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Sale 1:
Sold with ~2 keys in items for Dead Presidents Noble (14)
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198030697131#!/compare/1566518400/1566691200
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116105833#!/compare/1566604800/1566691200
https://backpack.tf/item/2967721148
No B/O
X = 12
Sale 2:
Sold for Stormy Storm Sinner’s Shade (~9.75 keys) + Gibus (~0.5)
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198170098378#!/compare/1568419200/1568505600
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198259117887#!/compare/1566000000/1568505600
https://backpack.tf/item/2967721148
No B/O
X = 10
Sale 3:
Sold with some ref for Bubbling Otolaryngologist’s Mirror (Suggestion at 8.5) + 1 key
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198169756327#!/compare/1566259200/1566345600
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198030697131#!/compare/1566259200/1566345600
https://backpack.tf/item/2967721148
No B/O
X = 9.5
Sale 4:
Sold for Miami Nights Larrikin Robin (Suggestion at ~8.5) + ~1 key in items
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198363453060#!/compare/1568332800/1569110400
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198036155404#!/compare/1568246400/1568332800
https://backpack.tf/item/2967721148
No B/O
X = 9.5
Sale 5:
Sold for 9 keys
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198341171690#!/compare/1566172800/1566259200
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198169756327#!/compare/1566172800/1566259200
https://backpack.tf/item/2967721148
X = 9
Sale 6:
Sold to a quickbuyer for 9 keys
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198028991659#!/compare/1562284800/1563148800
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198156255538#!/compare/1562889600/1562976000
https://backpack.tf/item/2368060999
X = 9
Marketplace Sales:
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30047;5;u33
http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2019-09-17&price=17 - $17 / $1.81 = 9.39 keys
Couldn’t find item history.
X = 9.5
Other Sales:
https://backpack.tf/item/5007789844 (#1)
https://backpack.tf/item/2967721148 (#2-5)
https://backpack.tf/item/2368060999 (#6)
#1
Untraceable
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198878250126#!/compare/1562544000/1563753600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074749793#!/compare/1563494400/1563753600
#2
Untraceable/bulk
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116105833#!/compare/1566604800/1566691200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198169444473#!/compare/1566604800/1566691200
#3
Bulk for DBD Slick
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198169444473#!/compare/1566691200/1566777600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198212481737#!/compare/1566691200/1566777600
Using on dat
#4
Sold for Aces High Heer’s Helmet?
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198212481737#!/compare/1566691200/1566777600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198363453060#!/compare/1567987200/1568332800
It matches by ID, but the buyer’s backpack was never scanned until 2 weeks after the sale, so we can’t see if items were added with the Billy for the Heer’s helmet. Excluding.
#5
Untraceable
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198036155404#!/compare/1568332800/1568419200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198170098378#!/compare/1568332800/1568419200
#6
Bulk for Lantern Demoman’s Fro
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198156255538#!/compare/1566691200/1566777600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197990261964#!/compare/1566691200/1566777600
Sales at:
9 (2x)
9.5 (3x)
10
12
No current sellers.
12 is an outlier, the sales below are far more common. Excluding 12.
Going with 9-10.