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~8.25 keys
aces
Unusual Janissary Ketche Aces High
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Sale 1:

Sold for Terror-Watt Bombing Run (Mini at 12.5 below)


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28531328 - B/O of 13

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198156255538#!/compare/1476316800/1476403200

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069248547#!/compare/1476316800/1476403200


X = 13


Sale 2: (Dupe)

Sold for 9 keys + 13.66 ref (>0.5) in ~2-3 days


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28535641 - No B/O, seller confirms sale (Legend)

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198170990055#!/compare/1476230400/1476403200

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077598622#!/compare/1476316800/1476403200


X = 10


Sale 3:

Sold with 1 key + 7 ref for Killstreak Aussie Blutsauger in a day (8)


No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069248547#!/compare/1476316800/1476403200

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066311459#!/compare/1476316800/1476403200


Sale is way too low, with buyers at 8 keys for any unusual.


Sale 4:

Sold with a key + minor item for Planets Panama


Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198110068167#!/compare/1475884800/1476662400

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198156255538#!/compare/1475798400/1475884800


Should be used to update the Panama


Terror-Watt Bombing Run Mini:

http://backpack.tf/suggestion/58459c2c86674746b4546b8b


Sellers:

11 keys:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28634594 - 6 days, looks to have declined an offer of 10 keys

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198099579573


Sales at:

10

13


Three reasons why 10 is being excluded from the range:

1. There is a buyer higher than sale 2’s value here: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28634255

2. The sale at 10 sold kinda quickly

3. The 11 key seller had received an offer of 10 keys


Including the seller in the range

Going with 11-13