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~6 keys
tiger
Unusual Taunt: Flippin' Awesome Screaming Tiger
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Using last month.


Sale 1:

Sold for Mega Strike Yeti Punch + Mega Strike Yeti Smash


Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198021055079#!/compare/1557446400/1557532800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072259514#!/compare/1557360000/1557532800

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4RX379D4 - My B/O was ~7.5

https://i.imgur.com/5CnYej8.png

https://i.imgur.com/hcImT4I.png

Quickbuyers on the two taunts add up to ~8 keys, this’ll cap.


X = 7.5 (Capped by B/O)


Sale 2:

Sold for 7 keys?


Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1558137600/1558224000

Buyer?: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198375014774#!/compare/1558137600/1558224000

https://backpack.tf/item/2720746046

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4OJLG9QY

We see 7 keys on the seller’s end, but name and history doesn’t match. Given this item was gambled afterwards, it’s likely that the item sold to the user that the keys came from.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057292706#!/compare/1558137600/1558224000

Even if I’m wrong, we have another sale at 7 that’ll be used anyways.


X = 7


Sale 3:

Sold to a bot for 6 keys + ~0.5 keys in metal


Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126599829#!/compare/1558224000/1558310400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198802465612#!/compare/1558224000/1558310400

https://backpack.tf/item/2720746046


X = 6.5


Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/1107;5;u3006

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2019-04-30 - $20.78 / $1.81 = 11.48 keys

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2019-05-01 - $13 / $1.81 = 7.18 keys


X = 11

X = 7


Other Sales:

https://backpack.tf/item/7372668044 (#1 & #2)

https://backpack.tf/item/7064505539 (#3)

https://backpack.tf/item/3177695793 (#4)

https://backpack.tf/item/3070535956 (#5)

https://backpack.tf/item/2771071599 (#6)

https://backpack.tf/item/2720746046 (#7 & #8)

https://backpack.tf/item/6376854302 (#9)

https://backpack.tf/item/3108237964 - scrap

https://backpack.tf/item/4889650523 - gambled

https://backpack.tf/item/4461278998 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/7151540872 - scammers


#1

Buk for Spooky Victory Lap

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080060319#!/compare/1556582400/1556668800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198021055079#!/compare/1556582400/1556668800


#2

Sold for 6 keys?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072259514#!/compare/1557705600/1557792000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141319249#!/compare/1557619200/1557792000

I feel like more was involved but spent on the same day, so I’ll exclude this.


#3

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198136640148#!/compare/1556409600/1556496000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097271466#!/compare/1556323200/1556409600


#4

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125035818#!/compare/1556496000/1556582400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198396322888#!/compare/1556496000/1556582400

https://i.imgur.com/01v0lfS.png - labelled as ~6.5 keys


#5

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198171285466#!/compare/1555718400/1555804800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198308408679#!/compare/1555286400/1555804800


#6

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077625769#!/compare/1555632000/1555718400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568#!/compare/1555632000/1555718400


#7

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053173151#!/compare/1555113600/1557878400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198372263978#!/compare/1554595200/1557878400


#8

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198372263978#!/compare/1554595200/1557878400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1557792000/1557878400


#9

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198016663834#!/compare/1556323200/1556409600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198335791307#!/compare/1556323200/1556409600

https://i.imgur.com/01v0lfS.png - labelled as 6.5 keys


Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/eHc8id0.png

https://i.imgur.com/S5R4MZj.png

https://backpack.tf/item/2720746046 - 7 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/7064505539 - 8 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/7432356015 - ~8.75 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/3660744109 - ~8.75 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/3495317228 - ~10.25 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/6376854302 - ~10.7 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/4099555193 - 22 keys


Sales at:

6.5

7 (2x)

7.5

11


Keeping 6.5, due to two bot.tf purchases (both untraceable, however) in the last month at that price.

11 is an outlier, excluding 11.

Going with 6.5-7.5.