Team Fortress 2
Counter-Strike: Global Offensive
My first counter, because someone decided to suggest a mercenary grade hat with one sale.
Traded for a Death at Dusk Grimm Hatte
no recent sales, exclude
1:1 for a Strange Eldritch Flame Duck Billed Hatypus (in date at 200)
Other compare link not clear
Here is my trade offer history of the trade: https://gyazo.com/5dacd1ad13b98693179ca4467f7dbff8
Excluding this because of seller at 175.
Sale 3: credit to torb
Sold for PE Detective + 21k
GE Boxcar + ~3k
GE Boxcar mini:
CHeart Chullo + 35k
GE Chullo = 130k
130-31 = 99
final sale = 102k
Duped Burning Pillar
No mini available, no recent sales aside from this one.
69, 102, 200
Grim supports range, despite not used here.
200 clear outlier
69-102 it is
Sold for 83 keys, I say price at around 100 keys
First off, the fabricator isn't worth 18 keys, nor do the histories match.
This was the actual sale, for 69 keys.
Second, why would I price a hat at 100 keys if it sold at 83?
Because of the higher sales and the 83 was clearly a quicksale
Higher sale. 200 is an outlier.
Second, you can't prove 83 was a quicksell, nor can you prove 69 is a quicksell.
I talked with apoq, he said the guy was quickselling
Let me run this down very briefly:
Sales are 69, 83, 102, and 175.
We also have two sales that I'm unable to put numbers on, but considering Morning Glory grim hatte is selling at 90, I wouldn't argue that death at dusk is anywhere close to almost double it's twin effect.
Towering pillar is the same way, the hat is valued at 115, but will a seller unsold for two weeks + at 94 keys, a duped would fall short of that too.
That said, we have:
69, 83, ~90, <94, 102, and 200
Due to me unable to confirm the two middle values, they are speculative, but the fourth is guaranteed to be less than 94 keys, which brings up the obvious question.
If 83 is a quicksell, why was a hat that's valued at less than 94 keys not considered a quicksell?
For that matter, why is 90 not a quicksell? They sold in around the same timeframes, looking at the histories.
69-102 incorporates three confirmed sales, a guaranteed yet unconfirmed sale, and a likely speculative sale. 200 is still an outlier here due to a seller at 175.
Basically if 83 is a quicksell, prove 69 is a quicksell, and we can rediscuss. As of now, the range supports five? sales broadly.
I sold mine for about 143 keys
I don't see evidence of this anywhere
Ignore the 3 keys from me, that was a bp premium payment
g/e boxcar def needs a mini but supports higher.
also pretty sure i saw at least 1 bought on scm for ~100 keys within a couple hours of it listing
I'm new to unusual trading, what does a mini mean
Mini-Suggestion afaik. You can't use items in a suggestion that are out if date - shown by a red triangle on the unusual page (e.g. https://backpack.tf/unusual/Geisha%20Boy) - so you have to make a (mini) suggestion for them first before you are able to use them in your current suggestion.
Did you read through the entire suggestion? Because I'm pretty sure I included one.
Green Energy Boxcar Bomber is not 140 keys.
As I put in the evidence for my price, it sold for this:
Which then sold for this
Only the Green Energy Chullo is updated, so that's what I'm basing the price off of here.
Your bomber should be worth around 99 keys, not 140.
This sale was where I got 102 from
You're forgetting a large factor, overpay
Overpay doesn't play a factor into price suggesting, large or small.
I'm saying that the boxcar could have been overpay
and how many days were they traded after being tradable? ... prolly should look at that :/ the one was within 2 days from the unboxer so that's pretty obvious lol
Low end is definitely low here
Low end is low. High end is high. I think there still aren't enough sales to make a solid price on a hat with such a hyped effect. Just a bit too all over the place at the moment. Especially with a range of 69-102 it is just seems unclear.
"I think there still aren't enough sales to make a solid price"
"High end is high"
You priced this hat at 200 with one sale.
That's true. Just was the only sales at the time and it was requested by the guy who got it.
Now that I look over it I agree with your suggestion for 70-100