Team Fortress 2
Counter-Strike: Global Offensive
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Using last month.
Sold to a quickbuyer for 4 keys
X = 4
$11, Jul 27th
$9.70, Aug 4th
$9.50, Aug 4th
$9.70, Aug 5th
https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2019-07-27 - $11 / $1.78 = 6.18 keys
https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2019-08-04 - $9.7 / $1.84 = 5.27 keys
https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2019-08-04 - $9.5 / $1.84 = 5.16 keys
https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2019-08-05 - $9.7 / $1.83 = 5.30 keys
X = 6
X = 5.5 (2x)
X = 5
https://backpack.tf/item/6257675424 (#2 & #3)
https://backpack.tf/item/6252775691 - scrap
https://backpack.tf/item/6366275253 - marketplace
https://backpack.tf/item/6291884713 - marketplace
https://i.imgur.com/2ePgiWn.png - labelled as a 3 key + 14 ref purchase (~3.5 keys)
https://backpack.tf/item/6284134782 - ~4.7 keys
https://backpack.tf/item/6746324000 - ~4.8 keys
https://backpack.tf/item/6331138329 - ~6.5 keys
https://backpack.tf/item/6868403047 - 8 keys
https://backpack.tf/item/6483599541 - 8 keys
Current highest buyers are ~3.5 keys.
Two sellers less than 5 keys, excluding 5 and anything over.
Going with 4 flat, supported by the untraceable bot.tf sales at ~3.5.
Closing due to new sales arising, and the likeliness of them affecting the price, especially given the new rule change. Posting the marketplace sale info below so I remember if I get to re-suggest this before someone else takes it.
As per the new rule regarding marketplace sales:
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MVRRLXD6 - B/O for one of the sales in August was ~6.1 keys
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/YDL15RLL - no listed B/O for this one
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/YDL15RLL 0 no listed B/O for the other one either
https://backpack.tf/item/6366275253 - may be the history of the July sale, given the large gap between the bot's backpack scan:
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y355ZV86 - no listed B/O