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6 month old price!
Sale 1:
Sold with 4 keys for Circling TF Logo German Gonzila
X + 4 = 17.5*0.9
X = 11.75 (rounding to 12 keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26212064
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198175587975?time=1434438000 (June 16th)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198175587975?time=1434697200 (June 19th)
Sale 2:
Sold for 12 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26561533
http://i.imgur.com/5GQdH8G.png
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070605773?time=1437634800 (July 23rd)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070605773?time=1437791399 (July 25th)
Sale 3:
Involved in a bulk deal for Sulphurous Brotherhood of Arms
[no outpost trade]
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198171570833?time=1436338800 (July 8th)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198171570833?time=1436425200 (July 9th)
Notes:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26580870 - B/O of 13 keys (young)
Conclusion:
Two valid sales at 12 keys. Taking a final value of 12 keys.
Feel free to support/counter my suggestion!