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I feel like I should ignore the B/O....
But I didn't.
PLOT TWIST
Only Sale
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25184641 Sold for C9 Base Metal Billy + Stormy Hound + 1.5 keys in sweets
B/O for Hetman's was 2 buds, or 20 keys
Billy and Hound had no trade, presuming offered
X = 20*0.9 + 1.5*0.9 + 11*0.9
X = 29 keys
X = 20 keys (B/O)
Hound https://backpack.tf/item/1559754540
Billy https://backpack.tf/item/1796780553
Sweets http://gyazo.com/1afe4374c43066f9162297784a254213
Hetman's https://backpack.tf/item/3173783897
Mini for Billy
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25777624 Sold for Aces Counterfeit Billy
Base Metal had no trade, presuming offered
X = 11
Billy http://backpack.tf/item/3480947579
Base Metal http://backpack.tf/item/1938474908
Mini for Billy
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25727673 B/O of 2 buds (11 keys), using 11