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Refined Metal
Submitted by seVen
~$0.04
Unique Refined Metal
92 votes up
5 votes down
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Refined Metal

Nvm.


New price: 0.04$


Proof:


Marketplace.tf key sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6

https://imgur.com/a/qmCqyfD


Most common sell prices in the last 3 days are 1.81$ - 1.82$.

After removing fees we're left with:

1.81$*0.9 = ~1.63$

1.82$*0.9 = ~1.64$


Marketplace.tf ref sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5002;6

https://imgur.com/a/tOGRPxH


Lots of sales at both 0.04$ and 0.05$


PayPal Key Sales

Seller #1:

https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/72143-buying-keys-172-paypal/?tab=comments#comment-626458

https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198023051867

Bought 330 keys for 1.72$ each. (guy seems to have removed that trust comment, when he made the new one)

Bought another 131 keys for 1.72$ each.

Total of 461 keys.


Seller #2:

https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/47308-300-rep-rockets-key-buying-thread-170/?tab=comments#comment-497670

https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198049171595

Bought 19 keys for 1.70$ each.


Seller #3:

https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/62003-keys-for-172-and-backpacks-via-paypal-tons-of-rep-trusted-trader/?tab=comments#comment-584858

https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198040898430

Bought 225 keys for 1.72$ each.


Seller #4:

https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/69912-selling-keys-for-166-per-key-got-a-big-stock/?tab=comments#comment-617696

https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198139171368

Sold 20 keys for 1.70$ each.


Seller #5:

https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/72383-tf2-keys-%E2%82%AC147-170-each-via-paypal-revolut-online-bank-transfer/?tab=comments#comment-627659

https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198050598239

Bought "some keys" for 1.70$ each.

_________________________________________________________


SUMMARY


Key sales:

1.63$

1.64$

1.70$

1.72$

_________________________________________________________


Keyprice in ref is ~42.44 - 42.55 ref.

https://imgur.com/a/xRwIUZV

Just in case a simple classies screenshot won't do it, i'll do all calculations with the current 43.88 - 44.11 ref as well.


Convert that into the price per ref:

1.63$ / 42.5 ref = ~0.038 $/ref

1.64$ / 42.5 ref = ~0.039 $/ref

1.70$ / 42.5 ref = ~0.040 $/ref

1.72$ / 42.5 ref = ~0.040 $/ref


1.63$ / 44 ref = ~0.037 $/ref

1.64$ / 44 ref = ~0.037 $/ref

1.70$ / 44 ref = ~0.039 $/ref

1.72$ / 44 ref = ~0.039 $/ref


Mp.tf key sales with fees included would be:

1.81$ / 42.5 ref = ~0.043 $/ref

1.82$ / 42.5 ref = ~0.043 $/ref


1.81$ / 44 ref = ~0.041 $/ref

1.82$ / 44 ref = ~0.041 $/ref


Mp.tf ref sales:

0.04 $/ref

0.05 $/ref


As per mod advice, i will focus on linking keys and ref by focusing on the key sales and excluding the marketplace.tf ref sales at 0.05$, making ref a way to convert any item on the site to cash.


Going with 0.04$.


Feel free to add proof to support or counter my new price.