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Disco Beat Down Killer Exclusive
New price: 110-135 keys
Proof:
Sale #1 (3 weeks) = invalid
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123378599#!/compare/1547251200/1547510400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198168863803#!/compare/1547424000/1547510400
Sold for a duped knifestorm hotties hoodie + 12 keys and ~23 ref sweets. Seems low. Excluding
Sale #2 (2 weeks) = 127
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198168863803#!/compare/1547856000/1547942400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198297554259#!/compare/1547856000/1547942400
Sold for a ge peak (126.5). Rounding to 127.
Sale #3 (fresh) = 116
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198297554259#!/compare/1548633600/1548720000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198130948401#!/compare/1548720000/1548806400
https://imgur.com/a/8LtbZTO
Sold for 116 keys + ~4 ref sweets. Rounding to 116.
Sale #4 (2 months) = invalid
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197964546925#!/compare/1544313600/1544486400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065176679#!/compare/1544400000/1544486400
Sold with ~2 keys sweets for a dbd ke... great.
One of the ke has a spell, so makes sense, but unusable here.
Sale #5 (2 months) = invalid
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198262174730#!/compare/1544832000/1545782400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198840748471#!/compare/1544745600/1544832000
No idea.
Sale #6 (1 month) = 134
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119149660#!/compare/1546560000/1546646400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198039731024#!/compare/1546560000/1546646400
Sold for a sbtwc hat of cards (115) + a vivid bonk leadwear (18.5) = 133.5. Rounding to 134. I dont think the orb fire tc was involved. Minis below.
Sale #7 (1 month) = invalid
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198039731024#!/compare/1546646400/1546732800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114402400#!/compare/1546646400/1546732800
Quicksold.
Sale #8 (2 months) = invalid
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114402400#!/compare/1542844800/1542931200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065176679#!/compare/1542844800/1542931200
Sold for a ancient eldritch prehistoric pullover + a strange spec ks warhawk rl + a collectors prof ks amby. Cant really price the amby and the rl accurately, so gonna exclude this.
Sale #9 (2 months) = 130
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197964546925#!/compare/1545091200/1545177600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079050329#!/compare/1545091200/1545177600
Sold for a smoking vive (27.5) + a peace sign brass bucket (22) + a peace sign puffy polar (10.5) + 70 keys = 130. Mini below. No usable sale on the brass bucket. Taking 4 month old price.
Sale #10 (3 weeks) = invalid
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079050329#!/compare/1546819200/1547424000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047941585#!/compare/1547251200/1547337600
Sold for a hot flame thrower + ~60 keys in australiums. Dunno about the flame thrower. Not gonna use this sale, but it should support the range.
Sale #11 (3 weeks) = 110
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047941585#!/compare/1547769600/1547856000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198162491037#!/compare/1547769600/1547856000
Sold for 110 keys.
Sale #12 (1 weeks) = 130
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198162491037#!/compare/1548374400/1548460800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112099979#!/compare/1548374400/1548460800
Sold for ~105 keys in australiums + 25 keys = 130.
Sale #13 (1 week) = invalid
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112099979#!/compare/1548547200/1548633600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083288968#!/compare/1548547200/1548633600
No idea.
Sale #14 (1 month) = 121
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091476211#!/compare/1547078400/1547164800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198254620348#!/compare/1546992000/1547164800
Sold for a frostbite tipplers (40.5) + a haunted phantasm jr nanoblanca (48) + a kill a watt crocleather (13) + a duped planets shanter (9) + a bubbles of envy rps (10) = 120.5. Rounding to 121. Minis below. Using 6 month old price for the crocleather. Should be fine for an unusual that cheap here.
Sale #15 (2 weeks) = invalid
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198254620348#!/compare/1547856000/1547942400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198280357510#!/compare/1547856000/1547942400
Bulk.
Sale #16 (2 weeks) = invalid
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198280357510#!/compare/1547856000/1547942400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198317802744#!/compare/1547856000/1547942400
No idea. Probably quicksold.
Marketplace.tf sales:
https://marketplace.tf/items/538;5;u62
Using http://manic.tf/keyprice/
Sale #1 (3 months) Sold for 170.00$ = ~98
Sale #2 (2 months) Sold for 180.00$ = ~110
Sale #3 (1 month) Sold for 170.00$ = ~97
Classies:
https://imgur.com/a/sy6zUGe
Sellers at 130 and 160.
Buyers start at 104.
_________________________________________________________
Minis
vivid leadwear
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198373611831#!/compare/1548892800/1549065600
Sold for a tf logo scout shako (18.5).
shako has a 4 month old price, but it's the only somewhat usable sale.
Going with 18.5 keys.
sbtwc hat of cards
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139831684#!/compare/1548892800/1548979200
Sold for 100 keys.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119149660#!/compare/1548547200/1548633600
Sold for a dbd headsplitter + 65 keys. No proper macro possible. Looking at classies this would likely be ~105.
Sold fairly quickly for 100 keys, so i'm gonna use the 4 month old price and make it a range.
Going with 100-130 keys. Averages at 115.
smoking vive
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5c560313cf6c753eee65ab92
Going with 25-30 keys. Averages at 27.5.
bubbles of envy rps
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073579492#!/compare/1545868800/1546473600
Sold for 10 keys.
Only sale.
Going with 10 keys.
planets shanter
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1546300800/1546387200
Sold for 9 keys.
Only sale.
Going with 9 keys.
_________________________________________________________
SUMMARY
Sales:
97 x198 x1
110 x2
116 x1
121 x1
127 x1
130 x2
134 x1
97 and 98 countered by buyers.
Rounding to 134 to 135.
Going with 110-135 keys.
Feel free to add proof to support or counter my new price.
sale 12 included the cloud 9 phantom as well but this should still be fine as it doesn't effect the range