Price Suggestion
~53 keys
vivid
Unusual Das Ubersternmann Vivid Plasma
59 votes up
11 votes down
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Message left by moderator:

There are two potentially valid sales which are discrepant and lack a clear outlier - we will need to wait for a 3rd valid sale before pricing this

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Comments

The only usable sale (sorry if I'm wrong).


1 to 1 for Aussie Spec KS Scattergun (Last sales at ~23,5 - 24,5; Being sold for 24.0 and 25.0 right now).


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061393797#!/compare/1498521600/1498694400


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141830968#!/compare/1496361600/1498694400


Another sale: 15 keys + 5 ref, calling it QS


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198330625447#!/compare/1494633600/1494806400


24 - 30% = 16,8. Match )


¯\_(ツ)_/¯


    I would buy hat in heartbeat for this price, seems like serious QS. More sales would help here...

      Prem search show only 4 of them. The only hope that guy with scattergun will decide to sell it for more real price than 55.

        Considering higher tier 1st gens like ghosts and hearts go for like 80ish and lover tier effects like searing and peace go for 40ish, 50-60 makes a lot of sense for Vivid one. He was just lucky with that Scatter deal.

          May be. In my opinion plasma (both) is ugly ( ͡° ͜ʖ ͡°). So, I just made suggestion based on sales.


          Also, when look at it, that purchase for pure seems... am... not very legal. Unless, of course, history is not glitched.

    sooo low on par with dead pres lol but sales is sales

      Agree, also Searing worth ~35. But here we have only QS and that change. Well, that's a start.

      https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198215627617#!/compare/1497571200/1497657600 - Strange Neutron Cotton Head, ~55


      Sale for ~15 was to a buy-order, so that one's not valid at all: http://imgur.com/a/wLRA9


      Ultimately, that means we have two potentially valid sales here, 30 keys apart. The sale for ~24 was sold a day after it was posted, but in addition to the 55 key sale, there is a 1-month unsold for 55 as well: http://imgur.com/a/wLRA9


      Neither of those sales seems ideal for a flat price, since they conflict and neither has support proof. Until we get a third valid sale to determine the outlier, this should remain unpriced.