Price Suggestion
Strange Original
Submitted by Scriak
~139 keys
Strange Original
243 votes up
128 votes down
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Okay, after several days of proof gathering I’m sucking up the courage and posting it, hopefully it wasn’t too early!

Proof below - The vast majority of these on the market are either killstreak-kitted, have strange parts or are part of sets so finding proof for higher than 4 keys was/is quite tricky.


NO ORIGINALS WITH KILLSTEAK KITS OR STRANGE PARTS HAVE BEEN USED IN PROOF!


Selling fast at 4 keys - Virtually all selling in 1 day or less with few views before they sell


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17139590 - less than 1 day when proof was found

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17141775 - less than 1 day when proof was found

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17155275 - less than 10 hours when proof was found

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17222268 - less than 6 hours

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17140938 - 26 views [got 2 adds]

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17118745 - 22 views

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17179984 - 16 views

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17144406 - 13 views

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17071331 - 12 views

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17185275 - 18 views

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17149004 - 10 views

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17134277 - 10 views

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17138688 - 9 views

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17123799 - 9 views

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17139703 - 8 views

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17152790 - 7 views


Sellers at 4 keys


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17215619

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17213323


Buyers at 4 keys


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17173405 - item worth 4.5-5 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16759533 - item worth 4 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17175646

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17140210

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17137710

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17136903


Declined 4 keys offers - Plenty of others in links


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16905561

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17217567 - retracted


Solds/offers above 4 keys


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17032199 - 4.5 keys [checked the history]

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16776625 - 4.5 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17125584 - offered S.F. Sapper + 1 key = 4.5 keys (4 keys if current suggestion is accepted

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16339066 - 5 keys [had a willing buyer ~1 week ago]

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15695889 - 5 keys [sold multiple and has several offers above 4 keys, also has a 10 key buyer for 2 of them]

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17172620 - 5 keys [no longer in bp]

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17186563 - 5 keys [Hey KoDoRiN! ;D]


Trades to watch - Sellers between 4.5-6 keys, note: most are poorly bumped by trade owners if done manually


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17222372 - 4.5-5 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16735998 - 5 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17213469 - 5 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16905561 - 6 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17174399 - 6 keys


This is something of a conservative bump as I’ve chosen to keep 4 keys in the range as it is still a common price but goes quickly in some cases and sales at higher prices are viable and have occurred.


Will add and update proof when available and needed. If it becomes apparent this suggestion has come to early, I will close it and wait for more proof and then re-suggest when appropriate.

Dat proof tho. Upboat.

    Ahahah lets just hope it's considered good enough proof. :D

      .........................................not bad ..........................................

        Decent job, but I don't believe you have enough proof of people successfully selling their S. Original for more than 5 keys to effectively change the range to 4-5 keys.

          Proof is scarce as I've stated but I'll be watching to see how the other 5 keys sellers fair. Thanks for the input.

          I think there are not enough proof of solds at 5 keys. Staying Neutral.

            The Second Seller at 4 keys ( http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17213323 ) is now a sold as of 3 hours ago.

              It also appears the first seller has now found a buyer, thanks for checking while I was gone. :)

              http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17228303 sold for 4.15 after an hour

                Still looks like 4 is the most common - neutral until more proof added.

                  There have now been 7 successful sales at 5 keys as well as one willing buyer for that price, coupled with the 4.5 key sellers.

                    Correction make that 8 successful sales.

                  i just sold one for 5 keys


                  http://i.imgur.com/itT5GOK.png

                    Thanks very much for the extra proof. :D