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Resuggesting, thanks Blaze.
SALE 1: Was sold with other high tier unusuals for other high tier unusuals
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198183396245#!/compare/1567209600/1567296000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197993987295#!/compare/1567036800/1567296000
Should not be used here.
SALE 2: Sold for 281 on july 16 (281/1.82 = 154.39 rounding to 155 keys)
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/337;5;u14
History of SALE 2: https://backpack.tf/item/1458928100
SALE 3: Sold for green energy modest + 10 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105071091#!/compare/1563235200/1563408000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198122728670#!/compare/1563321600/1563408000
Modest is outdated, taking a mini for it.
69.5 + 10 = 79.5 rounding to 80 keys
Mini for modest
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5d6577fc6780725de87f2f16
SALE 4: Unknown
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198122728670#!/compare/1565913600/1566259200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198133814282#!/compare/1565827200/1565913600
SALE 5: Sold for 120 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198133814282#!/compare/1565827200/1565913600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050745352#!/compare/1565827200/1565913600
SALE 6: Unknown
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073438708#!/compare/1563235200/1563321600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197989884606#!/compare/1562889600/1566691200
SALE 7: Sold for 106 keys + strange festivized specialized ks australium minigun + midnight whirlwind taunt: square dance + mega strike taunt: the carlton + midnight whirlwind taunt: party trick
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061325470#!/compare/1560643200/1560729600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087099341#!/compare/1560643200/1560729600
Party trick is indate, while square dance and the carlton are outdated. Minigun needs a mini as well.
106 + 19.91 + 5.45 + 4.325 + 2.75 = 138.435 rounding to 140 keys
No buyout found.
Mini for minigun
https://gyazo.com/bdf381d70599085efa1f7efc508398c4
Lowest seller at 19.91, while scm is at 21.29, taking 19.91 keys.
Mini for square dance
Taking the lowest seller of 5.45 keys here, as the sales at lower are countered by buyers, while the sales at higher are countered by sellers..
MINI SALE 1
Unknown
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198276394944#!/compare/1562976000/1563062400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198306159866#!/compare/1562112000/1564444800
MINI SALE 2
Don't know
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198340634356#!/compare/1564790400/1564876800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198113899098#!/compare/1564790400/1564876800
MINI SALE 3
Scammer sale
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198147969678#!/compare/1562716800/1562889600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198254468975#!/compare/1558569600/1564272000
MINI SALE 4
Unknown
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198254468975#!/compare/1566000000/1566172800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198035237398#!/compare/1565913600/1566086400
MINI SALE 5
Unknown
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198334598690#!/compare/1563148800/1563235200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198334598690#!/compare/1563148800/1563235200
MINI SALE 6
Likely scm
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198023051867#!/compare/1563753600/1563926400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198260620112#!/compare/1562889600/1564272000
MINI SALE 7
Likely scm
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067679367#!/compare/1563235200/1563321600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198108263696#!/compare/1563321600/1563667200
MINI SALE 8, 9 & 10
Sold for 11.78 on june 17 (11.78/1.84 = 6.402 rounding to 6.5 keys)
2 sold for 7.11 on august 18 (7.11/1.84 = 3.864 rounding to 3.85 keys)
Sold for 10.99 on september 3 (10.99/1.81 = 6.071 rounding to 6 keys)
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1106;5;u3008
History of SALE 8: https://backpack.tf/item/4022729624
MINI SALE 11
Sold for 2 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198132521407#!/compare/1567036800/1567123200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198340634356#!/compare/1567036800/1567123200
CLASSIFIEDS for the square dance
https://gyazo.com/719465e418f4ce76b80b45cae0910964
Mini for carlton
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5d71fc1e67807210545a57f5
Taking 4.325 keys.
SALE 8: Sold for 160 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197993987295#!/compare/1569369600/1569801600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198804015732#!/compare/1569715200/1569801600
CLASSIFIEDS
https://gyazo.com/63a86faf623c98a07c89005903cc8f0c
CONCLUSION
Sales at 80, 120, 140, and 160. Marketplace sale at 155.
80 and 120 are low due to buyers at 120+.
Taking 140-160 keys.
just bought one for around 200 - 210 (bp prices - sellers prices)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043826027#!/compare/1571961600/1572048000
frostbite ninjahood(sellers at 100) + blizzardly crones (seller at 99) + dp ketche (seller at 9) + strange mutated milk (sellers at 3)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086163964#!/compare/1571356800/1573171200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198122604075#!/compare/1571270400/1571356800 - Bulk?
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198183396245#!/compare/1573603200/1573776000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083122789#!/compare/1573603200/1573689600
sold with few items for these https://gyazo.com/9b48eeb92ed086a5e46fbc313ce75c5e ?
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/337;5;u14
Nov 8, $329.99 / $1.79 = 184.35 keys
Nov 14 $309.99 / $1.80 = 172.22 keys
Couldn't find the histories :P
Note: I've checked the clean ones only!
Thanks for the update! There's an additional sale above your comment as well, and buyers seem to outweigh the suggested price, and not enough time for a thorough mini, feel free to take this one bud.