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Sale 1:
Sold with >3 keys in pure/items for Scorching Sober Stuntman (37.5)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28901244 - B/O of 35
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197996904846#!/compare/1493424000/1493510400
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198220121581#!/compare/1493424000/1493510400
X = 34
Sale 2:
Sold for Terror-Watt Tippler’s Tricorne (Mini at 13.5 below) + Orbiting Planets Desert Marauder (Mini at 14.5 below) + Strange Ubersaw (<1)
No outpost
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062425416#!/compare/1493337600/1493424000
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197996904846#!/compare/1493164800/1493424000
X = 29
Terror-Watt Tippler’s Tricorne:
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/594a691ecf6c7529c7132604
Orbiting Planets Marauder Mini:
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/594a70cacf6c7529e1773aee
Sales at:
29
34
No current sellers.
Going with 29-34.
sold one on the SCM for 70 euros 3 weeks ago, supports the range I suppose
Will be around the 31 to 32 key mark, which fits right in the range. Cheers for that
More sales here: https://backpack.tf/item/4763488883
I sold mine for a Smoking Rotation Sensation + Strange Festive Grenade Launcher.
Cheers for pointing that out, I'm gonna sleep, I'll take a better look at this tomorrow.
Also, do you remember what your buyout was? If it was higher than 38, which is approximately this sale's value, then it may end up being an outlier, assuming there are no other sales around that price.
Alright, here are the sales I could identify through that item's history:
Sold for Orbiting Planets Killer’s Kabuto (17) + Overclocked Broadband Bonnet (13)
No outpost
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053717045#!/compare/1490486400/1490572800
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093998184#!/compare/1490486400/1490572800
X = 30
Sold for Smoking Rotation Sensation (35) + Strange Festive Grenade Launcher (~2)
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093998184#!/compare/1494374400/1494720000
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105347097#!/compare/1494633600/1494720000
https://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:VXhW0CJ0rroJ:https://marketplace.tf/shopitem/funkster/30095%3B5%3Bu6/Green%2520Confetti%2520Das%2520Hazmattenhatten+&cd=3&hl=en&ct=clnk&gl=au – looks like you had it listed for $62.70 on marketplace, so it would be safe to assume that your B/O was around 30. Going to cap at that.
X = 30 (Capped by B/O on marketplace)
Sold for 26 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28847081 - B/O of 36
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198182268309#!/compare/1490400000/1490486400
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053717045#!/compare/1490400000/1490486400
X = 26
Sold with items for Mallard Brim
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105347097#!/compare/1494720000/1494806400
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065402907#!/compare/1494720000/1494806400
Was used on the brim, cannot be used here.
So our totals sales are:
26
29
~30
30
34
And the SCM sale at ~31 that Prutser posted above, though I’m unable to prove it due to lack of B/O, and due to the new owner having a (possibly) private backpack. Seeing as 26 sold for much less than its B/O, I’m going to assume that it was a quicksell of some sort, and exclude it. The suggested price should work here.