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Resuggestion! This time fo' sho
8 month price!
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Previous suggestion
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5a1168c644325a37eb7207dd
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Sale #1
Sold for $240 (121 keys), also unsold at $300 (151)
https://marketplace.tf/items/538;5;u108
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Sale #2
Sold for Haunted Ghosts Chill Chullo + 16 keys + 3 keys in sweets (105+16+3=124)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198019257028#!/compare/1504224000/1504310400
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Sale #3
Sold for Tesla Coil HKC (162.5)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048311062#!/compare/1504396800/1505088000
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Sale #4
Sold for Haunted Ghosts Woodsman** (126)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198110951310#!/compare/1505520000/1505606400
** - Mini for Woodsman
- Unsold in the marketplace at $250 (126)
https://marketplace.tf/items/30549;5;u8
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Sale #5
Sold for Prof. K Australium FaN + Prof. K Australium Black Box + K. Gold Botkiller Sniper Rifle Mk.II + Strange Festive Specialized Killstreak Woodsy Widowmaker SMG (Factory New) + Infernal Smoke Taunt: Disco Fever** + Hellish Inferno Taunt: Bad Pipes*** + Infernal Smoke Taunt: The Boston Breakdance + Purple Confetti Well-Rounded Rifleman [Sale happened before taunts heavily decreased in price]
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198110951310#!/compare/1506297600/1506384000
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Sale #6
Sold for 120 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119563409#!/compare/1504224000/1504396800
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Unsold at 160 for 1 month
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29401811
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TL;DR
Sales at: 120, 121, 124, 126, and 162.5
Sale #3 is probably an outlier, due to unsolds at 150 and 160 and the abundance of solds in the 120-125 range.
Taking 120-125. Rounded <3
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198188448334#!/compare/1511913600/1512259200 - Looks like it would be a low outlier, Tower is duped
Woodsman sale can just be used for the Woodsman since it doesn't really have a proper mini here and the Chullo sale rounds up to 125 to support the high end.
New MP seller for $280 & key seller for 145 also support the drop.
Taunt sale would have generally supported this range at the time it occurred, and it doesn't set the range now so I guess this is fine.