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Okay, after several days of proof gathering I’m sucking up the courage and posting it, hopefully it wasn’t too early!
Proof below - The vast majority of these on the market are either killstreak-kitted, have strange parts or are part of sets so finding proof for higher than 4 keys was/is quite tricky.
NO ORIGINALS WITH KILLSTEAK KITS OR STRANGE PARTS HAVE BEEN USED IN PROOF!
Selling fast at 4 keys - Virtually all selling in 1 day or less with few views before they sell
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17139590 - less than 1 day when proof was found
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17141775 - less than 1 day when proof was found
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17155275 - less than 10 hours when proof was found
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17222268 - less than 6 hours
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17140938 - 26 views [got 2 adds]
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17118745 - 22 views
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17179984 - 16 views
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17144406 - 13 views
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17071331 - 12 views
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17185275 - 18 views
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17149004 - 10 views
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17134277 - 10 views
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17138688 - 9 views
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17123799 - 9 views
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17139703 - 8 views
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17152790 - 7 views
Sellers at 4 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17215619
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17213323
Buyers at 4 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17173405 - item worth 4.5-5 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16759533 - item worth 4 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17175646
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17140210
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17137710
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17136903
Declined 4 keys offers - Plenty of others in links
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16905561
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17217567 - retracted
Solds/offers above 4 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17032199 - 4.5 keys [checked the history]
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16776625 - 4.5 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17125584 - offered S.F. Sapper + 1 key = 4.5 keys (4 keys if current suggestion is accepted
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16339066 - 5 keys [had a willing buyer ~1 week ago]
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15695889 - 5 keys [sold multiple and has several offers above 4 keys, also has a 10 key buyer for 2 of them]
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17172620 - 5 keys [no longer in bp]
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17186563 - 5 keys [Hey KoDoRiN! ;D]
Trades to watch - Sellers between 4.5-6 keys, note: most are poorly bumped by trade owners if done manually
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17222372 - 4.5-5 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16735998 - 5 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17213469 - 5 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16905561 - 6 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17174399 - 6 keys
This is something of a conservative bump as I’ve chosen to keep 4 keys in the range as it is still a common price but goes quickly in some cases and sales at higher prices are viable and have occurred.
Will add and update proof when available and needed. If it becomes apparent this suggestion has come to early, I will close it and wait for more proof and then re-suggest when appropriate.
I'm not seeing any proof that they sell at 5 keys.
5th set of links down? There's 3 + the 4.5 key sellers.
да there it is. I got thrown off when it said '4keys'... I don't really... read.
:P that's okay
Just to solidify my sale: http://puu.sh/6kr2N.png
Wasn't that hard :)
Thanks for the added proof. :D
More trades to keep and eye on
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17244540 - 5 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17223276 - 5 keys
Another few fast sellers at 4 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17239707
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17237741- got an add
As well as the other 4 keys sellers previously listed...
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17215619 - has an add
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17213323
Link 1: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17244540 has sold.
L3 of trades to watch has now sold: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17213469 - 5 keys. I will make a full up to date list of all 5 key and 4.5 key solds later.
FULL CURRENT 4.5-5 KEYS SOLD LIST
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17032199 - 4.5 keys [checked the history]
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16776625 - 4.5 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17125584 - offered S.F. Sapper + 1 key = 4.5 keys (4 keys if current suggestion is accepted
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16339066 - 5 keys [had a willing buyer ~1 week ago]
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15695889 - 5 keys [sold multiple and has several offers above 4 keys, also has a 10 key buyer for 2 of them]
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17172620 - 5 keys [no longer in bp]
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17186563 - 5 keys - http://puu.sh/6kr2N.png
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17213469 - 5 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17244540 - 5 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17223276 - 5 keys
http://i.imgur.com/itT5GOK.png - 5 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17261541 - Sold quick at 4 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17257453 - Sold quick at 4 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17256778 - Sold quick at 4 keys
Yes I realise they're all the same buyer... :P
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17268927 - 4.15 keys, willing buyer within 28 minutes. Calling this one sold.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17264030 - sold at what looks to be 5 keys
Some more 5 key sellers
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17253823
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17255392
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17258102
Sold for 4.45 keys - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17267014 - sold pretty quick as well.
im too lazy to check, if the following links were already mentioned:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17243448 (sold for 5 keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17213469 (sold for 5 keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17237741 (sold for 5 keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17239707 (sold for 4 keys after one day, or even earlyer[quick])
Dat proof tho. Upboat.
Ahahah lets just hope it's considered good enough proof. :D
.........................................not bad ..........................................
Decent job, but I don't believe you have enough proof of people successfully selling their S. Original for more than 5 keys to effectively change the range to 4-5 keys.
Proof is scarce as I've stated but I'll be watching to see how the other 5 keys sellers fair. Thanks for the input.
I think there are not enough proof of solds at 5 keys. Staying Neutral.
The Second Seller at 4 keys ( http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17213323 ) is now a sold as of 3 hours ago.
It also appears the first seller has now found a buyer, thanks for checking while I was gone. :)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17228303 sold for 4.15 after an hour
Still looks like 4 is the most common - neutral until more proof added.
There have now been 7 successful sales at 5 keys as well as one willing buyer for that price, coupled with the 4.5 key sellers.
Correction make that 8 successful sales.
i just sold one for 5 keys
http://i.imgur.com/itT5GOK.png
Thanks very much for the extra proof. :D