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Once again.... An 1 sale suggestion. Only 1 recent non-outdated sale out there.
SOLD 1: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18051491 - 2.5 pure
Feedback, extra/counter proof will be appreciated!
Might wanna figure out what this sold for - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18824509
Neutral.
It involves an outdated unusual
Which unusual did it trade for? Outdated or not it's still obviously a very recent sale and could at least provide a bit more data.
The third most recent owner appears to have sold it for an Aces's High Samur-Eye (~1.4) and a Bubbling Phantom (~1.4, 6 months outdated) if the histories of these hats are anything to go by which would be ~2.8 and above your range
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18777849 (Samur-Eye)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18777810 (Phantom)