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~36 keys
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Unusual Danger Aces High
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Resugestion, forgot marketplace sale

Aces High Danger


Sale 1 https://backpack.tf/item/4481338597

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198327569682#!/compare/1565395200/1565481600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048851745#!/compare/1565395200/1565481600

Sold for 16 keys + 10 ref


MarketPlace Sale

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30420;5;u59

Sold for $36.18USD ~ 20 keys


Conclusion :

Pricing it at 16 - 20 keys


thanks Vincentius for the heads up about the marketplace sale

    -Sold for 18 keys: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048851745#!/compare/1568678400/1568764800 https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198202729136#!/compare/1568592000/1568764800


    -Scammers involved: https://backpack.tf/item/3010225173


    Would be nice to have that 20 key sale history but it doesn't really matter since the hat isn't duped and we have another sale to back up this range. I could even make an argument about the SCM supporting a stronger drop and accept this as a semi-conservative drop: https://i.gyazo.com/afebee397f020bbe49265a89879bdc80.png