Team Fortress 2
Counter-Strike: Global Offensive
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Sold for Disco Beat Down Killer Exclusive (~122.5) + 182 keys (Buyer’s end)
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y9WQZVNY - B/O of 300
X = 300 (Capped by B/O)
Sold in ~2 days for 219 keys (Buyer’s end)
Rounding to 220.
X = 220
Sold for Duped Stare From Beyond Tyrantium (48.5, based off dupe) + Secret Topi + Green Energy Tundra (77) + Green Energy Warhood (Suggestion at 28.5) + Spec. KS Aus Axtinguisher (~6) + ~28 keys in pure/items
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MGO12E7Y - B/O of 215
https://backpack.tf/item/6412775626 (everything else in history is marketplace/gambled)
Without the topi, the value comes down to 188. The topi would have to be less than 27 keys for this to affect the price, but that’s not happening.
X = 215 (Capped by B/O)
$450 on March 17th, $350 on April 25th
https://backpack.tf/item/6412775626 - most likely April 25th here
https://backpack.tf/item/3331283833 - march 17th, no b/o
https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2019-03-17 - $450 / $1.8 = 250.00 keys
https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2019-04-25 - $350 / $1.79 = 195.53 keys, rounding to 195
X = 250
X = 195
https://backpack.tf/item/3561519172 - marketplace
Untraceable, only 90 keys match
https://backpack.tf/item/6412775626 - 260 keys
https://backpack.tf/item/3331283833 - 300 keys
195 appears to have sold before being scanned in the marketplace bot’s inventory. Excluding due to how quick it sold.
300 looks like an outlier, excluding 300.
220 sold in a short amount of time, but given the 2 sales for cheaper, and the difference in the market between when it sold for that amount and now (buyers were around 200 keys back then), 220 shouldn’t be excluded, neither should 215.
Going with 215-250.
I'm the seller in the 215 sale, I was quickselling and took me around a day to get it sold; it was listed for 285 right before that for weeks. I'm also the buyer from the 350$ marketplace sale, took it as soon as I saw it, probably within an hour from it being listed. It was also listed on scraptf auctions for 210k pure and it didn't sell (listed once, 4 hour auction), can show proof if needed. Upvoting!
Sold for $400 on marketplace
https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2019-06-09 - $400 / $1.82 = 219.78 keys