Price Suggestion
Refined Metal
Submitted by Erik
~$0.027
Unique Refined Metal
157 votes up
11 votes down
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Refined Metal


New price: $0.06-$0.07

[proof below]


Marketplace.tf sales.


https://marketplace.tf/items/5021;6/Mann%20Co.%20Supply%20Crate%20Key

Recent sales on keys since yesterday -> https://gyazo.com/c935f7f8a0969eeeb24f9cf958f1c32f


Large majority of the sales at $1.97, so using that. Only need to collect from 1 day, since keys were updated yesterday. Excluding fees, this should get around ~$1.77


https://backpack.tf/stats/Unique/Mann%20Co.%20Supply%20Crate%20Key/Tradable/Craftable

28.44 – 28.66


Conclusion Marketplace.tf sales.


$1.77 / 28.55 = $0,061 = $0,06


So basically ~2000+ sales at $0.06


[/b]Other sellers.[/b]


https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/61353-selling-keys-via-paypal-185-each-trusted-trader/

https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198105403049

Sold keys for $1.85 / 28.55 ref = 0,064 = rounding to $0,06


https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/47271-280-rep-rockets-keys-for-185-via-paypal/

https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198049171595

Sold 100+ keys for $1.85 / 28.55 ref = 0,064 = rounding to $0,06


https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/66466-buying-keys-at-185-each-paypalno-rep-neededi-pay-the-fees/

https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198049677507

Bought 160+ keys in the past 3 days for $1.85 / 28.55 = 0,064 = rounding to $0,06


https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/66518-buying-an-uncertain-ed-amount-of-keys-for-180-~just-add-me~/

https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198208062409

Bought keys for $1.80 / 28.55 = 0,063 = rounding to $0,06


https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/59785-buying-tf2-keys-via-paypal-178-_-trusted-trader-_-stock-1000/

https://backpack.tf/trust/76561197999873164

Bought keys for $1.78 / 28.55 = 0,062 = rounding to $0,06


https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/47073-177-usd-for-your-keys-no-rep-needed-veteran-trusted-trader/

https://backpack.tf/trust/76561197969363424

Traded atleast 140 keys for $1.77 / 28.55 = 0,0619 = rounding to $0,06


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28665529

https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198053252981

Sold 28 keys for $51,90. $51,90 / 28 = $1.853 / 28.55 = 0,0649 = rounds to $0,07


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29210913

Selling for $0.08, doesn’t appear to have sold any recently.


BUYING @ .06

https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/39876-b-tf2-keys177-ref006paypalamazon-whole-backpacks-rep-for-days/

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25674193

https://www.steamtrades.com/trade/OGk0N/b-tf2-keys-177-refined-metal-06-whole-inventories-backpacks-for-paypalamazon


Marketplace.tf

https://marketplace.tf/items/5002;6/Refined%20Metal

181 buy orders @ .07

315 buy orders @ .06


Including both $0.06 and $0.07


Resuggestion from: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5aca74d844325a557819cf16


Going with $0.06 - $0.07.


    You haven't formatted this very clearly. The high end of the range is coming from key sales on marketplace without the fees excluded, why have you just copied/pasted? It makes it kinda unclear where your range is coming from for anyone reviewing this suggestion. Buy orders for refined metal have nothing to do with it, we don't price using refined metal sales or buyers.

    Forgive me if I'm missing something obvious, but why do you only need sales since the last key/refined price update? It seems to me you'd want the cash sales that happened in the same time window as the refined sales in that suggestion...not to mention the potential for a price spike skewing things if you only look at sales from one day.


    Not that it'll make much (if any) difference, as key/cash prices haven't fluctuated significantly over that period, I'm just curious as to the logic.

      We only use sales since keys were last updated, as we're using key prices (marketplace.tf/paypal) to base ref prices on. If we use old sales, then the key/ref ratio wouldn't add up and you'd get sales that are outliers, so it's best to use sales since the keys were updated. Which is about 2-3 days in this case.

      https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/61165-refined-suggestions-and-site-usd-values/

      The high end at $0.07 is for the key sales on marketplace.tf in the past few days without the fees included.

      This means that I'm basically placing a high end here based on marketplace.tf and PayPal in order to match with the current key prices, which were recently updated -> https://backpack.tf/stats/Unique/Mann%20Co.%20Supply%20Crate%20Key/Tradable/Craftable


      $0.06 would put the key value here lower than it actually is, thus making a range.