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Arcana Black Watch
Requested.
New price: 100-108 keys
Proof:
Sale #1 (fresh)= 108
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198415109078#!/compare/1544659200/1544832000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072355915#!/compare/1544745600/1544832000
Sold with ~7 keys sweets for an arcana bonk helm (115) = 108.
Sale #2 (fresh)= 144
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072355915#!/compare/1544832000/1544918400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198158206236#!/compare/1544832000/1544918400
Sold for a stormy bubble pipe (14) + a p confetti trenchers topper (12) + a mystery to everyone bicorne (26) + a d@d gridiron guardian (24) + haunted phantasm jr texas tin gallon (23) + cloudy moon prancers pride (45) = 144. Minis below.
Confirmation by the buyer: https://imgur.com/a/VaGDKPn
Marketplace.tf sales:
https://marketplace.tf/items/30105;5;u73
Using http://manic.tf/keyprice/
Sale #1 (2 months) Sold for 180.00$ = 100
This sale was also included in the previous suggestion. Still indate, so i'm using it.
Classies:
https://imgur.com/a/0dfiWBE
Seller at 250.
Buyers start at 79.
_________________________________________________________
Minis
Stormy Bubble Pipe
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198261521812#!/compare/1538697600/1538784000
Sold for 14 keys.
Going with 14 keys.
Purple Confetti Trenchers Topper
No proper mini possible, so taking buyers price. Makes it a bit inaccurate, but should be fine in a bulk sale like this.
https://imgur.com/a/FaIZ7Y2
Going with 12 keys.
It's a mystery to everyone Bicorne
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070705963#!/compare/1537833600/1537920000
Sold for a miami nights trilby (16.5) + 9 keys = 25.5. No other usable sales.
Going with 26 keys.
D@D Gridirion Guardian
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198021055079#!/compare/1537920000/1538006400
Sold for 24 keys. Only usable sale.
Going with 24 keys.
Haunted Phantasm jr texas tin gallon
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057541872#!/compare/1544832000/1544918400
Sold for a planets pencil pusher (22) + 1 key = 23.
No macro possible on the pencil pusher, again using buyers price to keep this sale alive.
Going with 23 keys.
Cloudy Moon Prancers Pride
No mini possible. Using 5 month old price.
Going with 45 keys.
_________________________________________________________
SUMMARY
Sales:
100 x1
108 x1
144 x1Considering the inaccuracy of all those minis, i'll call 144 high and exclude it.
Going with 100-108 keys.
Feel free to add proof to support or counter my new price.
Cloudy moon prancers has a suggestion going now: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5c1a334f44325a44c608bbab
Refresh at 45, so nothing's changing here.
Just a heads up for future reference; If you're using sales from the previous suggestion and induce such a negligible change, then its typically worth it to wait a while or to leave it as it is. In this case it's fine because the sale was on the verge of being outdated already, but if the sales would be from the same time frame (like a few days or weeks apart), then such updates are most likely pointless, or extending a hat's price where it should not.
As said: here, the sales occurred far enough apart, so I do consider this to be a relevant update.