Price Suggestion
~5.5 keys
whirlwnd
Unusual Shred Alert Midnight Whirlwind
50 votes up
14 votes down
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Comments

Midnight Whirlwind Shred Alert, thanks A Delicious Cashew for telling me to round it off to a whole number.


As the main proof, I bought this Midnight Whirlwind off a friend of mine for 31 Creepy Crawly Keys. I ended up having to wait a week so I traded an unusual of mine to get the taunt early, then paid the full amount once the keys were tradable.

Creepy Crawly Keys are suggested at 1.1 keys

31 * 1.1 = 34.1 keys pure, rounding to 34.

Screenshots of trade history: http://imgur.com/a/OtuJF


At the time I was looking to buy this taunt from my friend there were listings for this exact effect - Midnight Whirlwind - on SCM, one being at $73.99 which did manage to sell, so i'll include that as a range for this suggestion.

73.99 / 2.49 = 29.714 keys pure, rounding to 30.

SCM sale: http://imgur.com/pPDs1RY


This is my first price suggestion so if I missed anything or if you have relevant evidence for this item feel free to let me know, cheers.

    http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198339762409#!/compare/1496966400/1497052800 - Adolf's link, which helps confirm the SCM sale


    http://imgur.com/a/TfoeN - 4 day old seller now for 32 keys


    The Massed Flies Soldier's Stash sale Blaze mentions in the comments is interesting. Looked into the Stash a little bit.


    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198100514826#!/compare/1494720000/1494806400 - Neutron Condor, ~48

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198302616806#!/compare/1498348800/1498608000 - Duped GE Fedora, likely a bit less than clean's 48 key price

    but

    http://imgur.com/a/1NuRv - Mature seller for 36


    Overall, the 3 month old price of 42 is more or less supported - could be a bit less with Fedora/Condor minis but not too much.


    Judging by the distance from the other two sales and the 32 key seller for the Shred, I'm inclined to call the Stash sale an outlier. Suggested range seems fine here.