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event
Sale 1:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198013554714#!/compare/1498348800/1498521600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066520025#!/compare/1498435200/1498521600
whoopee + 1 key for logo pirate bandana (38)
37
Sale 2:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198189133167#!/compare/1497916800/1498003200
Purple Confetti Backbiter's Billycock (16) + Blizzardy Storm Steel Shako (17)
33
Sale 3:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198101804768#!/compare/1498262400/1498348800
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29239473 32 b/o
with 4 keys and 6 sweets for stormy storm brown bomber (33)
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/595fb0becf6c75375202d78d
Sales 4&5:
$45 and $52 on mp.tf https://marketplace.tf/items/174;5;u68
22 keys, 25 keys
Sale 6:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198316071886#!/compare/1496102400/1496188800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069149238#!/compare/1496188800/1496275200
Kill-a-Watt Cloud Crasher (18) + whop + 1 key strange hat for steaming tc (39.5)
20
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070736816#!/compare/1493942400/1494115200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093707809#!/compare/1493251200/1494115200
maybe pure but nothing matches
Sales:
20
22
25
32
33
37
Besides the brown bomber sale(which comes up to 23 keys), every single sale at 25 keys or less appears to be a quicksale.
As a matter of fact, the only recent sale is a 20 key quicksale:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198309942981#!/compare/1501113600/1501200000
However, with these many sales at a lower price(5 sales, 8 if we want to count the scrap.tf sales), a low end is definitely justified here. I would like to see a more conservative range of 25-33, even if 25 took a day to sell it can still be used to represent the lower sales that accured.
tl;dr: 25-33 should be better for this.