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Green belt! ^^
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20248457 ---> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20283043
1:1ed with Hearts Trilby (was asking for the hat, no overpay)
3.9 buds
Sold for C9 Tyrantium Helm
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19977604 ---> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19934422
3.9 * 0.9 = 3.5
Added DP Drill Hat + Planets Batter's Helmet + Steaming Baker for Misty Skull Tossle
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20248457
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20283043
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20249938
8.3 - 1.6 - 1.2 - 1 = 4.5 * 0.9 = 4
Purchased one on June 20th for 47 keys pure and an Electrostatic Titanium Tyrolean. The Tyro is 1/1 in the world with no price set. I would guess it to be 2 -2.4 buds, but I'll leave that up to you guys.
Either way, I'd have to downvote this until you include more sales in your proof to get a truer average.
http://i.imgur.com/7Ryins2.png?1
All the sales that have occured for the Tyrolean appear to be very difficult to trace, and I believe 3 sales is quite accurate for this hat as these were almost the only ones I could trace. Unless you can find sales for your hat, I dont think I will be able to use your sale in this suggestion, but I'll continue to look for other sales for the Marauder anyway.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19435180
Sold for Blizz Veil + ~11 keys of sweets (using prices at time)
Working on a suggestion for the veil.
4.2 + 0.7 = 4.9 * 0.9 = 4.4, may add to range.