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Price is outdated
Solds
It's really hard to look for solds as these hats aren't wanted much
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28673618 - Sold at 14 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28674351 - Sold at 13 keys
Sellers
There isn't a single seller selling for more than 14 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29177931 - Unsold at 14 for over a month
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29244662 - Unsold at 14
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29214063 - Unsold at 14 for 3 weeks
https://backpack.tf/classifieds?item=Crocleather%20Slouch&quality=5&tradable=1&craftable=1&australium=-1&particle=60&killstreak_tier=0 - 14 keys
https://scrap.tf/unusuals/89 - Even bots are selling for 12 keys and 25 ref
https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Crocleather%20Slouch - Selling on the market for $29 or less than 12 keys
It should be valued at least down to 14 keys because of the numerous amounts of people selling it at this price and even having trouble
Your sales are both too old to be used. To drop a hat successfully by buyout (what you're trying to do) it has to be at least a 15% change and there to be no recent sales
This is a 15% change though, isn't it?
Additional Evidence
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123224716#!/compare/1494201600/1494288000 - Sold for 13 Keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198124986888#!/compare/1494201600/1494288000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198248796904#!/compare/1488585600/1491177600 - Quicksold for 9 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198032176942#!/compare/1491091200/1491177600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198269636307#!/compare/1498348800/1498435200 - Quicksold for 10 keys
This should be 13 flat based on the evidence you provided. You have a sale at 13, the unsolds at 14 support the drop quite nicely.