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event
Sale 1:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198164112388#!/compare/1498348800/1498435200
stare from beyond fruit shoot (37 pending sugg) + strange spec ks aussie frontier justice (8) + strange spruce deluce scattergun factory new (7)
52
Sale 2:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044934255#!/compare/1491782400/1491868800
Bulk
Sale 3:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198101970268#!/compare/1496880000/1496966400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198199729741#!/compare/1496793600/1496880000
30 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29215747
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29207766 took over week
Sale 4:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198255903931#!/compare/1498089600/1498176000
32 keys
Sale 5:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198102296925#!/compare/1496361600/1496534400
28 keys sold in 6 hours
Sale 6:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116653058#!/compare/1497657600/1497744000
mini
Sale 7:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091476211#!/compare/1498003200/1498089600
Stormy 13th Hour Copper's Hard Top(43)
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/595ec9b0cf6c755da00aa094
Sale 8:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198164112388#!/compare/1498348800/1498435200
Stare From Beyond Fruit Shoot(37)
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/595f45f6cf6c7531533424cb
Sale 9:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198198332539#!/compare/1498608000/1498694400
with 1 key for Orbiting Fire Chill Chullo(52)
51
Sale 10:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054517262#!/compare/1499212800/1499299200
bulk
Seller for 44 for 3 months https://backpack.tf/item/5008254803
Sale 1 and 8 are the same, and it had a B/O of 43, so it would cap at that:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29240878
Sale 9 also had a B/O of 42:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29247751
more sales here:
Aces noble + OC bicorne + 3 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198254795970#!/compare/1501459200/1501545600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198272339465#!/compare/1501459200/1501545600
Aces neck + stormy marauder (44 total)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198277067528#!/compare/1501372800/1501459200
Everything in that first sale is outdated but thatll be ~40
The trade notes have changed but that 30 seller changed his price on the way, and the buyer instantly flipped for 32; that sale is probably an outlier. I'd mini the bicorne and noble and make that sale the low end and the 44 the high end
Closing for now, feel free to resuggest