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Sale 1:
Sold for 8 keys + ~0.5 keys in metal
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198341171690#!/compare/1552176000/1552262400
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198201668210#!/compare/1552262400/1552348800
https://backpack.tf/item/7126322229
X = 8.5
Sale 2:
Sold for 8 keys
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198165484704#!/compare/1547164800/1547251200
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198205566141#!/compare/1546992000/1547164800
https://backpack.tf/item/6770369688
X = 8
Sale 3:
Sold to a quickbuyer for 7 keys + ~0.5 keys in metal
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198201668210#!/compare/1552348800/1552435200
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198006544512#!/compare/1552348800/1552435200
https://backpack.tf/item/7126322229
X = 7.5
Sale 4:
Sold for 7 keys + ~0.5 keys in metal
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198148843171#!/compare/1547251200/1547337600
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080714795#!/compare/1547251200/1547337600
https://backpack.tf/item/6770369688
X = 7.5
Sale 5:
Sold for 7 keys + ~0.5 keys in metal
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080714795#!/compare/1547942400/1548028800
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048851745#!/compare/1547942400/1548028800
https://backpack.tf/item/6770369688
X = 7.5
Sale 6:
Sold for 7 keys + ~0.5 keys in metal
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048851745#!/compare/1548115200/1548201600
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061275415#!/compare/1548115200/1548201600
https://backpack.tf/item/6770369688
X = 7.5
Sale 7:
Sold to a bot for 7 keys + ~0.5 keys in metal
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080714795#!/compare/1548028800/1548115200
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198155110999#!/compare/1547942400/1548028800
https://backpack.tf/item/6741723205
X = 7.5
Marketplace Sales:
https://marketplace.tf/items/30984;5;u7
https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2019-01-02 - $17.83 / $1.77 = 10.07 keys
https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2019-01-08 - $12.14 / $1.75 = 6.94 keys
https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2019-01-13 - $17.8 / $1.76 = 10.11 keys
https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2019-02-06 - $15.49 / $1.81 = 8.56 keys
https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2019-02-07 - $15.79 / $1.81 = 8.72 keys (2x)
https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2019-02-19 - $13 / $1.78 = 7.30 keys
https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2019-02-27 - $16.49 / $1.79 = 9.21 keys
X = 10 (2x)
X = 9
X = 8.5 (3x)
X = 7.5
X = 7
Other Sales:
https://backpack.tf/item/7126322229 (#1 & #2, gambling involved)
https://backpack.tf/item/7018805954 (#3)
https://backpack.tf/item/6890906535 (#4)
https://backpack.tf/item/6770369688 (#5-7)
https://backpack.tf/item/6741723205 (#8-10)
https://backpack.tf/item/6896236816 - Nothing usable
#1
Untraceable
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053720151#!/compare/1549152000/1549238400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045232326#!/compare/1549152000/1549238400
#2
Untraceable
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045232326#!/compare/1549238400/1549324800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198364122250#!/compare/1549324800/1549411200
#3
Untraceable
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198252071476#!/compare/1551571200/1551916800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198363395191#!/compare/1551657600/1551744000
#4
Untraceable
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198363395191#!/compare/1548979200/1549065600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123355076#!/compare/1548979200/1549152000
#5
Untraceable
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198205566141#!/compare/1547164800/1547251200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198819564432#!/compare/1547164800/1547251200
#6
Untraceable
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198819564432#!/compare/1547164800/1547251200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198183634774#!/compare/1547164800/1547251200
#7
Untraceable
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198183634774#!/compare/1547164800/1547251200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198148843171#!/compare/1547164800/1547251200
#8
Bulk for Brain Drain Berlin Brain Bowl
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198088822281#!/compare/1547078400/1547251200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198317606171#!/compare/1547164800/1547251200
#9
Untraceable
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198317606171#!/compare/1547251200/1547337600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198801634335#!/compare/1547251200/1547337600
#10
Sold for some amount of keys and metal
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050518375#!/compare/1547337600/1547424000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080714795#!/compare/1547337600/1547424000
Can’t tell how much metal was involved.
Sellers:
https://i.imgur.com/JUHxLg8.png
https://backpack.tf/item/6896236816 - 8 keys
https://backpack.tf/item/7126322229 - ~8.6 keys
https://backpack.tf/item/6770369688 - ~8.9 keys
https://backpack.tf/item/7018805954 - 9 keys
Sales at:
7
7.5 (6x)
8
8.5 (4x)
9
10 (2x)
Buyers at 7.5, excluding 7.
The seller at ~8.9 keys is 2 months unsold. Additionally, every sale about 8.5 keys is a marketplace sale, and really shouldn’t be used here. Excluding anything higher than 8.5.
Sales at 7.5 are far too common. Keeping 7.5 in the range.
Going with 7.5-8.5.