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The one usable sale I found:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141598965#!/compare/1490918400/1491004800
Bought for GE Handyman's (21-24, in-date) + Stormy Mongolian (11, 2 years old)
Mongolian mini:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28820440
Unsold at 10 for 3 weeks, buyers at 8.5
Taking 10
X = 22.5 + 10 = 32.5
Seller had B/O of 30: http://tinypic.com/r/voqxyq/9
[Taking 30]
Unsold at 34 keys for.... 7 months?
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28427934
Unsold supports drop, final price: 30 keys.
I'd be happy to adjust this suggestion if you guys find mistakes in my work, or additional sales.
Found another hat with sales: http://backpack.tf/item/3406316411
Will edit suggestion later tonight.