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Disco Beat Down Ze Goggles
New price: 15-17 keys
Proof:
Sale #1 (3 months)= 20
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198370447374#!/compare/1536192000/1536278400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041006430#!/compare/1536192000/1536278400
Sold for a steaming sky high fly guy (9) + 11 keys 2 ref = ~20 keys.
Sale #2 (2 months)= 16
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041006430#!/compare/1537574400/1538006400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198320030042#!/compare/1537833600/1538006400
Sold for 16 keys.
Sale #3 (1 month)= invalid
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198320030042#!/compare/1541635200/1541721600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045174236#!/compare/1541635200/1541721600
Sold with a steaming hat to kill for for a steaming ke. Better used for the ke.
Sale #4 (1 month)= 16
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120156553#!/compare/1541030400/1541116800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198351184262#!/compare/1541030400/1541116800
Sold with 1.5 keys sweets for a tf logo defiant spartan (17) = 15.5. Rounding to 16.
Sale #5 (1 month)= 20
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198351184262#!/compare/1541116800/1541203200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198164512690#!/compare/1541116800/1541376000
Sold for 20 keys.
Sale #6 (1 month)= invalid
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198253940521#!/compare/1541116800/1541203200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198215739808#!/compare/1540857600/1541203200
Sold for 13 keys 12 ref. Probably a quicksell.
Sale #7 (3 months)= 21
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198254033647#!/compare/1538092800/1538179200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198078896732#!/compare/1537056000/1538179200
Sold for a dbd virtual reality headset (12.5) + 8 keys = 20.5. Rounding to 21.
Sale #8 (2 months)= 16
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198078896732#!/compare/1538179200/1538438400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198403971641#!/compare/1537833600/1538438400
Sold for 15 keys 33 ref. Rounding to 16.
Sale #9 (2 months)= 15
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054198170#!/compare/1540080000/1540598400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198149175706#!/compare/1539907200/1540080000
Sold for 15 keys.
Sale #10 (1 month)= 17
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198149175706#!/compare/1540771200/1540857600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198149839041#!/compare/1540598400/1541635200
Sold for 17 keys.
bot.tf sales:
https://bot.tf/stats/item?def=177&q=5&ef=Disco+Beat+Down&craft=1&aus=0&ks=0
https://imgur.com/a/ZL4qWTL
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198382654640#!/compare/1537912800/1537999200 - 17
Classies:
https://imgur.com/a/00lXYzF
3 sellers at ~18. One of them unsold for almost a month.
Buyers start at 14.
_________________________________________________________
Minis
tf logo spartan
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198023154147#!/compare/1538611200/1538870400
Sold for 16 keys.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198173316814#!/compare/1541289600/1541376000
Sold for 17 keys.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120156553#!/compare/1542758400/1543104000
Sold for an aussie knife (17).
Knife might be 17.5 (rounding to 18), but it would change anything.
Going with 16-17 keys. Averages at 16.5. Rounding to 17.
_________________________________________________________
SUMMARY
Sales:
15 x1
16 x3
17 x2
20 x221 x1
Sellers prove 20+ is high.
15 is a bit close to buyers, but 15 is not very old compared to other sales and i don't see buyers going up any time soon.
Going with 15-17 keys.
Feel free to add proof to support or counter my new price.