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Using last month.
Sale 1:
Sold for $22.03 on marketplace.tf
https://marketplace.tf/items/1172;5;u3008
22.03/1.95 = ~11.3
X = 11
Sale 2:
Sold for Neutron Star Copper’s Hard Topper
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112208219#!/compare/1531353600/1531526400
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198163238083#!/compare/1531440000/1531526400
Neutron Copper’s sales:
Bulk for Hot Shotgun (~10 if used on the topper)
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198212611445#!/compare/1525219200/1525305600
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198171094499#!/compare/1525305600/1525392000
Bulk for Strange Green Confetti Universal Translator
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198110248446#!/compare/1525737600/1525824000
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198177822454#!/compare/1525737600/1525824000
Sold with 6 keys for Voltaic Hat Protector Phononaut
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198157452762#!/compare/1525824000/1525910400
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198340736289#!/compare/1525737600/1525910400
Bulk-ish for DBD Runner’s Warm Up
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198340736289#!/compare/1525910400/1525996800
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198388363768#!/compare/1525910400/1525996800
Sold with ~2 keys in pure/items for Searing Hot Dogger
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198388363768#!/compare/1525996800/1526083200
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198249274908#!/compare/1526083200/1526169600
These sales are too far apart. If we were to get a price on the topper with these sales it would end up being around 20-35-ish. Given the cheaper sellers on the SCM for the Victory Lap, the topper sale would be too high here: https://i.imgur.com/BTskmjv.png
Sellers:
50 keys:
https://i.imgur.com/TmtviJi.png
https://backpack.tf/item/6410276971
Sales at:
11
Going with 11 flat.
Cash buyers for more (about 13 keys), for any effect on scm
Cash buyers are unreliable counter-proof, especially when there are sellers at/lower than their buying price on bp.tf.
https://backpack.tf/classifieds?item=Taunt%3A+The+Victory+Lap&quality=5&tradable=1&craftable=1&australium=-1&killstreak_tier=0
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198255411360#!/compare/1532736000/1532822400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198143773828#!/compare/1531958400/1532822400
transferred to alt/scammed
https://i.imgur.com/1QSPXdB.png
Gonna keep an eye on the SCM sellers to see if they sell, because this thing will probably need a range.
Also worth noting that the Copper's Hard Topper hasn't re-sold since the suggestion has been made.
Prices have changed:
https://i.imgur.com/oWZthjt.png
Changed again:
https://i.imgur.com/T69fvPa.png
Gonna try keep this updated so i can properly track them when they do eventually sell.
looks like the cheapest seller dumped on one of the quickbuyers
bugger it, i give up