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~152.5 keys
amaranthine
Unusual Brain Bucket Amaranthine
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"Caress the one, the never-fading rain in your heart - the tears of snow-white sorrow"

Im just gonna quote lyrics from Amaranth whenever pricing anything with this effect


Came across this when updating the vivid thirst blood. This thing is a goldmine for updating/setting other prices :D using this as a mini for 3 new suggestions.


The sales:


Sale 1:


involved in a bulk sale for a harvest brain bucket

Buyer:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198030050182?time=1429904897 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198030050182?time=1429945200 after


Seller:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115624935?time=1429858800 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115624935?time=1430000242 after

harvest bucket is severely outdated, will update it using this


Sale 2:


Sold for phosphorus sceamin' eagle

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197963500354?time=1429822197 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197963500354?time=1429858800 after

Histories:

bucket http://backpack.tf/item/3124479736

eagle: http://backpack.tf/item/3606066194

No other sales on the eagle; will use this to price the eagle


Sale 3:


Sold for ghosts snaggle (28)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112687123?time=1428130448 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112687123?time=1428130800 after

0.9*28 = ~25


-> 25 keys


sale 4:


Sold + gifted S.f pro ks rocket (~22) for KS aussie rocketlauncher (~50)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197996095002?time=1428303600 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197996095002?time=1428690596 after

50-22 = 28


-> 28 keys


Sale 5:


sold + gifted S.f pro ks rocketlauncher (22) + S.f shotgun (3) + S.f spec ks SMG (~1) for ghosts hallmark (~53)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112351576?time=1428822000 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112351576?time=1428957697 after

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25554463 hallmark had a BO of 42

42-22-3-1 = ~16


-> 16 keys OUTLIER


Sale 6:


Bulk sale for arcana HWNN (~200)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047837446?time=1428042059 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047837446?time=1428044400 after

yea no.


Sale 7.


Sold + frostbite detective noir (~36) for a duped knifestorm bucket

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198124769572?time=1424029630 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198124769572?time=1424073600 after

knife bucket is outdated and duped, and even with its current clean value, this sale is valued at 0.9*50 - 36 = ~11.

Moreover: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24985723 it had a B/O of 4buds = 44 keys

44-36 = 8.

I GUESS this is a low outlier.


Sale 8:


Sold for GGjr capper

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198029654784?time=1423900800 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198029654784?time=1424028315 after

using this to price the capper


The minis:


mini gifted rocket:


vivid thirst blood (~27) sold for bills (~2.5) + gifted S.f pro ks rocket launcher

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197980036614?time=1427034849 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197980036614?time=1428044400 after

NOTE: this is used in the suggestion for the vivid thirst blood, except I messed up the mini there. I have excluded it from the range (as it was not holding a high or low end) and will now use it for this mini.

Further info (and the mini on the thirst blood) can be found here:

http://backpack.tf/vote/id/55433c11ba8d8816358b45b3

0.9*27 -2.5 = ~22

Taking 22


2 properly usable sales:

25

28


Im considering the 16 sale an outlier; it was capped at a B/O of the returned hat, even though the actual value of this sale would fit within the suggested range (or be close enough to it). Since it was not capped at the B/O of the bucket itself, I believe there's nothing further to support this value.

Not even going to explain why 8 is an outlier.


Final range: 25-28


Constructive criticism welcome!


~Foamy :3