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Choo Choo. Car 33.
Sale 1:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198145433023#!/compare/1529452800/1533254400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090938903#!/compare/1533168000/1533254400
Sold with negligible sweets for Bubbling Cotton Head(22)
Sale 2:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090938903#!/compare/1533254400/1534204800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305676157#!/compare/1534118400/1534204800
QS
Sale 3:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305676157#!/compare/1534377600/1534464000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198076658566#!/compare/1534032000/1534464000
Sold with a key in sweets for Blizzardy Danger
use there.
Sale 4:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091133177#!/compare/1533081600/1533513600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074192315#!/compare/1533168000/1533427200
Bulk.
Sale 5:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074192315#!/compare/1535760000/1536278400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198210809861#!/compare/1536105600/1536278400
Sold for Aussie Ambassador(13) + ~11 keys in sweets
Total is 25 keys
Sale 6:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061275415#!/compare/1531872000/1531958400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056523528#!/compare/1531699200/1531958400
Sold for 29 keys
Sale 7:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198364904565#!/compare/1534723200/1534809600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071748630#!/compare/1534636800/1534723200
Sold for Tesla Toadstool
Toadstool Mini:
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5b9a21ce44325a769b19158b
Suggestion for 33 keys
Sale 8:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071748630#!/compare/1534896000/1534982400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198024867201#!/compare/1534896000/1534982400
Sold with 15 keys for Neutron Coldsnap Cap
use there.
Sale 9:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198024867201#!/compare/1535587200/1535673600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198020881110#!/compare/1535500800/1535673600
Untrace.
Sale 10:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198195731583#!/compare/1536019200/1536105600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091064029#!/compare/1525651200/1536451200
Sold for 30 keys
Sale 11:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095022965#!/compare/1532908800/1533081600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198128712490#!/compare/1532995200/1533254400
Sold for 30 keys
Sale 12:
https://marketplace.tf/items/30976;5;u58
Sold for 60 USD
Keys at 1.88 USD
Total is 31.91 keys
Total sales @:
22, 25, 29, 30, 30, 31.91, 33 keys
https://i.imgur.com/vV3E5tS.jpg
Seller at 30 keys,
Buyers up to 17 keys
Taking 22 - 30 keys.
that 22 sale is kinda out on its own. sells for pure 30, sells for cash 32.... u left off the wrong end imo shoulda went 25-32
22 is 3 keys from 25, 25 is 4 from 29. I'd say 22 is justified in being there.
I have to agree with Adolf here. If we also took the two sales you didn't use into account(Neutron Coldsnap, Blizzardy Danger), you'd have one sale at ~28 Keys, and a sale way over 30 Keys. There isn't enough justification to include 22 here.
25-30 should be fine for this.
Something else that I should mention that shouldn't be too relevant for this suggestion: Your seller at 30 is gone, and as far as I'm aware, we aren't able to trace the sale at all. If you don't include item histories when using sellers, there is a very high chance that not only will you be missing sales, but it can potentially render some of your suggestions as completely invalid. Please keep this in mind for the future, even if it doesn't seem like they'll impact the range.
Seller for 30 looks to have sold here:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198020881110#!/compare/1536969600/1537056000
to this person:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198207933564
Getting 503 errors right now, so can't show comparison, but the histories of the keys + ToD ticks match.
So he would have sold it for ~29 keys, which fits into the range you suggested.
Resuggesting.