Price Suggestion
Arcana Black Watch
Submitted by seVen
~437.5 keys
arcana
Unusual Black Watch Arcana
61 votes up
9 votes down
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Arcana Black Watch

Requested.


New price: 100-108 keys


Proof:


Sale #1 (fresh)= 108

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198415109078#!/compare/1544659200/1544832000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072355915#!/compare/1544745600/1544832000

Sold with ~7 keys sweets for an arcana bonk helm (115) = 108.


Sale #2 (fresh)= 144

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072355915#!/compare/1544832000/1544918400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198158206236#!/compare/1544832000/1544918400

Sold for a stormy bubble pipe (14) + a p confetti trenchers topper (12) + a mystery to everyone bicorne (26) + a d@d gridiron guardian (24) + haunted phantasm jr texas tin gallon (23) + cloudy moon prancers pride (45) = 144. Minis below.

Confirmation by the buyer: https://imgur.com/a/VaGDKPn


Marketplace.tf sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/30105;5;u73

Using http://manic.tf/keyprice/

Sale #1 (2 months) Sold for 180.00$ = 100

This sale was also included in the previous suggestion. Still indate, so i'm using it.


Classies:

https://imgur.com/a/0dfiWBE

Seller at 250.

Buyers start at 79.

_________________________________________________________


Minis


Stormy Bubble Pipe

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198261521812#!/compare/1538697600/1538784000

Sold for 14 keys.

Going with 14 keys.


Purple Confetti Trenchers Topper

No proper mini possible, so taking buyers price. Makes it a bit inaccurate, but should be fine in a bulk sale like this.

https://imgur.com/a/FaIZ7Y2

Going with 12 keys.


It's a mystery to everyone Bicorne

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070705963#!/compare/1537833600/1537920000

Sold for a miami nights trilby (16.5) + 9 keys = 25.5. No other usable sales.

Going with 26 keys.


D@D Gridirion Guardian

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198021055079#!/compare/1537920000/1538006400

Sold for 24 keys. Only usable sale.

Going with 24 keys.


Haunted Phantasm jr texas tin gallon

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057541872#!/compare/1544832000/1544918400

Sold for a planets pencil pusher (22) + 1 key = 23.

No macro possible on the pencil pusher, again using buyers price to keep this sale alive.

Going with 23 keys.


Cloudy Moon Prancers Pride

No mini possible. Using 5 month old price.

Going with 45 keys.

_________________________________________________________


SUMMARY


Sales:

100 x1

108 x1

144 x1


Considering the inaccuracy of all those minis, i'll call 144 high and exclude it.


Going with 100-108 keys.


Feel free to add proof to support or counter my new price.

Just a heads up for future reference; If you're using sales from the previous suggestion and induce such a negligible change, then its typically worth it to wait a while or to leave it as it is. In this case it's fine because the sale was on the verge of being outdated already, but if the sales would be from the same time frame (like a few days or weeks apart), then such updates are most likely pointless, or extending a hat's price where it should not.


As said: here, the sales occurred far enough apart, so I do consider this to be a relevant update.