Feb 15 - $37.24 = 21 keys
Feb 17 - $38.00 = 21 keys
Feb 21 - $34.99 = 20 keys
Feb 29 - $45.95 = 26 keys
Mar 23 - $48.50 = 29 keys
Mar 26 - $49.00 = 29 keys
Mar 26 - $49.99 = 30 keys
Mar 29 - $49.99 = 30 keys
https://backpack.tf/item/6441481005
https://backpack.tf/item/5689501523
https://backpack.tf/item/5493850987
https://backpack.tf/item/4390945287
https://backpack.tf/item/3437702188
https://backpack.tf/item/2912055301
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129819677#!/compare/1582675200/1582761600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097962791#!/compare/1582329600/1583452800
Untraceable, most likely a Marketplace sale
//
https://bot.tf/stats/item?def=1118&q=5&ef=Holy Grail&craft=1&aus=0&ks=0&source=browser_script
https://gyazo.com/59c510917b79c2a5d41f9559d73cd387
Bot.tf sales:
1 @ 18 keys 1/3/2020, 3:03:49 AM
1 @ 18 keys, 16.00 ref 1/4/2020, 11:47:08 AM
1 @ 18 keys, 28.00 ref 1/4/2020, 9:55:23 PM
1 @ 18 keys, 44.00 ref 1/22/2020, 10:26:23 AM
1 @ 18 keys, 44.00 ref 1/23/2020, 2:39:55 AM
1 @ 32 keys 3/18/2020, 8:43:57 PM
1 @ 23 keys 3/28/2020, 3:47:26 AM
Rounding all of these up or down accordingly, so that it goes into the number sorter easily
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198252277098#!/compare/1584489600/1584576000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198335791307#!/compare/1584489600/1584576000
18 keys + 2 refined bot.tf quicksell March 19
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198419169535#!/compare/1578528000/1578614400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198838447026#!/compare/1578528000/1578614400
Untraceable, but most likely the Jan 9 15 keys + 21.11 refined bot.tf quicksell
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198838447026#!/compare/1579564800/1579651200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198196191411#!/compare/1579651200/1579824000
Jan 22 bot.tf sale for 18 keys + 44 refined
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305676157#!/compare/1577923200/1578009600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198834668467#!/compare/1577923200/1578182400
Jan 3 bot.tf sale for 18 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198335791307#!/compare/1584489600/1584576000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198420714643#!/compare/1584489600/1584576000
Untraceable, most likely the 32 key bot.tf sale on March 18
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198200846930#!/compare/1585008000/1585094400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198358296372#!/compare/1585008000/1585094400
Untraceable, most likely the March 25 quicksell to bot.tf for 17 keys + 1 refined
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198358296372#!/compare/1585267200/1585353600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198969129810#!/compare/1585094400/1585353600
bot.tf sale on March 28 for 23 keys, although only 19 show up using near id
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198340634356#!/compare/1578096000/1578182400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198834188334#!/compare/1577836800/1578528000
One of the January 4 bot.tf sales for 18 keys + 16 or 28 refined
//
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198181025977#!/compare/1581292800/1581292800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080394134#!/compare/1581206400/1581292800
Went into scrap.tf unique,
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080394134#!/compare/1582156800/1582243200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117090444#!/compare/1582156800/1582243200
Crafted after scrap.tf buy
//
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198364658689#!/compare/1582761600/1583020800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063277686#!/compare/1582934400/1583020800
18 keys
//
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198207550427#!/compare/1581897600/1581984000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077030510#!/compare/1582243200/1582934400
Untraceable
//
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198040690339#!/compare/1579910400/1579996800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198252277098#!/compare/1584403200/1584489600
16 keys
//
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198974289370#!/compare/1580515200/1580601600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197979814581#!/compare/1579392000/1581638400
Untraceable
//
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198318065526#!/compare/1582848000/1582934400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198198371923#!/compare/1582848000/1583020800
19 keys
//
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198838447026#!/compare/1580428800/1580515200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198200785531#!/compare/1580428800/1580688000
Untraceable, no bot.tf dates match and nothing found via near ID
//
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105155926#!/compare/1579737600/1580428800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198823420149#!/compare/1579478400/1581811200
20 keys, looks a little confusing but the first compare link sold a Holy Grail Conga and bought another one in the same link
//
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198310741154#!/compare/1579651200/1579737600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198323071283#!/compare/1579651200/1579737600
Still unique
//
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198323071283#!/compare/1580256000/1580342400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061779536#!/compare/1580256000/1580342400
Still unique
//
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061779536#!/compare/1580688000/1580774400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198358778649#!/compare/1580688000/1580774400
Still unique
//
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198358778649#!/compare/1580947200/1581033600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198101829283#!/compare/1580860800/1581033600
Crafted
//
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065145332#!/compare/1581120000/1582156800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129819677#!/compare/1581033600/1581120000
Bulk
//
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198420714643#!/compare/1585008000/1585094400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198200846930#!/compare/1584921600/1585008000
Untraceable
//
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198983255976#!/compare/1585353600/1585440000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198969129810#!/compare/1585353600/1585440000
I don't know
//
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198983255976#!/compare/1585353600/1585440000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198874677360#!/compare/1585353600/1585440000
Untraceable
//
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095940338#!/compare/1578528000/1579478400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062537014#!/compare/1578441600/1578528000
Untraceable
//
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095940338#!/compare/1579478400/1581120000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135388328#!/compare/1579478400/1579564800
Looks like quicksold to scrap.tf for 9 keys + 20.11 refined
//
Sales:
16
18
18
18
19
19
19
19
20
20
21
21
21
21
21
21
21
21
23
26
29
29
30
30
32
Sellers:
https://gyazo.com/a97e1c19205b2a6513be968a314cdcc9
27, 32 x3, 35, 67
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1118;5;u3003
https://gyazo.com/908c236a0fcd541d433010af08557cda
$49.49, $49.99 = Approximately 30 keys
$169
//
Buyers:
https://gyazo.com/a97e1c19205b2a6513be968a314cdcc9
Five buyers from 16-17 keys
https://gyazo.com/2b0937b88002e82bd56a2d9cc2be54b1
Five buyers from $25.40 to $26.50 = About 15 keys
///
The 27 key seller is 22 days old
There's some sales above 21, and while they are fairly recent, they just get beat out by so many sales at least
Going with 18-21 keys
I see the reason for not including anything above 27. But I'm not really seeing a reason to exclude 23 and 26. Right now 1 outlier on the low side with 7 outliers on the high side.