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"Caress the one, the never-fading rain in your heart - the tears of snow-white sorrow"
Im just gonna quote lyrics from Amaranth whenever pricing anything with this effect
Came across this when updating the vivid thirst blood. This thing is a goldmine for updating/setting other prices :D using this as a mini for 3 new suggestions.
The sales:
Sale 1:
involved in a bulk sale for a harvest brain bucket
Buyer:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198030050182?time=1429904897 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198030050182?time=1429945200 after
Seller:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115624935?time=1429858800 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115624935?time=1430000242 after
harvest bucket is severely outdated, will update it using this
Sale 2:
Sold for phosphorus sceamin' eagle
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197963500354?time=1429822197 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197963500354?time=1429858800 after
Histories:
bucket http://backpack.tf/item/3124479736
eagle: http://backpack.tf/item/3606066194
No other sales on the eagle; will use this to price the eagle
Sale 3:
Sold for ghosts snaggle (28)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112687123?time=1428130448 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112687123?time=1428130800 after
0.9*28 = ~25
-> 25 keys
sale 4:
Sold + gifted S.f pro ks rocket (~22) for KS aussie rocketlauncher (~50)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197996095002?time=1428303600 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197996095002?time=1428690596 after
50-22 = 28
-> 28 keys
Sale 5:
sold + gifted S.f pro ks rocketlauncher (22) + S.f shotgun (3) + S.f spec ks SMG (~1) for ghosts hallmark (~53)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112351576?time=1428822000 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112351576?time=1428957697 after
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25554463 hallmark had a BO of 42
42-22-3-1 = ~16
-> 16 keys OUTLIER
Sale 6:
Bulk sale for arcana HWNN (~200)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047837446?time=1428042059 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047837446?time=1428044400 after
yea no.
Sale 7.
Sold + frostbite detective noir (~36) for a duped knifestorm bucket
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198124769572?time=1424029630 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198124769572?time=1424073600 after
knife bucket is outdated and duped, and even with its current clean value, this sale is valued at 0.9*50 - 36 = ~11.
Moreover: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24985723 it had a B/O of 4buds = 44 keys
44-36 = 8.
I GUESS this is a low outlier.
Sale 8:
Sold for GGjr capper
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198029654784?time=1423900800 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198029654784?time=1424028315 after
using this to price the capper
The minis:
mini gifted rocket:
vivid thirst blood (~27) sold for bills (~2.5) + gifted S.f pro ks rocket launcher
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197980036614?time=1427034849 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197980036614?time=1428044400 after
NOTE: this is used in the suggestion for the vivid thirst blood, except I messed up the mini there. I have excluded it from the range (as it was not holding a high or low end) and will now use it for this mini.
Further info (and the mini on the thirst blood) can be found here:
http://backpack.tf/vote/id/55433c11ba8d8816358b45b3
0.9*27 -2.5 = ~22
Taking 22
2 properly usable sales:
25
28
Im considering the 16 sale an outlier; it was capped at a B/O of the returned hat, even though the actual value of this sale would fit within the suggested range (or be close enough to it). Since it was not capped at the B/O of the bucket itself, I believe there's nothing further to support this value.
Not even going to explain why 8 is an outlier.
Final range: 25-28
Constructive criticism welcome!
~Foamy :3