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Great taunt effect with this particular taunt. Proof is as follows.
I bought this and a Dead Pres Falkirk Helm with a Pom-Pommed Provocateur and a few keys on August 23rd.
http://i.imgur.com/j4sbJb9.jpg
The Pom is an old price, but nontheless currently price at around 4 buds. The Falkirk just got a price of 1 bud, which makes this taunt ~3 buds.
Another of these taunts sold for around 6 buds on outpost, the seller even claiming so here:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21311841
This same ad listed the taunt quickselling for around 2.5 buds.
However, it seemed to have been sold for a Max which can be seen sold by the previous owner here:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21579795
SKL who bought it for a Max can be seen in the previous owners list on this Max.
Given the fact that the quicksell price was ~2.5 buds, and I myself sold one for around 3, coupled with the fact that one sold for ~6, I conclude that 2.5-3.5 is a nice round estimate to where the final price should land.
Need a mini for the Pom, and you cant include a quicksale in your range. Also, if a max head is 3.3 buds, i dont see where youre getting your high end from.
This pretty much sums it up