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Overpay/Original prices used. So I saw one of these get put up in the classifi-- ALL HAIL THE SMISSMASS CARIBOU
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16974908 - Sold for 2 Holiday Headcases (2.7 buds [I used overpay here]), O. Fire Dread Knot (0.6), N&B Bubble Pipe (0.9), & N&B Coas Notra (0.7) = (4.9 buds) Outlier
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16839017 - Sold this GE Cosa Notra for Caribou + 5 keys (3.8 buds) [1 Month ago when it was HYPE]
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17645865 - Sold for 65 keys (3.3 buds)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17001621 - Sold for Bubbling Team Captain (3.3 buds)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17043586 - Sold for Ghosts Western Wear + 1 bud (3 buds)
http://backpack.tf/classifieds/search/id/52d1d9b74dd7b842228b4567 - Selling: 3.5 buds
Additional Sales:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16931141 - Sold for KaW Maddendoktor
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17115233 - Sold for Miami Whirly Warrior
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17304925 - Sold for SBTWC Pot
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16940002 - Sold for 3 buds + Professional Gunslinger Kit
All of the recent trades seem to be happening within this range as the hype settles and people realize it's just a caribou's head and it's only for the sni--ALL HAIL THE SMISSMASS CARIBOU
I paid 4 buds. :C Bought from Unusual Neymar for 4. Proof: http://puu.sh/6J5nm.png
C/O's (buyers + sellers) all 3buds -
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17015769
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16972877
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16852178
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16843615
trade.tf = 3-3.4
Trade.tf is saying 3-3.4 "keys", maybe glitch due to low amount of sales.
Didn't even notice.
Might be a typo, yeah.
It's because people put up trades that have keys in the 'want' section and then say 3-4 buds in the trade, and then it sets it as 3-4 keys or something.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17645865 sold in a few hours
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17001621 sold in 8 hours
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17043586 any proof that it did so? because i cant find it+ he rejected 3 pure from puddington
i wouldnt call these outliers:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16839017
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16940002
looking at this, 3 pure is the outlier if it sells for 3.3 in less than half a day
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17043586 - Check history
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16994735 - Check history of hat and first bud
You tell me what you think happened.
That first trade happened a month ago when the hype was up, like I said in my suggestion. And I'm not calling that second one an outlier, that's why it's under additional sales. Theres no price for a prof. gunslinger kit so I can't use it as concrete proof.
no, but the prof gunslinger isnt 6 keys either. i can tell you that.
and this is a rare item. not many at all, if the price is 3 buds it should take atleast a week to sell them for that price. if they're gone in half a day, two times recently, the price of 3 buds shouldnt even be included. i would consider that as a qs even though it wasnt listed as one
5 of these are on F2P accounts. It's a shame to think how none of them probably realise they've stumbled upon what could be $126.84 if this suggestion passes.
This suggestion passing does not give the item its value, it simply puts an exact price on the value it already possesses.
Yes okay, you know what I mean. No need to be so pedantic about it. I'm saying the actual value won't be registered in their bps until it gets accepted.
But are F2P's really the kind of people who would check bp anyway? ;)
That's my point! It's over $500 that'll likely never benefit anyone. :c
I gotcha, I understand. You make sense.
Vote: -
First off, I believe that holiday headcases are exempt from overpay rules. In addition, steam market average for this comes out to around the range you have put here, but I have reason to believe that 3.3 buts seems to have quite a bit of proof backing it and above, and the 3 bud proof appears to have sold very quickly and indeed be outmatched by all the proof for 3.3 and above. In addition, Brad was buying these recently for 3 buds and about 6 keys or so in sweets I believe. A lot of sales are actually going above 3.3 buds. It appears as if the range should be 3.3 or higher, most likely with 3.3 at the low end and perhaps 3.8. 3 pure was offered by Michael Puddington on a caribou recently, so the range has to be above that. Of course, that offer was immediately rejected without even a reply. In addition, a lot of the counterproof listed below shows that 3 buds is indeed an outlier. For now, I think that the range undoubtedly deserves to be higher.
TL;DR 3 is an outlier and the range could definitely be higher
http://i.imgur.com/jpO5Fjx.png 1:1 with burning ze goggles (3.8 after overpay)
I didn't even have to try, I just took the most recent offer that was made on someone else's caribou.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17268195 Just another sale. Dont know how to calculate stuff so I'll leave you guys to it. Also dont know if he added sweets. I'd say 3.3 flat or 3.3-3.5ish would be better, but thats just me.
You guys remember the first caribou that came out on outpost? Those offers were just ridiculous.
http://puu.sh/6BmHi/a7dfddb9ff.png
Thanks for all the proof guys. I'll probably resuggest this with a higher range. I just wasn't able to find actual proof of more than a couple more expensive sales, but it looks like the range should be higher now.
I just bought one for an Australium Sniper, 1 bud, and 4 keys ~ 3.8-4