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One of my dream hat.
This is my 1st suggestion. It might not be perfect, but I try to make it pretty.
4-year-old price. There are 2 available recent sales.
Sale #1
Sold along with a Blizzardy Storm Bonk Boy (41) + Aces High Brim-Full Of Bullets (18) for a Purple Energy Hat With No Name (215) and 7 pure.
X=215+7-18-41=163
Buyer's backpack: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198118859180#!/compare/1516060800/1516147200
Seller's backpack: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198127328235#!/compare/1516060800/1516147200
Sale #2
Sold for a Prof. Australium Medi Gun (43) + Prof. Australium Sniper Rifle (36) + Clean Green Energy A Rather Festive Tree (46) + Clean Death at Dusk A Rather Festive Tree (60).
X=43+36+46+60=185
Buyer's backpack: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198208150535#!/compare/1516492800/1516579200
Seller's backpack: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198118859180#!/compare/1516320000/1516579200
Mini
#1 Purple Energy Hat With No Name
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198255903931#!/compare/1515974400/1516147200
Sold for 78 pure + Ooze Defiant Spartan (46) + It's A Seret To Everybody Data Mining Light (67.5)
191.5 in total.
#2 Blizzardy Storm Bonk Boy
No available recent sales. Leave a comment if you find one, thanks =)
#3 Aces High Brim-Full Of Bullets
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198118859180#!/compare/1516147200/1516320000
Probably a quicksell, not using.
#4 Green Energy A Rather Festive Tree
https://backpack.tf/classifieds?item=A%20Rather%20Festive%20Tree&quality=5&tradable=1&craftable=1&australium=-1&particle=9&killstreak_tier=0
Many sellers sell them for around 47, so I take it as 46. GE Tree may need a drop.
#5 Death at Dusk A Rather Festive Tree
Credits to Shuffle Spy
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5a2c8274cf6c757d3044b338
60 keys.
Why 160-180? Round it to the nearest 5/10. 165-185 keys it's the best one.
Bonk has many sellers below 41.
38 seller is 5 days old, I'd cap it at unsold.
Also sale 2nd will cap at 160 b/o (Moose comment)
Resuggest @160 flat I guess
Missed a sale here https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091301355#!/compare/1515974400/1516060800 - Sold for a Smoking Hot Dogger + A Stormy Storm Vintage Merryweather + A Searing Plasma Company Man + A Neutron Star Deep Cover Operator + ~3 Keys in Sweets, All the unus are outdated and need minis I'm afraid.
Bonk has no recent sales, only unuseable ones. upnoot
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29524032 - Sale 2 capped at 160
Okay so, 4 sales here:
Sale #1:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091301355#!/compare/1515974400/1516060800 - Tree for everything you see in the compare, and all of them need minis, which I have made
DCO mini: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198232122560#!/compare/1518393600/1518480000 - 38 pure
https://backpack.tf/item/5203787544
Company Mann mini: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198175717022#!/compare/1516492800/1517011200 - DP Cone + ~1k sweets, ~40
Merry mini: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126114757#!/compare/1519516800/1519603200 - 15 pure
Dogger mini: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198253940521#!/compare/1517616000/1517702400 - DBD HWAH + ~1k sweets, ~17
38 + 40 + 15 + 17 + 3 (sweets) = 113, or ~115 rounded
Sale #2:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198118859180#!/compare/1516320000/1516579200 - Medi Gun, Rifle, and both Trees, which you made minis for or were already in-date, ~185, however, as noted in the comments...
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29524032 - B/O was 160, caps there
Sale #3:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198118859180#!/compare/1516060800/1516147200 - PE HWNN and 7 pure for Blizzardy Bonk, Aces Brim, and Tree
There are two problems with the way you calculated this sale - your HWNN mini is incorrect (actual sale was for a Cloudy AA and a Secret Data Mining Light), and you further didn't use it in your calculations, you took the outdated price instead.
Some possible HWNN minis:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198143268812#!/compare/1518220800/1518652800 - 135 pure, off-market, seems low
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061921663#!/compare/1516060800/1516147200 - Burning Spartan (94, in-date), GE Merry (33, in-date), GFetti Law (38, in-date), and Nuts Cowl (outdated at 12, probably ~10 judging by sellers), so ~175 total
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061921663#!/compare/1516060800/1516147200 - Cloudy AA (mini at 98) + Secret Data (in-date at 67.5), ~165
AA mini: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069268528#!/compare/1513555200/1513641600 - Sold w/ 32 in adds for Tesla Cone, 98
Those look low overall, but other sales aren't readily usable. I actually think the Tree for HWNN sale would likely be better used to help update the HWNN, although a young HWNN seller for 140 just appeared and that market needs to be watched for the time being. Regardless, that sale does not support 160 here.
Sale #4:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002492237#!/compare/1519344000/1519430400 - 1:1 w/ Amaranthine Bomber, also outdated with very few recent sales, should be used to update that
Ultimately, you have a valid sale for 115, a valid sale capped at 160, and two sales that would seemingly be better used on the other hats involved. Tree is now off the market, so please re-suggest at 115-160.